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The 2026 Race Index & Ratings Board

Every Senate, House and Governor race, scored two ways: Attention — how loud a race is right now across news, Wikipedia and Bluesky — and Vector — which way it leans and how firmly. Neither is a poll or a forecast. How they work →

579 races tracked575 with a lean rating0 with a verified pollUpdated 2026-09-30 UTC
The ratings board

Every race, from safe Democratic to safe Republican

D Anchored174
  1. TX-37Attention 83
  2. IL-09Attention 70
  3. MD GovernorAttention 70
  4. NY-12Attention 68
  5. CT-04Attention 67
  6. IL-03Attention 65
  7. CT Attorney GeneralAttention 64
  8. RI GovernorAttention 63
  9. TN-09Attention 62
  10. MI-12Attention 62
+164 more
D Held69
  1. NM GovernorAttention 70
  2. MI-03Attention 68
  3. NJ SenateAttention 64
  4. IL GovernorAttention 63
  5. IL Secretary of StateAttention 59
  6. PA GovernorAttention 59
  7. FL-22Attention 58
  8. NY-04Attention 58
  9. IL Attorney GeneralAttention 58
  10. IL-14Attention 57
+59 more
D Tilting41
  1. NV-01Attention 75
  2. MN SenateAttention 74
  3. AZ Attorney GeneralAttention 70
  4. NY-03Attention 67
  5. TX-34Attention 67
  6. NY-19Attention 66
  7. AZ Secretary of StateAttention 62
  8. WI GovernorAttention 61
  9. FL-25Attention 61
  10. AZ GovernorAttention 60
+31 more
Toss-up56
  1. NV GovernorAttention 67
  2. GA GovernorAttention 66
  3. KS SenateAttention 66
  4. GA Lieutenant GovernorAttention 65
  5. IA-03Attention 63
  6. PA-08Attention 63
  7. FL-13Attention 62
  8. FL SenateAttention 59
  9. IA Attorney GeneralAttention 59
  10. TX SenateAttention 59
+46 more
R Tilting69
  1. MS SenateAttention 75
  2. FL-16Attention 65
  3. NE SenateAttention 61
  4. OH Attorney GeneralAttention 61
  5. FL GovernorAttention 60
  6. OH GovernorAttention 58
  7. SC SenateAttention 56
  8. SC GovernorAttention 56
  9. LA SenateAttention 56
  10. FL-27Attention 55
+59 more
R Held69
  1. MI-02Attention 63
  2. AR SenateAttention 61
  3. GA-14Attention 60
  4. OH-14Attention 58
  5. TX-10Attention 58
  6. TN SenateAttention 58
  7. CA-01Attention 56
  8. SD SenateAttention 56
  9. KY SenateAttention 55
  10. OK SenateAttention 54
+59 more
R Anchored97
  1. FL-19Attention 71
  2. MO-08Attention 62
  3. FL-26Attention 60
  4. WY SenateAttention 60
  5. NE-03Attention 60
  6. ND Secretary of StateAttention 58
  7. AL GovernorAttention 58
  8. FL-12Attention 58
  9. ND Attorney GeneralAttention 56
  10. IN-09Attention 56
+87 more

4 races not yet rated — see them

Each race sits in its column by the polling average where one exists, Vugol Vector otherwise; loudest first. Click a column head to list just those races below.

Loudest first

Contested races & battlegrounds

40 of 73
D · Anchored174D · Held69D · Tilting41Toss-up56R · Tilting69R · Held69R · Anchored97Unrated4✓ Verified poll on fileClear filters
NMGovernorD · HeldNew Mexico GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 70/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseD · HeldMichigan's 3rd DistrictMI-03 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 68/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NJU.S. SenateD · HeldNew Jersey SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 64/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILGovernorD · HeldIllinois GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 63/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILStatewideD · HeldIllinois Secretary of StateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAGovernorD · HeldPennsylvania GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · HeldFlorida's 22nd DistrictFL-22 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · HeldNew York's 4th DistrictNY-04 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILStatewideD · HeldIllinois Attorney GeneralStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · HeldIllinois's 14th DistrictIL-14 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 57/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIStatewideD · HeldMichigan Secretary of StateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 57/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MNGovernorD · HeldMinnesota GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
GUGovernorD · HeldGU GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · HeldFlorida's 14th DistrictFL-14 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
GAU.S. HouseD · HeldGeorgia's 2nd DistrictGA-02 · GeorgiaModel ratingNews attention 53/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NVU.S. HouseD · HeldNevada's 4th DistrictNV-04 · NevadaModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAU.S. HouseD · HeldPennsylvania's 12th DistrictPA-12 · PennsylvaniaModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseD · HeldCalifornia's 21st DistrictCA-21 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OHU.S. HouseD · HeldOhio's 1st DistrictOH-01 · OhioModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ORU.S. SenateD · HeldOregon SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AZU.S. HouseD · HeldArizona's 4th DistrictAZ-04 · ArizonaModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
COU.S. SenateD · HeldColorado SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIGovernorD · HeldMichigan GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · HeldIllinois's 13th DistrictIL-13 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ORGovernorD · HeldOregon GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 48/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
DEU.S. SenateD · HeldDelaware SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 47/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
VIGovernorUnratedVI GovernorStatewide raceNo poll availableNews attention 46/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MNU.S. HouseD · HeldMinnesota's 2nd DistrictMN-02 · MinnesotaModel ratingNews attention 46/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
VTStatewideD · HeldVermont Lieutenant GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 45/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · HeldFlorida's 23rd DistrictFL-23 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 44/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · HeldIllinois's 6th DistrictIL-06 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 44/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseD · HeldCalifornia's 49th DistrictCA-49 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 42/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ORU.S. HouseD · HeldOregon's 6th DistrictOR-06 · OregonModel ratingNews attention 41/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAU.S. HouseD · HeldPennsylvania's 6th DistrictPA-06 · PennsylvaniaModel ratingNews attention 40/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NHU.S. SenateD · HeldNew Hampshire SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 39/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
RIStatewideD · HeldRhode Island Lieutenant GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 38/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NVStatewideD · HeldNevada Attorney GeneralStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 38/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NJU.S. HouseD · HeldNew Jersey's 3rd DistrictNJ-03 · New JerseyModel ratingNews attention 37/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
WAU.S. HouseD · HeldWashington's 6th DistrictWA-06 · WashingtonModel ratingNews attention 37/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MPGovernorUnratedMP GovernorStatewide raceNo poll availableNews attention 35/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll

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