Home / Races / Colorado / U.S. Senate
CO2026

U.S. Senate · Colorado · 2026

General election · 6 on the November ballot · Incumbent running

Model rating Leans Democratic (Held) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 5 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated

News attention 50/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 3 days ago. How it works

On the November ballot (3)

From reported primary results, checked 2026-09-30. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.

Ran in the primary (1)

Lost a primary or runoff for this seat — not on the November ballot.

Other filers (6)

Registered with the FEC or listed in public records, but not on the November ballot as far as the results show.

Ballot source: https://apnews.com/projects/elections-2026/colorado-primary-results-us-senate/

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no polls yet

No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.

Campaign money (FEC)

Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on handThrough
John W. Hickenlooper Democratic$10,285,376$9,843,589$2,083,8702026-06-30
Bob Chew Other$1,270,007$225,649$1,044,3582026-06-30
Brashad D Hasley Democratic$20,336$20,336$02026-02-11
George Washington Markert V Republican$315,360$315,360$02026-06-30
Janak Joshi Republican$485,987$485,987$02026-07-17
Julie Gonzales Democratic$979,215$835,706$143,5092026-06-30
Karen Breslin Democratic$165,312$163,439$1,8722026-06-30
Mark Baisley Republican$138,147$88,913$50,0212026-06-30
Robert Chew FWD$1,270,007$225,649$1,044,3582026-06-30
Sean M. Pond Constitution$31,227$31,227$02026-06-10

Results

Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.

Democratic primary · official results

John Hickenlooper (incumbent) won472,87052.8%
Julie Gonzales422,48847.2%

Republican primary

Mark Baisley won445,352100.0%

Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-30 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

  • 2026-06-30 — Primary election: U.S. Senate
  • 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. Senate

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Primary and hypothetical polls (2)

Kept on file, never averaged into this race. Polls listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each linked to the pollster's own release.

  • Democratic primary · Colorado Community Research · 2026-05-17–2026-05-28 · n=796 · John Hickenlooper (D) 41%, Julie Gonzales (D) 34% · release
  • Democratic primary · Data for Progress (partisan) · 2026-02-20–2026-02-25 · n=739 · John Hickenlooper (D) 45%, Julie Gonzales (D) 13% · release

In the news

Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news

Signals (experimental)

Attention 50 Vector D · Held

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0
50OUT OF 100Moderate attention
Attention percentile75th
7-day momentum8 / 100
Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0
Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean
AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored
Completeness5 of 7 inputs (national, pres, incumbent, money, pulse) · missing: prior, poll
Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only
Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-27 (3 days ago)
Vector component signals · estimated margin D +12.5Presidential lean of the seat (2024 D +11.3, national swing D +10.5)D +21.8Fundraising velocity (FEC)D +8.0Attention shareR +1.2IncumbencyD +6.0National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-30), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Band: D · Held (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.