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DE2026

U.S. Senate · Delaware · 2026

General election · 2 on the certified November ballot · Incumbent running

Looking for the House race? Delaware’s at-large U.S. House seat

Model rating Leans Democratic (Held) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated

News attention 47/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 3 days ago. How it works

On the November ballot (1)

Certified by the state, checked 2026-09-30.

Also on the certified ballot: Michael "Dr. Mike" Katz (Republican).

Not on the certified ballot (4)

Filed or ran for this seat, but not on the state’s certified list for November.

Official source: https://elections.delaware.gov/candidates/candidatelist/genl_fcddt_2026.html

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no polls yet

No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.

Campaign money (FEC)

Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on handThrough
Christopher A. Coons Democratic$6,897,138$3,944,267$4,793,3842026-08-26
Christopher Beardsley Democratic$22,356$13,165$9,1912025-12-31
Jeffery Ryan Appelhans Democratic$1,468$83$1,3862026-08-26
John Shulli Republican$118,334$109,920$8,4142026-08-26
Michael S Katz Republican$159,367$60,954$98,4132026-08-26

Results

Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.

Democratic primary

Chris Coons (incumbent) won68,15478.0%
Jeff Appelhans9,29410.6%
Mary Louve6,5777.5%
Eric No-Trump Hansen3,3673.9%

Republican primary

Michael Katz won30,89677.3%
John Shulli9,05222.7%

Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-30 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

  • 2026-09-15 — Primary election: U.S. Senate
  • 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. Senate

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Signals (experimental)

Attention 47 Vector D · Held

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0
47OUT OF 100Moderate attention
Attention percentile67th
7-day momentum13 / 100
Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0
Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean
AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored
Completeness4 of 7 inputs (national, pres, incumbent, money) · missing: prior, pulse, poll
Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only
Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-27 (3 days ago)
Vector component signals · estimated margin D +17.0Presidential lean of the seat (2024 D +15.0, national swing D +10.5)D +25.5Fundraising velocity (FEC)D +8.0IncumbencyD +6.0National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-30), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Band: D · Held (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.