Home / Races / Alabama / Governor
AL2026

Governor · Alabama · 2026

General election · 2 on the November ballot · Open seat (no incumbent)

VecR 100 · AnchoredTenR >99%Att58

Result

Called

Tommy Tuberville (R) won this race with 52.0% of the vote, 4.0 points ahead.

  • Tommy TubervilleRepublicanWinner52.0%873,332 votes
  • Doug JonesDemocratic48.0%806,270 votes
Margin
67,062 votes (4.0 points)
Called
Called by Wikipedia editors, Nov 4, 1:43 AM ET (revision)
Last updated
Nov 14, 6:05 AM ET

Called it: hit Our locked call before polls closed was R; the winner is R. See every locked call

Unofficial until the state certifies the result.

Before the election

Polls, ratings and the Vugol Tensor below were published before votes were counted. They are not results.

CandidatesGovernor · Alabama
Doug Jones
D
DEM
Tommy Tuberville
R
REP
No verified poll yet · Vugol Vector: R Anchored

Model rating Leans Republican (Anchored) on the Vugol Vector model, a snapshot of today, not a probability.

6 polls on file, none verified yet (pollster not verified or no public source), shown below, not averaged. Model inputs: 3 of 7, updated yesterday. Page updated 2026-11-15. Sources · What is validated

ExperimentalNews attention 58/100, how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 2 days ago. How it works

On the Alabama ballot, Nov 3, 2026 Governor, 2 names on the official list. Election Day has passed; see the ballot as it was.Voting in Alabama? Check your registration, get a mail ballot, find your polling place.

On the November ballot (2)

From reported primary results, checked 2026-11-14. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.

Other filers (2)

Registered with the FEC or listed in public records, but not on the November ballot as far as the results show.

Ballot source: https://www2.alabamavotes.gov/electionNight/statewideResultsByContest.aspx?ecode=1001290

Latest verified field polling

Verified = published by the pollster that conducted it, with a public source we link to.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. The Vugol Vector call from our model is below, it is not a poll.

Polling average

no verified inputs yet

6 polls on file for this race, none verified yet (pollster not verified or no public source), visible below, not averaged.

25436090d60d30dtodayRMG Research (quarantined) · 2026-09-25 · Tommy Tuberville (R) 50.0%The Alabama Poll (quarantined) · 2026-10-16 · Tommy Tuberville (R) 51.0%Cygnal (quarantined) · 2026-10-17 · Tommy Tuberville (R) 51.0%Chism Strategies (quarantined) · 2026-10-24 · Tommy Tuberville (R) 48.0%RMG Research (quarantined) · 2026-09-25 · Doug Jones (D) 37.0%The Alabama Poll (quarantined) · 2026-10-16 · Doug Jones (D) 39.0%Cygnal (quarantined) · 2026-10-17 · Doug Jones (D) 40.0%Chism Strategies (quarantined) · 2026-10-24 · Doug Jones (D) 45.0%
Tommy Tuberville (R)Doug Jones (D)● verified poll · ○ quarantined poll · ◎ live average

Results

Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state’s official results.

general election

Tommy Tuberville won873,33252.0%
Doug Jones806,27048.0%

Republican primary · official results

Tommy Tuberville won421,75485.4%
Ken McFeeters47,1669.6%
"Alabama" Will Santivasci24,4565.0%

Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-11-14 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

  • 2026-05-19, Primary election: U.S. Senate
  • 2026-06-16, Runoff: U.S. House
  • 2026-11-03, General election: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Primary and hypothetical polls (2)

Kept on file, never averaged into this race. Polls listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each linked to that article revision and, where we know it, to the pollster's own site.

  • Republican primary · Cygnal (partisan) · 2026-04-29–2026-04-30 · n=500 · Tommy Tuberville (R) 65%,Ken McFeeters 7%,Will Santivasci 3% · pollster's site · release
  • Republican primary · Quantus Insights (partisan) · 2025-10-13–2025-10-14 · n=1,050 · Tommy Tuberville (R) 63%,Ken McFeeters 4% · pollster's site · release

In the news

Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news

Lab

Vugol Vector & Vugol Attention

Vugol Attention 58 Vugol Vector R · Anchored

Vugol Me model signals, not polls. Verified polling is in the Polls section above.

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Vugol Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

attention-1.0.0
58OUT OF 100Moderate attention
Vugol Attention percentile86th
7-day momentum17 / 100
Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Vector

Proprietary ensemble model · a call, not a probability · model confidence: high

vector-1.1.0
Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean
AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored
Completeness3 of 7 inputs (national, prior, pres) · missing: incumbent, money, pulse, poll
Evidenceno audit release · fundamentals only
Freshnessoldest input 2026-11-13 (2 days ago)

The breakdown of this call (the model's multi-signal input matrix, input by input) is on Ultra Pro plans.

Vugol Tensor

How far this call can miss · a range, not a prediction · no verified poll here, so the range is wider and untested

tensor-1.0.0

Centre R+25.4. Four times in five the result lands between R+16.0 and R+34.8; nine in ten between R+13.3 and R+37.5. Chance the Democrat finishes ahead: <1%.

Polls have missed by about four points in a typical race and they miss together. How Tensor works →

Desk data: daily telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and the Vugol Vector breakdown · paid plans

Sources

Vugol Vector band: R · Anchored. Have a say in the Vugol race poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.

The four Vugol signals, side by side

They answer different questions and are kept apart. Full method: Methodology.

Vugol Vector
Our call for every race if today’s polls hold. A snapshot, not a win probability or a vote share.
Vugol Tensor
How sure we are: ranges and chamber-control odds around the Vector, built from past polling error. An experiment about uncertainty, not a better guess.
Vugol Attention
How much news and online noise a race gets, 0 to 100. It measures noise, not support: a high score says nothing about who is ahead.
Vugol Pulse
Our daily thumbs-up or thumbs-down question for readers. Anyone can answer, so it describes our readers, not the public. It is not a vote and never enters a poll average or any other signal.