Vugol MeA source on every number
Search WatchlistSee plans Sign in
Menu

State hubs

Only on Vugol Me

The 2026 Race Index & Ratings Board

Every Senate, House and Governor race in one place, with a plain read on each. None of these are polls. How they work →

629 races tracked625 with a Vugol Vector call69 with a verified pollUpdated 2026-11-14 UTC
Balance of power

U.S. Senate: who holds it now

45 Democratic2 independent53 RepublicanControl takes 51 (D) or 50 (R). The Vice President, a Republican, breaks a 50–50 tie. Both independents caucus with the Democrats and are counted with them.

35 seats on the 2026 ballot · not up: 32 D, 2 I, 31 R

Make your map

Starting colors are each race's Vugol Vector call: its verified polling average where one exists, otherwise our model. Toss-ups start blank here; today's Vugol Vector calls them too. Click a race to switch it: Democrat → Republican → undecided.

D 522 undecidedR 46On the Vugol Vector starting map: Democrats control.

Current seats as of 2026-09-30. Sources: U.S. Senate: party division · Ballotpedia: Senate elections, 2026

The ratings board

Senate races, from safe Democratic to safe Republican

D Anchored3
  1. NM SenateVugol Attention 49
  2. MA SenateVugol Attention 37
  3. RI SenateVugol Attention 15
D Held9
  1. IL SenateVugol Attention 60
  2. NH SenateVugol Attention 60
  3. GA SenateVugol Attention 42
  4. CO SenateVugol Attention 41
  5. NC SenateVugol Attention 41
  6. MN SenateVugol Attention 35
  7. NJ SenateVugol Attention 7
  8. OR SenateVugol Attention 1
  9. DE SenateVugol Attention 0
D Tilting6
  1. OH SenateVugol Attention 67
  2. ME SenateVugol Attention 56
  3. VA SenateVugol Attention 37
  4. KS SenateVugol Attention 31
  5. MI SenateVugol Attention 3
  6. TX SenateVugol Attention 1
Toss-up2
  1. AK SenateVugol Attention 63
  2. IA SenateVugol Attention 5
R Tilting5
  1. LA SenateVugol Attention 67
  2. SC SenateVugol Attention 59
  3. MS SenateVugol Attention 35
  4. MT SenateVugol Attention 9
  5. FL SenateVugol Attention 1
R Held6
  1. OK SenateVugol Attention 50
  2. KY SenateVugol Attention 44
  3. SD SenateVugol Attention 30
  4. AR SenateVugol Attention 8
  5. AL SenateVugol Attention 7
  6. TN SenateVugol Attention 3
R Anchored4
  1. NE SenateVugol Attention 73
  2. WY SenateVugol Attention 43
  3. ID SenateVugol Attention 15
  4. WV SenateVugol Attention 6

Each race sits in its column by the polling average where one exists, the Vugol Vector model otherwise; loudest first. Click a column head to list just those races below.

Loudest first

Contested races & battlegrounds

35 of 35
D · Anchored3D · Held9D · Tilting6Toss-up2R · Tilting5R · Held6R · Anchored4Unrated0✓ Verified poll on file
NEU.S. SenateR · AnchoredPete Ricketts (R) wonNebraska SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsPete RickettsRickettsIncumbentVSCBBurbankVecR 33 · AnchoredTenR >99%Att73News attention 73/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
LAU.S. SenateR · TiltingJulia Letlow (R) wonLouisiana SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorBlake MiguezMiguezVSGCCrockettVecR 32 · TiltingTenR 86%Att67News attention 67/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
OHU.S. SenateD · TiltingSherrod Brown (D) wonOhio SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsJon HustedHustedIncumbentVSFrederick J OdeOdeVecD 0 · TiltingTenD 62%Att67News attention 67/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
AKU.S. SenateToss-upAlaska SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorDan S. SullivanSullivanIncumbentVSMary PeltolaPeltolaVecR 8 · OpenTenR 61%Att63News attention 63/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
ILU.S. SenateD · HeldJuliana Stratton (D) wonIllinois SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorADDelgadoVSCasimer ChlebekChlebekVecD 61 · HeldTenD 98%Att60News attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
NHU.S. SenateD · HeldChris Pappas (D) wonNew Hampshire SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsChris PappasPappasVSDan InnisInnisVecD 40 · HeldTenD 90%Att60News attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
SCU.S. SenateR · TiltingAnnie Andrews (D) wonSouth Carolina SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsDarline GrahamGrahamIncumbentVSAnnie AndrewsAndrewsVecR 23 · TiltingTenR 59%Att59News attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
MEU.S. SenateD · TiltingTroy Jackson (D) wonMaine SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsSusan M. CollinsCollinsIncumbentVSAndrea LaflammeLaflammeVecD 31 · TiltingTenD 72%Att56News attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
OKU.S. SenateR · HeldKevin Hern (R) wonOklahoma SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorBRRagainVSErvin Stone YenYenVecR 64 · HeldTenR 99%Att50News attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
NMU.S. SenateD · AnchoredBen Ray Luján (D) wonNew Mexico SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsBen Ray LujanLujanIncumbentVSLarry E MarkerMarkerVecD 50 · AnchoredTenD >99%Att49News attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
KYU.S. SenateR · HeldAndy Barr (R) wonKentucky SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorAmy McGrathMcGrathVSDaniel CameronCameronVecR 67 · HeldTenR 99%Att44News attention 44/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
WYU.S. SenateR · AnchoredHarriet Hageman (R) wonWyoming SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorCynthia Marie LummisLummisIncumbentVSJames Willard ByrdByrdVecR 90 · AnchoredTenR >99%Att43News attention 43/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
GAU.S. SenateD · HeldJon Ossoff (D) wonGeorgia SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsT. Jonathan OssoffOssoffIncumbentVSCCClementVecD 32 · HeldTenD 86%Att42News attention 42/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
COU.S. SenateD · HeldJohn Hickenlooper (D) wonColorado SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorJohn W. HickenlooperHickenlooperIncumbentVSGMMarkertVecD 61 · HeldTenD 98%Att41News attention 41/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
NCU.S. SenateD · HeldRoy Cooper (D) wonNorth Carolina SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsBrian McGinnisMcGinnisVSDon BrownBrownVecD 24 · HeldTenD 94%Att41News attention 41/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
MAU.S. SenateD · AnchoredEd Markey (D) wonMassachusetts SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsEdward MarkeyMarkeyIncumbentVSJohn DeatonDeatonVecD 93 · AnchoredTenD >99%Att37News attention 37/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
VAU.S. SenateD · TiltingMark R. Warner (D) wonVirginia SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorMark Robert WarnerWarnerIncumbentVSAPde PaulaVecD 43 · TiltingTenD 93%Att37News attention 37/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
MNU.S. SenateD · HeldPeggy Flanagan (D) wonMinnesota SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsAdam SchwarzeSchwarzeVSAngie CraigCraigVecD 50 · HeldTenD 83%Att35News attention 35/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
MSU.S. SenateR · TiltingScott Colom (D) wonMississippi SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsCindy Hyde-SmithHyde-SmithIncumbentVSPTTillVecR 34 · TiltingTenR 68%Att35News attention 35/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
KSU.S. SenateD · TiltingAdam Hamilton (D) wonKansas SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsRoger W MarshallMarshallIncumbentVSAdam HamiltonHamiltonVecD 14 · TiltingTenD 57%Att31News attention 31/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
SDU.S. SenateR · HeldMike Rounds (R) wonSouth Dakota SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorMike RoundsRoundsIncumbentVSJulian C BeaudionBeaudionVecR 53 · HeldTenR 96%Att30News attention 30/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
IDU.S. SenateR · AnchoredIdaho SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorJames E RischRischIncumbentVSDavid Jordan RothRothVecR 87 · AnchoredTenR >99%Att15News attention 15/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
RIU.S. SenateD · AnchoredJack Reed (D) wonRhode Island SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsJohn F. ReedReedIncumbentVSRaymond Tyler McKayMcKayVecD 68 · AnchoredTenD >99%Att15News attention 15/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
MTU.S. SenateR · TiltingKurt Alme (R) wonMontana SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorAlani Ines BankheadBankheadVSKurt AlmeAlmeVecR 36 · TiltingTenR 89%Att9News attention 9/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
ARU.S. SenateR · HeldTom Cotton (R) wonArkansas SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorThomas CottonCottonIncumbentVSEthan N Dunbar Sr.DunbarVecR 56 · HeldTenR 97%Att8News attention 8/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
NJU.S. SenateD · HeldCory Booker (D) wonNew Jersey SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorCory A. BookerBookerIncumbentVSAZZdanVecD 50 · HeldTenD 96%Att7News attention 7/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
ALU.S. SenateR · HeldBarry Moore (R) wonAlabama SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorDakarai LarriettLarriettVSFelix Barry MooreMooreVecR 67 · HeldTenR 99%Att7News attention 7/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
WVU.S. SenateR · AnchoredShelley Moore Capito (R) wonWest Virginia SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorShelley Moore CapitoCapitoIncumbentVSJeffrey Vincent KesslerKesslerVecR 81 · AnchoredTenR >99%Att6News attention 6/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
IAU.S. SenateToss-upJosh Turek (D) wonIowa SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsAshley HinsonHinsonVSJackie NorrisNorrisVec- 3 · OpenTenD 51%Att5News attention 5/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
MIU.S. SenateD · TiltingAbdul El-Sayed (D) wonMichigan SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsAbdul El-SayedEl-SayedVSBernadette SmithSmithVecD 36 · TiltingTenD 77%Att3News attention 3/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
TNU.S. SenateR · HeldBill Hagerty (R) wonTennessee SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorBill HagertyHagertyIncumbentVSMaria A BrewerBrewerVecR 54 · HeldTenR 97%Att3News attention 3/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
ORU.S. SenateD · HeldJeff Merkley (D) wonOregon SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorJeffrey Alan MerkleyMerkleyIncumbentVSDavid Brock SmithSmithVecD 69 · HeldTenD >99%Att1News attention 1/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
FLU.S. SenateR · TiltingAshley Moody (R) wonFlorida SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsAshley MoodyMoodyIncumbentVSAlan Mark GraysonGraysonVecR 6 · TiltingTenR 76%Att1News attention 1/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
TXU.S. SenateD · TiltingJames Talarico (D) wonTexas SenateStatewide raceVerified pollsJasmine CrockettCrockettIncumbentVSKen PaxtonPaxtonIncumbentVecD 7 · TiltingTenD 70%Att1News attention 1/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll
DEU.S. SenateD · HeldChris Coons (D) wonDelaware SenateStatewide raceVugol VectorChristopher A. CoonsCoonsIncumbentVSJohn ShulliShulliVecD 69 · HeldTenD >99%Att0News attention 0/100Details → · updated 2026-11-14 Vugol Pulse poll