Governor · Maryland · 2026
General election · 4 on the certified November ballot · Incumbent running
Model rating Leans Democratic (Anchored) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.
1 poll on file from pollsters we have not verified yet — shown below, not averaged. Model inputs: 5 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated
News attention 70/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 3 days ago. How it works
On the November ballot (4)
Certified by the state, checked 2026-09-29.
Official source: https://elections.maryland.gov/elections/2026/general_candidates/2026_GG_statewide_candidatelist.csv
Latest verified field polling
Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.
No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.
Polling average
1 poll on file for this race, all from quarantined (U-tier) pollsters — visible below, not yet averaged.
Key dates
Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.
- 2026-06-23 — Primary election: U.S. House
- 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House
Source: FEC election dates (public domain).
Primary and hypothetical polls (5)
Kept on file, never averaged into this race. Polls listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each linked to the pollster's own release.
- Hypothetical matchup · Gonzales Research · 2025-12-21–2026-01-06 · n=808 · Wes Moore (D) 50%, Generic Republican 28% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · University of Maryland, Baltimore County · 2025-10-21–2025-10-25 · n=757 · Wes Moore (D) 49%, Generic Republican 29% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · OpinionWorks · 2025-10-07–2025-10-10 · n=928 · Wes Moore (D) 47%, Generic Republican 29% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · OpinionWorks · 2025-10-07–2025-10-10 · n=928 · Wes Moore (D) 45%, Larry Hogan (R) 37% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · Gonzales Research · 2024-12-27–2025-01-04 · n=811 · Wes Moore (D) 52%, Larry Hogan (R) 38% · release
In the news
- Read full episode transcripts of "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" from 2026
- Bill Gates says AI companies self-regulating isn’t enough and governments should be involved
Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news
Signals (experimental)
Attention 70 Vector D · Anchored
Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)
Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly
Vugol Me Vector (experimental)
Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: high
Daily precision telemetry
Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans
Sources
- Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
- Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
- Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
- Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 0188c9faaed2 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).
Band: D · Anchored (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.