Governor · Minnesota · 2026
General election · 2 on the November ballot · Open seat (no incumbent)
Model rating Leans Democratic (Held) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.
7 polls on file from pollsters we have not verified yet — shown below, not averaged. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated
News attention 56/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated today. How it works
On the November ballot (2)
From reported primary results, checked 2026-09-30. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.
Other filers (1)
Registered with the FEC or listed in public records, but not on the November ballot as far as the results show.
Ballot source: https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2026_Minnesota_gubernatorial_election&oldid=1377613128
Latest verified field polling
Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.
No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.
Polling average
7 polls on file for this race, all from quarantined (U-tier) pollsters — visible below, not yet averaged.
Results
Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.
Democratic primary
| Amy Klobuchar won | 615,041 | 89.7% |
| Kobey Layne | 39,528 | 5.8% |
| Mohammad Wazwaz | 9,633 | 1.4% |
| Po Vang | 8,834 | 1.3% |
| Ole "Viking" Savior | 5,491 | 0.8% |
| Tom Evenstad | 3,843 | 0.6% |
| Bill Gates Jr. | 3,380 | 0.5% |
Republican primary
| Lisa Demuth won | 179,683 | 43.4% |
| Mike Lindell | 134,282 | 32.5% |
| Kendall Qualls | 88,416 | 21.4% |
| John Krhin | 4,663 | 1.1% |
| Ross Nova | 2,760 | 0.7% |
| Raul Estrada | 2,408 | 0.6% |
| Loner Blue | 1,393 | 0.3% |
Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-30 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0
Key dates
Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.
- 2026-08-11 — Primary election: U.S. House
- 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House
Source: FEC election dates (public domain).
Primary and hypothetical polls (24)
Kept on file, never averaged into this race. Polls listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each linked to the pollster's own release.
- Republican primary · KTSP/SurveyUSA · 2026-07-29–2026-08-04 · n=458 · Mike Lindell 34%, Lisa Demuth (R) 28%, Kendall Qualls 17% · release
- Republican primary · SurveyUSA · 2026-07-15–2026-07-20 · n=478 · Mike Lindell 35%, Lisa Demuth (R) 26%, Kendall Qualls 11% · release
- Republican primary · Big Data Poll (partisan) · 2026-06-26–2026-06-29 · n=1,214 · Mike Lindell 25%, Lisa Demuth (R) 20%, Kendall Qualls 10% · release
- Republican primary · Minnesota Private Business Council (partisan) · 2026-06-23–2026-06-25 · n=1,601 · Lisa Demuth (R) 29%, Kendall Qualls 24%, Mike Lindell 20% · release
- Republican primary · SurveyUSA · 2026-06-11–2026-06-16 · n=450 · Mike Lindell 27%, Lisa Demuth (R) 22%, Kendall Qualls 17% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · 2026-06-08–2026-06-10 · n=800 · Amy Klobuchar (D) 48%, Kendall Qualls (R) 37% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · 2026-06-08–2026-06-10 · n=800 · Amy Klobuchar (D) 53%, Mike Lindell (R) 36% · release
- Republican primary · Big Data Poll (partisan) · 2026-05-18–2026-05-20 · n=512 · Mike Lindell 21%, Lisa Demuth (R) 19%, Kendall Qualls 9% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · Emerson College · 2026-02-06–2026-02-08 · n=1,000 · Amy Klobuchar (D) 53%, Mike Lindell (R) 31% · release
- Republican primary · Peak Insights (partisan) · 2026-01-31–2026-02-01 · n=500 · Mike Lindell 18%, Lisa Demuth (R) 17%, Scott Jensen 12%, Kendall Qualls 11%, Kristin Robbins 3% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · SurveyUSA · 2026-01-27–2026-01-30 · n=575 · Amy Klobuchar (D) 49%, Scott Jensen (R) 35% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · SurveyUSA · 2026-01-27–2026-01-30 · n=575 · Amy Klobuchar (D) 49%, Kendall Qualls (R) 33% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · SurveyUSA · 2026-01-27–2026-01-30 · n=575 · Amy Klobuchar (D) 50%, Peggy Bennett (R) 30% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · SurveyUSA · 2026-01-27–2026-01-30 · n=575 · Amy Klobuchar (D) 49%, Brad Kohler (R) 32% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · SurveyUSA · 2026-01-27–2026-01-30 · n=575 · Amy Klobuchar (D) 49%, Phil Parrish (R) 32% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · SurveyUSA · 2026-01-27–2026-01-30 · n=575 · Amy Klobuchar (D) 52%, Mike Lindell (R) 32% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · SurveyUSA · 2026-01-27–2026-01-30 · n=575 · Amy Klobuchar (D) 48%, Kristin Robbins (R) 33% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · SurveyUSA · 2026-01-27–2026-01-30 · n=575 · Amy Klobuchar (D) 50%, Jeff Johnson (R) 33% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · SurveyUSA · 2026-01-27–2026-01-30 · n=575 · Amy Klobuchar (D) 49%, Patrick Knight (R) 33% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · RMG Research · 2025-12-10–2025-12-16 · n=800 · Generic Republican 46%, Tim Walz (D) 40% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · SurveyUSA · 2025-09-15–2025-09-18 · n=568 · Tim Walz (D) 50%, Kendall Qualls (R) 37% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · SurveyUSA · 2025-09-15–2025-09-18 · n=568 · Tim Walz (D) 46%, Scott Jensen (R) 41% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · SurveyUSA · 2025-09-15–2025-09-18 · n=568 · Tim Walz (D) 47%, Kristin Robbins (R) 40% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · SurveyUSA · 2025-09-15–2025-09-18 · n=568 · Tim Walz (D) 49%, Phil Parrish (R) 38% · release
In the news
- GOP senator airballs perjury claim against Jack Smith over apparent Hawks/Hawkeyes mix-up
- Senate Republicans rip ‘dirtbag’ Jack Smith over Trump investigations: ‘You make me want to throw up in my mouth’
- Jack Smith pressed on DOJ probes — and basketball
- Jack Smith defends Trump probes in Senate hearing filled with GOP insults
- Walz's 'exit interview' reflecting on his tenure sparks lawmaker debate about his legacy: 'Never serious'
- Sobering warning about AI’s potential harm focuses Congress’ attention
- Commander rejected plans to rebase before deadly drone strike, sources say
Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news
Signals (experimental)
Attention 56 Vector D · Held
Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)
Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly
Vugol Me Vector (experimental)
Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: high
Daily precision telemetry
Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans
Sources
- Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
- Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
- Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
- Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 b4d080fb5bc4 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).
Band: D · Held (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.