Governor · Ohio · 2026
General election · 3 on file, ballot not yet verified · Open seat (no incumbent)
Model rating Leans Republican (Tilting) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.
21 polls on file from pollsters we have not verified yet — shown below, not averaged. Model inputs: 3 of 7, updated yesterday. Sources · What is validated
News attention — — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. First run pending. How it works
Candidates on file — ballot not yet verified (3)
From FEC filings and public records. Filing with the FEC does not put someone on the ballot; we are checking each state’s certified candidate list and will mark who is on the November ballot.
Latest verified field polling
Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.
No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.
Polling average
21 polls on file for this race, all from quarantined (U-tier) pollsters — visible below, not yet averaged.
Key dates
Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.
- 2026-05-05 — Primary election: U.S. Senate
- 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House
Source: FEC election dates (public domain).
Primary and hypothetical polls (18)
Kept on file, never averaged into this race. Polls listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each linked to the pollster's own release.
- Republican primary · Bowling Green State University/YouGov · 2026-04-07–2026-04-14 · n=383 · Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 76%, Heather Hill 12%, Casey Putsch 12% · release
- Democratic primary · Bowling Green State University/YouGov · 2025-10-02–2025-10-14 · n=377 · Amy Acton (D) 50%, Tim Ryan 41% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · Bowling Green State University/YouGov · 2025-10-02–2025-10-14 · n=800 · Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 49%, Tim Ryan (D) 47% · release
- Republican primary · Bowling Green State University/YouGov · 2025-10-02–2025-10-14 · n=287 · Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 76%, Heather Hill 18% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · Emerson College · 2025-08-18–2025-08-19 · n=1,000 · Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 49%, Tim Ryan (D) 41% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · Bowling Green State University/YouGov · 2025-04-18–2025-04-24 · n=800 · Dave Yost (R) 46%, Amy Acton (D) 45% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · Bowling Green State University/YouGov · 2025-04-18–2025-04-24 · n=800 · Dave Yost (R) 46%, Tim Ryan (D) 44% · release
- Republican primary · Bowling Green State University/YouGov · 2025-04-18–2025-04-24 · n=359 · Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 64%, Dave Yost 13%, Heather Hill 4% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · Bowling Green State University/YouGov · 2025-04-18–2025-04-24 · n=800 · Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 51%, Tim Ryan (D) 44% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · Bowling Green State University/YouGov · 2025-04-18–2025-04-24 · n=800 · Jim Tressel (R) 46%, Tim Ryan (D) 43% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · Bowling Green State University/YouGov · 2025-04-18–2025-04-24 · n=800 · Jim Tressel (R) 46%, Amy Acton (D) 44% · release
- Republican primary · Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (partisan) · 2025-04-06–2025-04-10 · n=500 · Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 71%, Dave Yost 10%, Heather Hill 1% · release
- Republican primary · Bowling Green State University/YouGov · 2025-02-14–2025-02-21 · n=800 · Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 61%, Dave Yost 24%, Heather Hill 9% · release
- Democratic primary · Bowling Green State University/YouGov · 2025-02-14–2025-02-21 · n=335 · Sherrod Brown 59%, Amy Acton (D) 20%, Tim Ryan 17% · release
- Hypothetical matchup · Public Policy Polling (partisan) · 2025-02-19–2025-02-20 · n=642 · Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 48%, Tim Ryan (D) 42% · release
- Republican primary · National Public Affairs (partisan) · 2025-02-02–2025-02-05 · n=602 · Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 46%, Dave Yost 18% · release
- Republican primary · WPA Intelligence (partisan) · 2025-01-28–2025-01-30 · n=600 · Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 57%, Dave Yost 26% · release
- Republican primary · Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (partisan) · 2025-01-26–2025-01-27 · n=600 · Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 52%, Dave Yost 18% · release
In the news
- Ohio governor's race: Ramaswamy and Acton clash in rare Democratic pickup opportunity
- As MAGA turns toward ‘heritage Americans,’ Ramaswamy hopes it doesn’t leave him out
- 3 takeaways from our new polling averages: From the Politics Desk
Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news
Signals (experimental)
Attention — Vector R · Tilting
Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)
Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly
Signals for this race are being collected. The first Attention score lands after the nightly run reaches it; nothing is estimated in the meantime.
Vugol Me Vector (experimental)
Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: high
Daily precision telemetry
Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans
Sources
- Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
- Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
- Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
- Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).
Band: R · Tilting (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.