National tracker

Generic congressional ballot

Would voters pick the Democratic or the Republican candidate for the U.S. House? Every national generic-ballot poll for the 2026 midterms, with our own running average.

50.1%Democrats
42.1%Republicans
D+8.0Lead

Our average of 28 pollsters’ latest polls · as of 2026-09-30

25354555Feb 25May 25Aug 25Nov 25Feb 26May 26Aug 26HarrisX (2026-09-28): 50%YouGov (2026-09-28): 53%YouGov (2026-09-28): 45%Quinnipiac University (2026-09-27): 51%Angus Reid Global (2026-09-25): 45%Angus Reid Global (2026-09-25): 49%Angus Reid Global (2026-09-25): 56%Emerson College (2026-09-22): 53%McLaughlin & Associates (2026-09-22): 48%ActiVote (2026-09-21): 53%Echelon Insights (2026-09-21): 51%Verasight (2026-09-21): 49%Verasight (2026-09-21): 50%YouGov (2026-09-21): 52%YouGov (2026-09-21): 45%Morning Consult (2026-09-20): 50%Quantus Insights (2026-09-18): 50%CNN/SSRS (2026-09-17): 49%John Zogby Strategies (2026-09-17): 46%Clarity Campaign Labs (2026-09-16): 50%Big Data Poll (2026-09-15): 48%Big Data Poll (2026-09-15): 45%Emerson College (2026-09-15): 37%Marist University (2026-09-15): 53%Public Opinion Strategies (2026-09-15): 50%RMG Research (2026-09-15): 51%Ipsos (2026-09-14): 39%Ipsos (2026-09-14): 44%Shaw & Co. Research (2026-09-14): 51%The Rainey Center (2026-09-14): 48%YouGov (2026-09-14): 51%YouGov (2026-09-14): 44%Siena College (2026-09-13): 51%YouGov (2026-09-11): 54%ActiVote (2026-09-10): 52%Marquette University Law School (2026-09-09): 48%Marquette University Law School (2026-09-09): 50%YouGov (2026-09-09): 49%YouGov (2026-09-09): 38%YouGov (2026-09-08): 42%YouGov (2026-09-08): 49%Morning Consult (2026-09-06): 46%Quinnipiac University (2026-09-06): 49%Cygnal (2026-09-02): 51%Financial Times (2026-09-02): 46%Financial Times (2026-09-02): 51%Financial Times (2026-09-02): 52%Ipsos (2026-08-31): 43%Ipsos (2026-08-31): 38%HarrisX (2026-08-30): 51%ActiVote (2026-08-24): 52%Ipsos (2026-08-24): 41%McLaughlin & Associates (2026-08-24): 48%YouGov (2026-08-24): 37%YouGov (2026-08-24): 46%Echelon Insights (2026-08-17): 50%Emerson College (2026-08-17): 51%Ipsos (2026-08-17): 41%The Bullfinch Group (2026-08-17): 42%The Bullfinch Group (2026-08-17): 45%YouGov (2026-08-17): 46%Morning Consult (2026-08-16): 46%Morning Consult (2026-08-16): 47%Noble Predictive Insights (2026-08-16): 47%Angus Reid Global (2026-08-11): 45%Financial Times (2026-08-11): 48%Financial Times (2026-08-11): 49%Financial Times (2026-08-11): 51%Verasight (2026-08-11): 50%AlphaROC (2026-08-10): 41%YouGov (2026-08-10): 40%YouGov (2026-08-10): 46%Morning Consult (2026-08-09): 47%ActiVote (2026-08-08): 52.5%Cygnal (2026-08-07): 49%John Zogby Strategies (2026-08-05): 51%Quantus Insights (2026-08-04): 49%Ipsos (2026-08-03): 42%Ipsos (2026-08-03): 36%YouGov (2026-08-03): 46%YouGov (2026-08-03): 41%Morning Consult (2026-08-02): 46%Big Data Poll (2026-07-29): 50%Big Data Poll (2026-07-29): 49%Marquette University Law School (2026-07-29): 46%Marquette University Law School (2026-07-29): 45%Marquette University Law School (2026-07-29): 51%CNN/SSRS (2026-07-27): 47%Quinnipiac University (2026-07-27): 48%Ipsos (2026-07-26): 40%Ipsos (2026-07-26): 36%Morning Consult (2026-07-26): 46%Verasight (2026-07-26): 54%YouGov (2026-07-24): 47%Clarity Campaign Labs (2026-07-22): 52%McLaughlin & Associates (2026-07-21): 46%Emerson College (2026-07-20): 53%Focaldata (2026-07-20): 44%Shaw & Co. Research (2026-07-20): 53%YouGov (2026-07-20): 39%YouGov (2026-07-20): 46%Morning Consult (2026-07-19): 46%Verasight (2026-07-17): 48%Verasight (2026-07-17): 50%AlphaROC (2026-07-14): 42%RMG Research (2026-07-14): 47%Echelon Insights (2026-07-13): 50%Ipsos (2026-07-13): 48%Ipsos (2026-07-13): 53%Morning Consult (2026-07-13): 46%YouGov (2026-07-13): 46%YouGov (2026-07-13): 39%HarrisX (2026-07-12): 50%Morning Consult (2026-07-12): 46%Pew Research Center (2026-07-12): 43%Public Opinion Strategies (2026-07-12): 49%HarrisX (2026-07-10): 47%HarrisX (2026-07-10): 44%Quantus Insights (2026-07-07): 47%Manhattan Institute (2026-07-06): 47%Morning Consult (2026-07-05): 46%Zogby Analytics (2026-07-04): 42%Talker Research (2026-07-02): 48%Cygnal (2026-07-01): 50%Financial Times (2026-06-30): 47%Focaldata (2026-06-30): 50%YouGov (2026-06-29): 37%YouGov (2026-06-29): 45%ActiVote (2026-06-28): 53%AlphaROC (2026-06-28): 43%Big Data Poll (2026-06-28): 50.2%Big Data Poll (2026-06-28): 47%Morning Consult (2026-06-28): 46%Morning Consult (2026-06-28): 46%Morning Consult (2026-06-26): 45%McLaughlin & Associates (2026-06-23): 46%Echelon Insights (2026-06-22): 51%Ipsos (2026-06-22): 35%Ipsos (2026-06-22): 41%Quinnipiac University (2026-06-22): 49%Verasight (2026-06-22): 48%Verasight (2026-06-22): 50%YouGov (2026-06-22): 45%YouGov (2026-06-22): 38%Data for Progress (2026-06-21): 51%Quantus Insights (2026-06-17): 47%The Bullfinch Group (2026-06-16): 44%The Bullfinch Group (2026-06-16): 43%Ipsos (2026-06-15): 35%Ipsos (2026-06-15): 41%Marquette University Law School (2026-06-15): 53%YouGov (2026-06-15): 39%YouGov (2026-06-15): 46%Echelon Insights (2026-06-14): 50%Morning Consult (2026-06-14): 45.8%The Public Sentiment Institute (2026-06-13): 43%The Public Sentiment Institute (2026-06-13): 50%Emerson College (2026-06-08): 50.3%Ipsos (2026-06-08): 41%Ipsos (2026-06-08): 35%YouGov (2026-06-08): 45%YouGov (2026-06-08): 37%HarrisX (2026-06-07): 44%HarrisX (2026-06-07): 44%HarrisX (2026-06-07): 46%HarrisX (2026-06-07): 43%HarrisX (2026-06-07): 46%Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies (2026-06-07): 49%Morning Consult (2026-06-07): 46%Research Co. (2026-06-06): 38%Research Co. (2026-06-06): 38%Clarity Campaign Labs (2026-06-05): 48%Noble Predictive Insights (2026-06-04): 47%RMG Research (2026-06-04): 49%Cygnal (2026-06-03): 49%The Argument/Verasight (2026-06-03): 53%Quantus Insights (2026-06-02): 47%The Bullfinch Group (2026-06-02): 41%The Bullfinch Group (2026-06-02): 42%The Winston Group (2026-06-02): 48%HarrisX (2026-09-28): 50%YouGov (2026-09-28): 38%YouGov (2026-09-28): 37%Quinnipiac University (2026-09-27): 39%Angus Reid Global (2026-09-25): 34%Angus Reid Global (2026-09-25): 35%Angus Reid Global (2026-09-25): 40%Emerson College (2026-09-22): 42%McLaughlin & Associates (2026-09-22): 43%ActiVote (2026-09-21): 47%Echelon Insights (2026-09-21): 43%Verasight (2026-09-21): 41%Verasight (2026-09-21): 42%YouGov (2026-09-21): 38%YouGov (2026-09-21): 36%Morning Consult (2026-09-20): 43%Quantus Insights (2026-09-18): 42%CNN/SSRS (2026-09-17): 41%John Zogby Strategies (2026-09-17): 40%Clarity Campaign Labs (2026-09-16): 43%Big Data Poll (2026-09-15): 37%Big Data Poll (2026-09-15): 36%Emerson College (2026-09-15): 29%Marist University (2026-09-15): 41%Public Opinion Strategies (2026-09-15): 45%RMG Research (2026-09-15): 43%Ipsos (2026-09-14): 31%Ipsos (2026-09-14): 37%Shaw & Co. Research (2026-09-14): 44%The Rainey Center (2026-09-14): 42%YouGov (2026-09-14): 39%YouGov (2026-09-14): 39%Siena College (2026-09-13): 43%YouGov (2026-09-11): 46%ActiVote (2026-09-10): 48%Marquette University Law School (2026-09-09): 39%Marquette University Law School (2026-09-09): 42%YouGov (2026-09-09): 38%YouGov (2026-09-09): 28%YouGov (2026-09-08): 35%YouGov (2026-09-08): 38%Morning Consult (2026-09-06): 42%Quinnipiac University (2026-09-06): 38%Cygnal (2026-09-02): 42%Financial Times (2026-09-02): 41%Financial Times (2026-09-02): 44%Financial Times (2026-09-02): 45%Ipsos (2026-08-31): 38%Ipsos (2026-08-31): 31%HarrisX (2026-08-30): 49%ActiVote (2026-08-24): 48%Ipsos (2026-08-24): 35%McLaughlin & Associates (2026-08-24): 43%YouGov (2026-08-24): 31%YouGov (2026-08-24): 40%Echelon Insights (2026-08-17): 45%Emerson College (2026-08-17): 43%Ipsos (2026-08-17): 36%The Bullfinch Group (2026-08-17): 37%The Bullfinch Group (2026-08-17): 40%YouGov (2026-08-17): 39%Morning Consult (2026-08-16): 42%Morning Consult (2026-08-16): 42%Noble Predictive Insights (2026-08-16): 42%Angus Reid Global (2026-08-11): 36%Financial Times (2026-08-11): 41%Financial Times (2026-08-11): 43%Financial Times (2026-08-11): 45%Verasight (2026-08-11): 43%AlphaROC (2026-08-10): 37%YouGov (2026-08-10): 32%YouGov (2026-08-10): 40%Morning Consult (2026-08-09): 42%ActiVote (2026-08-08): 47.5%Cygnal (2026-08-07): 42%John Zogby Strategies (2026-08-05): 40%Quantus Insights (2026-08-04): 43%Ipsos (2026-08-03): 37%Ipsos (2026-08-03): 30%YouGov (2026-08-03): 42%YouGov (2026-08-03): 33%Morning Consult (2026-08-02): 42%Big Data Poll (2026-07-29): 39%Big Data Poll (2026-07-29): 38%Marquette University Law School (2026-07-29): 44%Marquette University Law School (2026-07-29): 41%Marquette University Law School (2026-07-29): 45%CNN/SSRS (2026-07-27): 39%Quinnipiac University (2026-07-27): 41%Ipsos (2026-07-26): 38%Ipsos (2026-07-26): 32%Morning Consult (2026-07-26): 43%Verasight (2026-07-26): 46%YouGov (2026-07-24): 40%Clarity Campaign Labs (2026-07-22): 42%McLaughlin & Associates (2026-07-21): 44%Emerson College (2026-07-20): 42%Focaldata (2026-07-20): 36%Shaw & Co. Research (2026-07-20): 46%YouGov (2026-07-20): 33%YouGov (2026-07-20): 41%Morning Consult (2026-07-19): 43%Verasight (2026-07-17): 42%Verasight (2026-07-17): 43%AlphaROC (2026-07-14): 37%RMG Research (2026-07-14): 45%Echelon Insights (2026-07-13): 44%Ipsos (2026-07-13): 45%Ipsos (2026-07-13): 45%Morning Consult (2026-07-13): 43%YouGov (2026-07-13): 42%YouGov (2026-07-13): 35%HarrisX (2026-07-12): 50%Morning Consult (2026-07-12): 43%Pew Research Center (2026-07-12): 37%Public Opinion Strategies (2026-07-12): 45%HarrisX (2026-07-10): 44%HarrisX (2026-07-10): 41%Quantus Insights (2026-07-07): 42%Manhattan Institute (2026-07-06): 43%Morning Consult (2026-07-05): 42%Zogby Analytics (2026-07-04): 36%Talker Research (2026-07-02): 39%Cygnal (2026-07-01): 44%Financial Times (2026-06-30): 39%Focaldata (2026-06-30): 43%YouGov (2026-06-29): 35%YouGov (2026-06-29): 42%ActiVote (2026-06-28): 47%AlphaROC (2026-06-28): 37%Big Data Poll (2026-06-28): 41%Big Data Poll (2026-06-28): 39%Morning Consult (2026-06-28): 42%Morning Consult (2026-06-28): 42%Morning Consult (2026-06-26): 39%McLaughlin & Associates (2026-06-23): 43%Echelon Insights (2026-06-22): 45%Ipsos (2026-06-22): 31%Ipsos (2026-06-22): 36%Quinnipiac University (2026-06-22): 42%Verasight (2026-06-22): 42%Verasight (2026-06-22): 43%YouGov (2026-06-22): 43%YouGov (2026-06-22): 35%Data for Progress (2026-06-21): 44%Quantus Insights (2026-06-17): 43%The Bullfinch Group (2026-06-16): 36%The Bullfinch Group (2026-06-16): 34%Ipsos (2026-06-15): 31%Ipsos (2026-06-15): 38%Marquette University Law School (2026-06-15): 45%YouGov (2026-06-15): 36%YouGov (2026-06-15): 44%Echelon Insights (2026-06-14): 44%Morning Consult (2026-06-14): 41.9%The Public Sentiment Institute (2026-06-13): 34%The Public Sentiment Institute (2026-06-13): 41%Emerson College (2026-06-08): 39.5%Ipsos (2026-06-08): 37%Ipsos (2026-06-08): 31%YouGov (2026-06-08): 41%YouGov (2026-06-08): 33%HarrisX (2026-06-07): 43%HarrisX (2026-06-07): 43%HarrisX (2026-06-07): 45%HarrisX (2026-06-07): 42%HarrisX (2026-06-07): 45%Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies (2026-06-07): 44%Morning Consult (2026-06-07): 42%Research Co. (2026-06-06): 33%Research Co. (2026-06-06): 33%Clarity Campaign Labs (2026-06-05): 45%Noble Predictive Insights (2026-06-04): 41%RMG Research (2026-06-04): 45%Cygnal (2026-06-03): 44%The Argument/Verasight (2026-06-03): 47%Quantus Insights (2026-06-02): 42%The Bullfinch Group (2026-06-02): 34%The Bullfinch Group (2026-06-02): 36%The Winston Group (2026-06-02): 41%

Democrats Republicans · lines are the weekly average, dots are individual polls

Every poll (713, newest 150 shown)

PollsterDatesSampleMoEDemocratsRepublicansSource
HarrisX for Harvard / Harris Poll2026-09-26 – 2026-09-282,200 RV±2.150%50%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-09-25 – 2026-09-281,003 LV±3.153%38%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-09-25 – 2026-09-281,423 RV±2.645%37%source
Quinnipiac University2026-09-24 – 2026-09-271,032 RV±3.151%39%source
Angus Reid Global2026-09-19 – 2026-09-251,205 A±2.845%34%source
Angus Reid Global2026-09-19 – 2026-09-251,041 RV±349%35%source
Angus Reid Global2026-09-19 – 2026-09-25919 RV±3.256%40%source
Emerson College2026-09-21 – 2026-09-221,000 LV±3.153%42%source
McLaughlin & Associates for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-09-16 – 2026-09-221,000 LV±3.148%43%source
ActiVote2026-09-11 – 2026-09-211,000 LV±3.153%47%source
Echelon Insights2026-09-17 – 2026-09-211,002 LV±3.151%43%source
Verasight for Strength In Numbers2026-09-16 – 2026-09-211,528 A±2.549%41%source
Verasight for Strength In Numbers2026-09-16 – 2026-09-211,374 RV±2.650%42%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-09-18 – 2026-09-21975 LV±3.152%38%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-09-18 – 2026-09-211,394 RV±2.645%36%source
Morning Consult2026-09-18 – 2026-09-2018,336 LV±0.750%43%source
Quantus Insights for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-09-15 – 2026-09-181,389 LV±2.650%42%source
CNN/SSRS2026-09-16 – 2026-09-17867 RV±3.349%41%source
John Zogby Strategies2026-09-15 – 2026-09-171,007 LV±3.146%40%source
Clarity Campaign Labs for Democratic-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-09-11 – 2026-09-161,046 LV±350%43%source
Big Data Poll for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-09-13 – 2026-09-152,633 LV±1.948%37%source
Big Data Poll for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-09-13 – 2026-09-152,947 RV±1.845%36%source
Emerson College for RealClear Opinion Research2026-09-12 – 2026-09-151,500 RV±2.537%29%source
Marist University2026-09-14 – 2026-09-151,280 RV±2.753%41%source
Public Opinion Strategies for Hart Research Associates (D) partisan2026-09-11 – 2026-09-151,000 RV±3.150%45%source
RMG Research2026-09-08 – 2026-09-152,000 RV±2.251%43%source
Ipsos for Reuters2026-09-11 – 2026-09-141,143 A±2.939%31%source
Ipsos for Reuters2026-09-11 – 2026-09-14896 RV±3.344%37%source
Shaw & Co. Research for Beacon Research (D) partisan2026-09-11 – 2026-09-141,211 RV±2.851%44%source
The Rainey Center2026-09-10 – 2026-09-141,004 RV±3.148%42%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-09-11 – 2026-09-141,051 LV±351%39%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-09-11 – 2026-09-141,455 RV±2.644%39%source
Siena College for New York Times2026-09-08 – 2026-09-131,503 LV±2.551%43%source
YouGov for CBS News2026-09-08 – 2026-09-111,750 LV±2.354%46%source
ActiVote2026-08-31 – 2026-09-101,000 LV±3.152%48%source
Marquette University Law School2026-09-02 – 2026-09-091,023 A±3.148%39%source
Marquette University Law School2026-09-02 – 2026-09-09864 RV±3.350%42%source
YouGov for Catawba College2026-09-04 – 2026-09-09779 LV±3.549%38%source
YouGov for Catawba College2026-09-04 – 2026-09-091,201 A±2.838%28%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-09-04 – 2026-09-081,464 RV±2.642%35%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-09-04 – 2026-09-081,015 LV±3.149%38%source
Morning Consult2026-09-04 – 2026-09-062,203 RV±2.146%42%source
Quinnipiac University2026-09-03 – 2026-09-06970 RV±3.149%38%source
Cygnal for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-09-01 – 2026-09-021,500 LV±2.551%42%source
Financial Times for Focaldata2026-08-28 – 2026-09-022,178 A±2.146%41%source
Financial Times for Focaldata2026-08-28 – 2026-09-021,837 RV±2.351%44%source
Financial Times for Focaldata2026-08-28 – 2026-09-021,837 LV±2.352%45%source
Ipsos for Reuters2026-08-28 – 2026-08-31924 RV±3.243%38%source
Ipsos for Reuters2026-08-28 – 2026-08-311,167 A±2.938%31%source
HarrisX for Harvard / Harris Poll2026-08-28 – 2026-08-302,100 RV±2.151%49%source
ActiVote2026-08-10 – 2026-08-241,000 LV±3.152%48%source
Ipsos for Reuters2026-08-21 – 2026-08-24951 RV±3.241%35%source
McLaughlin & Associates for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-08-14 – 2026-08-241,000 LV±3.148%43%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-08-21 – 2026-08-241,534 A±2.537%31%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-08-21 – 2026-08-241,377 RV±2.646%40%source
Echelon Insights2026-08-13 – 2026-08-171,002 LV±3.150%45%source
Emerson College2026-08-16 – 2026-08-171,000 LV±3.151%43%source
Ipsos for Reuters2026-08-14 – 2026-08-17876 RV±3.341%36%source
The Bullfinch Group2026-08-14 – 2026-08-171,000 RV±3.142%37%source
The Bullfinch Group2026-08-14 – 2026-08-171,200 A±2.845%40%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-08-14 – 2026-08-171,449 RV±2.646%39%source
Morning Consult2026-08-10 – 2026-08-1629,719 RV±0.646%42%source
Morning Consult for Cato Institute2026-08-13 – 2026-08-164,150 RV±1.547%42%source
Noble Predictive Insights for The Center Square2026-08-12 – 2026-08-162,533 RV±1.947%42%source
Angus Reid Global2026-08-08 – 2026-08-111,525 A±2.545%36%source
Financial Times for Focaldata2026-08-07 – 2026-08-112,152 A±2.148%41%source
Financial Times for Focaldata2026-08-07 – 2026-08-111,913 RV±2.249%43%source
Financial Times for Focaldata2026-08-07 – 2026-08-111,857 LV±2.351%45%source
Verasight for Wave Polling2026-08-07 – 2026-08-111,591 RV±2.550%43%source
AlphaROC2026-08-08 – 2026-08-101,000 A±3.141%37%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-08-07 – 2026-08-101,558 A±2.540%32%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-08-07 – 2026-08-101,419 RV±2.646%40%source
Morning Consult2026-08-03 – 2026-08-0929,719 RV±0.647%42%source
ActiVote2026-07-29 – 2026-08-081,000 LV±3.152.5%47.5%source
Cygnal for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-08-06 – 2026-08-071,500 LV±2.549%42%source
John Zogby Strategies2026-08-04 – 2026-08-05921 LV±3.251%40%source
Quantus Insights for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-08-03 – 2026-08-041,048 LV±349%43%source
Ipsos for Reuters2026-07-29 – 2026-08-033,542 RV±1.642%37%source
Ipsos for Reuters2026-07-29 – 2026-08-034,505 A±1.536%30%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-07-31 – 2026-08-031,472 RV±2.646%42%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-07-31 – 2026-08-031,607 A±2.441%33%source
Morning Consult2026-07-27 – 2026-08-0224,000 RV±0.646%42%source
Big Data Poll for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-07-27 – 2026-07-292,617 LV±1.950%39%source
Big Data Poll for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-07-27 – 2026-07-292,922 RV±1.849%38%source
Marquette University Law School2026-07-22 – 2026-07-29886 RV±3.346%44%source
Marquette University Law School2026-07-22 – 2026-07-291,076 A±345%41%source
Marquette University Law School2026-07-22 – 2026-07-29572 LV±4.151%45%source
CNN/SSRS2026-07-23 – 2026-07-27914 RV±3.247%39%source
Quinnipiac University2026-07-23 – 2026-07-27963 RV±3.248%41%source
Ipsos for Reuters2026-07-24 – 2026-07-261,003 RV±3.140%38%source
Ipsos for Reuters2026-07-24 – 2026-07-261,246 A±2.836%32%source
Morning Consult2026-07-20 – 2026-07-2624,000 RV±0.646%43%source
Verasight for The Argument2026-07-20 – 2026-07-263,000 RV±1.854%46%source
YouGov for CBS News2026-07-22 – 2026-07-241,474 RV±2.647%40%source
Clarity Campaign Labs for Democratic-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-07-17 – 2026-07-221,000 LV±3.152%42%source
McLaughlin & Associates for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-07-15 – 2026-07-211,000 LV±3.146%44%source
Emerson College2026-07-19 – 2026-07-201,100 LV±353%42%source
Focaldata2026-07-14 – 2026-07-202,064 A±2.244%36%source
Shaw & Co. Research for Beacon Research (D) partisan2026-07-17 – 2026-07-201,003 RV±3.153%46%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-07-17 – 2026-07-201,602 A±2.439%33%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-07-17 – 2026-07-201,432 RV±2.646%41%source
Morning Consult2026-07-17 – 2026-07-192,200 RV±2.146%43%source
Verasight for Strength In Numbers2026-07-14 – 2026-07-171,514 A±2.548%42%source
Verasight for Strength In Numbers2026-07-14 – 2026-07-171,364 RV±2.750%43%source
AlphaROC2026-07-13 – 2026-07-141,000 A±3.142%37%source
RMG Research2026-07-06 – 2026-07-142,000 RV±2.247%45%source
Echelon Insights2026-07-09 – 2026-07-131,004 LV±3.150%44%source
Ipsos for The Washington Post2026-07-08 – 2026-07-132,092 RV±2.148%45%source
Ipsos for The Washington Post2026-07-08 – 2026-07-131,483 LV±2.553%45%source
Morning Consult2026-07-10 – 2026-07-132,200 RV±2.146%43%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-07-10 – 2026-07-131,447 RV±2.646%42%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-07-10 – 2026-07-131,612 A±2.439%35%source
HarrisX for Harvard / Harris Poll2026-07-11 – 2026-07-121,776 RV±2.350%50%source
Morning Consult2026-07-06 – 2026-07-1224,000 RV±0.646%43%source
Pew Research Center2026-07-06 – 2026-07-122,779 RV±1.943%37%source
Public Opinion Strategies for Hart Research Associates (D) partisan2026-07-08 – 2026-07-121,000 RV±3.149%45%source
HarrisX for 2WAY2026-07-09 – 2026-07-10787 LV±3.547%44%source
HarrisX for 2WAY2026-07-09 – 2026-07-101,019 RV±3.144%41%source
Quantus Insights for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-07-03 – 2026-07-071,140 LV±2.947%42%source
Manhattan Institute2026-07-01 – 2026-07-061,121 LV±2.947%43%source
Morning Consult2026-06-29 – 2026-07-0524,000 RV±0.646%42%source
Zogby Analytics2026-07-01 – 2026-07-041,003 LV±3.142%36%source
Talker Research2026-06-25 – 2026-07-022,000 RV±2.248%39%source
Cygnal for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-06-30 – 2026-07-011,500 LV±2.550%44%source
Financial Times for Focaldata2026-06-26 – 2026-06-302,016 A±2.247%39%source
Focaldata for Financial Times2026-06-26 – 2026-06-301,795 RV±2.350%43%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-06-26 – 2026-06-291,603 A±2.437%35%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-06-26 – 2026-06-291,426 RV±2.645%42%source
ActiVote2026-06-06 – 2026-06-281,000 LV±3.153%47%source
AlphaROC2026-06-27 – 2026-06-281,000 A±3.143%37%source
Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project2026-06-26 – 2026-06-282,604 LV±1.950.2%41%source
Big Data Poll for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-06-26 – 2026-06-282,971 RV±1.847%39%source
Morning Consult2026-06-22 – 2026-06-2824,000 RV±0.646%42%source
Morning Consult2026-06-26 – 2026-06-282,202 RV±2.146%42%source
Morning Consult for Cato Institute2026-06-25 – 2026-06-261,797 RV±2.345%39%source
McLaughlin & Associates for Republican-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-06-17 – 2026-06-231,000 LV±3.146%43%source
Echelon Insights2026-06-18 – 2026-06-221,003 LV±3.151%45%source
Ipsos for Reuters2026-06-18 – 2026-06-221,262 A±2.835%31%source
Ipsos2026-06-18 – 2026-06-22978 RV±3.141%36%source
Quinnipiac University2026-06-18 – 2026-06-221,165 RV±2.949%42%source
Verasight for Strength In Numbers2026-06-17 – 2026-06-222,087 A±2.148%42%source
Verasight for Strength in Numbers2026-06-17 – 2026-06-221,896 RV±2.350%43%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-06-19 – 2026-06-221,517 RV±2.545%43%source
YouGov for The Economist2026-06-19 – 2026-06-221,679 A±2.438%35%source
Data for Progress for Democratic-affiliated (as labeled by source) partisan2026-05-15 – 2026-06-215,809 LV±1.351%44%source
Quantus Insights2026-06-16 – 2026-06-171,000 LV±3.147%43%source
The Bullfinch Group for The Independent Center2026-06-12 – 2026-06-161,000 RV±3.144%36%source
The Bullfinch Group for The Independent Center2026-06-12 – 2026-06-161,200 A±2.843%34%source
Ipsos2026-06-12 – 2026-06-151,537 A±2.535%31%source
Ipsos for Reuters2026-06-12 – 2026-06-151,195 RV±2.841%38%source

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How this tracker works

  • Polls. Every national poll of this question we can find, each linked to its source: the pollster’s release (listed by VoteHub, CC BY 4.0) or Wikipedia’s poll tables (CC BY-SA 4.0, linked to the exact revision read).
  • Average. Each pollster counts once (its latest poll in the last 60 days). Polls are weighted by sample size, recency (half-life 14 days) and a half weight for partisan sponsors. At least 3 pollsters, or no number is shown. We never average other sites’ averages. Margin of error is computed from the sample size (95%, worst case).
  • Automation. New polls arrive nightly and publish automatically only when they pass our checks; anything unusual waits for a person. See the methodology.
  • Not a verified release. Pollsters not yet verified by staff are included and labelled on pollsters. Model national-tracker-1.0.0 (aggregate-v1.0.0 inputs: latest poll per pollster).

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