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Home / Races / Illinois / U.S. House — IL-09
IL2026

U.S. House — IL-09 · Illinois · 2026

General election · 2 on the November ballot · Open seat (no incumbent)

Community poll

Model rating Leans Democratic (Anchored) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 3 of 7, updated yesterday. Sources · What is validated

News attention 70/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 3 days ago. How it works

On the November ballot (1)

From reported primary results, checked 2026-09-29. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.

Daniel BissU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09228DemocraticOn the ballotFEC raised$2.9M

Ran in the primary (11)

Lost a primary or runoff for this seat — not on the November ballot.

Bushra AmiwalaU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09236DemocraticLost primaryFEC raised$1.2MHoward RosenblumU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09251DemocraticLost primaryFEC raised$141KJeff CohenU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09376DemocraticLost primaryFEC raised$793KJustin FordU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09327DemocraticLost primaryFEC raised$28KKatherine M. AbughazalehU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09178DemocraticLost primaryFEC raised$4.1MKhai-Hoan HuynhU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09285DemocraticLost primaryFEC raised$1.0MLaura FineU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09194DemocraticLost primaryFEC raised$2.8MMike SimmonsU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09293DemocraticLost primaryFEC raised$466KNick PyatiU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09319DemocraticLost primaryFEC raised$273KPhilip Jerome AndrewU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09301DemocraticLost primaryFEC raised$1.4MSam PolanU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09343DemocraticLost primaryFEC raised$377K

Other filers (4)

Registered with the FEC or listed in public records, but not on the November ballot as far as the results show.

Bruce LeonU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09277DemocraticNot on the November ballotFEC raised$902KDongbo SuU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09210RepublicanNot on the November ballotFEC raised$24KJill ManriqueU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09335DemocraticNot on the November ballotFEC raised$5KMiracle JenkinsU.S. House — IL-09 · FEC H6IL09202DemocraticNot on the November ballotFEC raised$29K

Ballot source: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/us/elections/results-illinois-us-house-9-primary.html

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no polls yet

No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.

Campaign money (FEC)

Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on handThrough
Bruce Leon Democratic$901,579$283,176$618,4032026-06-30
Bushra Amiwala Democratic$1,182,078$1,123,242$58,8362026-06-30
Daniel Biss Democratic$2,946,675$2,684,545$262,1302026-06-30
Dongbo Su Republican$24,115$21,723$02026-06-30
Howard Rosenblum Democratic$141,148$90,914$39,3402026-03-31
Jeff Cohen Democratic$792,825$792,825$02026-08-27
Jill Manrique Democratic$5,397$5,324$732025-09-30
Justin Ford Democratic$28,211$27,534$3112026-03-17
Katherine M. Abughazaleh Democratic$4,073,733$4,056,268$17,4652026-06-30
Khai-Hoan Huynh Democratic$1,043,341$1,052,713$-13,9972026-06-30
Laura Fine Democratic$2,777,777$2,776,527$1,2492026-06-30
Mike Simmons Democratic$466,251$459,055$7,1962026-06-30
Miracle Jenkins Democratic$29,446$27,185$2,2612025-06-30
Nick Pyati Democratic$273,295$273,295$02026-06-30
Philip Jerome Andrew Democratic$1,415,877$1,415,877$02026-04-20
Sam Polan Democratic$377,429$377,429$02026-07-03

Results

Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.

Democratic primary · official results

Daniel Biss won38,80429.4%
Kat Abughazaleh34,70726.3%
Laura Fine26,38420.0%
Mike Simmons9,4197.1%
Phil Andrew7,9976.1%
Bushra Amiwala6,6925.1%
Hoan Huynh2,3431.8%
Patricia Brown1,6751.3%
Jeff Cohen1,0780.8%
Justin Ford7930.6%
Bethany Johnson6350.5%
Sam Polan5280.4%
Howard Rosenblum3120.2%
Nick Pyati2410.2%
Mark Fredrickson2320.2%

Republican primary

John Elleson won7,54548.9%
Paul Friedman5,18533.6%
Rocío Cleveland1,4699.5%
Mark Su1,2458.1%

Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-29 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

  • 2026-03-17 — Primary election: U.S. House
  • 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Primary and hypothetical polls (9)

Kept on file, never averaged into this race. Polls listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each linked to the pollster's own release.

  • Democratic primary · Public Policy Polling (partisan) · 2026-03-09–2026-03-10 · n=741 · Daniel Biss (D) 24%, Kat Abughazaleh (D) 20%, Laura Fine (D) 14%, Mike Simmons (D) 10%, Phil Andrew (D) 7%, Bushra Amiwala (D) 6%, Hoan Huynh (D) 1% · release
  • Democratic primary · Public Policy Polling (partisan) · 2026-02-20–2026-02-21 · n=501 · Daniel Biss (D) 24%, Kat Abughazaleh (D) 17%, Laura Fine (D) 16%, Mike Simmons (D) 6%, Phil Andrew (D) 5%, Bushra Amiwala (D) 4%, Hoan Huynh (D) 2% · release
  • Democratic primary · Community Pulse/Molitico (partisan) · 2026-02-15–2026-02-20 · n=638 · Daniel Biss (D) 31%, Laura Fine (D) 14%, Kat Abughazaleh (D) 13%, Mike Simmons (D) 9%, Bushra Amiwala (D) 7%, Phil Andrew (D) 4%, Hoan Huynh (D) 2% · release
  • Democratic primary · Impact Research (partisan) · 2026-02-05–2026-02-10 · n=500 · Daniel Biss (D) 31%, Kat Abughazaleh (D) 18%, Laura Fine (D) 18%, Mike Simmons (D) 7%, Phil Andrew (D) 7%, Bushra Amiwala (D) 4%, Hoan Huynh (D) 3% · release
  • Democratic primary · GBAO Strategies (partisan) · 2026-01-26–2026-01-29 · n=500 · Daniel Biss (D) 21%, Laura Fine (D) 21%, Kat Abughazaleh (D) 14%, Mike Simmons (D) 7%, Phil Andrew (D) 4%, Bushra Amiwala (D) 4%, Hoan Huynh (D) 2% · release
  • Democratic primary · Impact Research (partisan) · 2025-11-04–2025-11-09 · n=500 · Daniel Biss (D) 31%, Kat Abughazaleh (D) 17%, Laura Fine (D) 10%, Mike Simmons (D) 6%, Hoan Huynh (D) 4%, Bushra Amiwala (D) 3%, Phil Andrew (D) 3% · release
  • Democratic primary · Data for Progress (partisan) · 2025-10-29–2025-11-03 · n=569 · Daniel Biss (D) 18%, Kat Abughazaleh (D) 18%, Laura Fine (D) 10%, Bushra Amiwala (D) 6%, Mike Simmons (D) 6%, Hoan Huynh (D) 5%, Phil Andrew (D) 1% · release
  • Democratic primary · MDW Communications (partisan) · 2025-10-14–2025-10-16 · n=917 · Daniel Biss (D) 18%, Kat Abughazaleh (D) 13%, Laura Fine (D) 9%, Mike Simmons (D) 4%, Hoan Huynh (D) 3%, Phil Andrew (D) 2%, Bushra Amiwala (D) 2% · release
  • Democratic primary · MDW Communications (partisan) · 2025-06-12–2025-06-15 · n=899 · Daniel Biss (D) 17%, Kat Abughazaleh (D) 10%, Laura Fine (D) 8%, Mike Simmons (D) 4%, Hoan Huynh (D) 3%, Bushra Amiwala (D) 2%, Phil Andrew (D) 0% · release

Signals (experimental)

Attention 70 Vector D · Anchored

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0
70OUT OF 100Moderate attention
Attention percentile99th
7-day momentum0 / 100
Source breadth100% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0
Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean
AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored
Completeness3 of 7 inputs (national, prior, money) · missing: pres, incumbent, pulse, poll
Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only
Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-27 (3 days ago)
Vector component signals · estimated margin D +38.5Fundraising velocity (FEC)D +8.0Last result for this seat (2024 D +36.8, national swing D +10.5)D +47.3National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-29), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Band: D · Anchored (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.