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OH2026

U.S. House — OH-01 · Ohio · 2026

General election · 3 on the November ballot · Incumbent running

Model rating Leans Democratic (Held) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

1 poll on file from pollsters we have not verified yet — shown below, not averaged. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated yesterday. Sources · What is validated

News attention 50/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 2 days ago. How it works

On the November ballot (2)

From reported primary results, checked 2026-09-29. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.

Ran in the primary (3)

Lost a primary or runoff for this seat — not on the November ballot.

Other filers (1)

Registered with the FEC or listed in public records, but not on the November ballot as far as the results show.

Ballot source: https://publicfiles.ohiosos.gov/election-results/past-elections/2026/Primary+Special%20Election%20-%20May%205,%202026/group1/summary-level-official-results-2026-primary---democratic.xlsx

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no verified inputs yet

1 poll on file for this race, all from quarantined (U-tier) pollsters — visible below, not yet averaged.

25405590d60d30dtoday
Greg Landsman (D)Eric Conroy (R)● verified poll · ○ quarantined poll · ◎ live average

Campaign money (FEC)

Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on handThrough
Greg Landsman Democratic$4,633,250$1,203,152$3,610,2142026-06-30
Damon Lynch IV Democratic$13,630$9,409$4,2212026-04-22
Eric Conroy Republican$1,513,614$1,039,457$474,1562026-06-30
Holly Adams Republican$412,794$412,794$02026-06-22
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry Republican$44,090$42,463$1862026-04-15
Steven Erbeck Republican$834,934$834,934$0fec.gov

Results

Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.

Democratic primary · official results

Greg Landsman (incumbent) won36,98467.9%
Damon Lynch IV17,48332.1%

Libertarian primary · official results

John Hancock won53591.3%
Jason Stoops (write-in)518.7%

Republican primary · official results

Eric Conroy won25,60371.9%
Holly Adams7,02019.7%
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry2,9948.4%

Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-29 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

  • 2026-05-05 — Primary election: U.S. House
  • 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Signals (experimental)

Attention 50 Vector D · Held

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0
50OUT OF 100Moderate attention
Attention percentile61th
7-day momentum33 / 100
Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0
Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean
AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored
Completeness4 of 7 inputs (national, prior, incumbent, money) · missing: pres, pulse, poll
Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only
Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-28 (2 days ago)
Vector component signals · estimated margin D +13.5Fundraising velocity (FEC)D +2.9Last result for this seat (2024 D +9.2, national swing D +10.5)D +19.7IncumbencyD +6.0National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-29), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Band: D · Held (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.