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The 2026 Race Index & Ratings Board

Every Senate, House and Governor race, scored two ways: Attention — how loud a race is right now across news, Wikipedia and Bluesky — and Vector — which way it leans and how firmly. Neither is a poll or a forecast. How they work →

579 races tracked575 with a lean rating0 with a verified pollUpdated 2026-09-30 UTC
The ratings board

Every race, from safe Democratic to safe Republican

D Anchored174
  1. TX-37Attention 83
  2. IL-09Attention 70
  3. MD GovernorAttention 70
  4. NY-12Attention 68
  5. CT-04Attention 67
  6. IL-03Attention 65
  7. CT Attorney GeneralAttention 64
  8. RI GovernorAttention 63
  9. TN-09Attention 62
  10. MI-12Attention 62
+164 more
D Held69
  1. NM GovernorAttention 70
  2. MI-03Attention 68
  3. NJ SenateAttention 64
  4. IL GovernorAttention 63
  5. IL Secretary of StateAttention 59
  6. PA GovernorAttention 59
  7. FL-22Attention 58
  8. NY-04Attention 58
  9. IL Attorney GeneralAttention 58
  10. IL-14Attention 57
+59 more
D Tilting41
  1. NV-01Attention 75
  2. MN SenateAttention 74
  3. AZ Attorney GeneralAttention 70
  4. NY-03Attention 67
  5. TX-34Attention 67
  6. NY-19Attention 66
  7. AZ Secretary of StateAttention 62
  8. WI GovernorAttention 61
  9. FL-25Attention 61
  10. AZ GovernorAttention 60
+31 more
Toss-up56
  1. NV GovernorAttention 67
  2. GA GovernorAttention 66
  3. KS SenateAttention 66
  4. GA Lieutenant GovernorAttention 65
  5. IA-03Attention 63
  6. PA-08Attention 63
  7. FL-13Attention 62
  8. FL SenateAttention 59
  9. IA Attorney GeneralAttention 59
  10. TX SenateAttention 59
+46 more
R Tilting69
  1. MS SenateAttention 75
  2. FL-16Attention 65
  3. NE SenateAttention 61
  4. OH Attorney GeneralAttention 61
  5. FL GovernorAttention 60
  6. OH GovernorAttention 58
  7. SC SenateAttention 56
  8. SC GovernorAttention 56
  9. LA SenateAttention 56
  10. FL-27Attention 55
+59 more
R Held69
  1. MI-02Attention 63
  2. AR SenateAttention 61
  3. GA-14Attention 60
  4. OH-14Attention 58
  5. TX-10Attention 58
  6. TN SenateAttention 58
  7. CA-01Attention 56
  8. SD SenateAttention 56
  9. KY SenateAttention 55
  10. OK SenateAttention 54
+59 more
R Anchored97
  1. FL-19Attention 71
  2. MO-08Attention 62
  3. FL-26Attention 60
  4. WY SenateAttention 60
  5. NE-03Attention 60
  6. ND Secretary of StateAttention 58
  7. AL GovernorAttention 58
  8. FL-12Attention 58
  9. ND Attorney GeneralAttention 56
  10. IN-09Attention 56
+87 more

4 races not yet rated — see them

Each race sits in its column by the polling average where one exists, Vugol Vector otherwise; loudest first. Click a column head to list just those races below.

Loudest first

Contested races & battlegrounds

40 of 138
D · Anchored174D · Held69D · Tilting41Toss-up56R · Tilting69R · Held69R · Anchored97Unrated4✓ Verified poll on fileClear filters
MSU.S. SenateR · TiltingMississippi SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 75/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseR · TiltingFlorida's 16th DistrictFL-16 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 65/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseR · HeldMichigan's 2nd DistrictMI-02 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 63/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NEU.S. SenateR · TiltingNebraska SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 61/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ARU.S. SenateR · HeldArkansas SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 61/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OHStatewideR · TiltingOhio Attorney GeneralStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 61/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLGovernorR · TiltingFlorida GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
GAU.S. HouseR · HeldGeorgia's 14th DistrictGA-14 · GeorgiaModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OHGovernorR · TiltingOhio GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OHU.S. HouseR · HeldOhio's 14th DistrictOH-14 · OhioModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TXU.S. HouseR · HeldTexas's 10th DistrictTX-10 · TexasModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TNU.S. SenateR · HeldTennessee SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseR · HeldCalifornia's 1st DistrictCA-01 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
SCU.S. SenateR · TiltingSouth Carolina SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
SDU.S. SenateR · HeldSouth Dakota SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
SCGovernorR · TiltingSouth Carolina GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
LAU.S. SenateR · TiltingLouisiana SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseR · TiltingFlorida's 27th DistrictFL-27 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
KYU.S. SenateR · HeldKentucky SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OKU.S. SenateR · HeldOklahoma SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 54/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseR · HeldNew York's 11th DistrictNY-11 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 54/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
KSU.S. HouseR · TiltingKansas's 2nd DistrictKS-02 · KansasModel ratingNews attention 53/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OHStatewideR · TiltingOhio Secretary of StateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 53/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TXU.S. HouseR · HeldTexas's 21st DistrictTX-21 · TexasModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseR · TiltingFlorida's 3rd DistrictFL-03 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
KSU.S. HouseR · HeldKansas's 4th DistrictKS-04 · KansasModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
WAU.S. HouseR · TiltingWashington's 5th DistrictWA-05 · WashingtonModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
UTU.S. HouseR · HeldUtah's 1st DistrictUT-01 · UtahModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
INStatewideR · TiltingIndiana Secretary of StateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
IAGovernorR · TiltingIowa GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OHU.S. HouseR · TiltingOhio's 7th DistrictOH-07 · OhioModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseR · HeldNew York's 24th DistrictNY-24 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
SCU.S. HouseR · TiltingSouth Carolina's 2nd DistrictSC-02 · South CarolinaModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseR · HeldFlorida's 28th DistrictFL-28 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NCU.S. HouseR · TiltingNorth Carolina's 5th DistrictNC-05 · North CarolinaModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OKU.S. HouseR · TiltingOklahoma's 5th DistrictOK-05 · OklahomaModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AZU.S. HouseR · HeldArizona's 9th DistrictAZ-09 · ArizonaModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAU.S. HouseR · HeldPennsylvania's 11th DistrictPA-11 · PennsylvaniaModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AKGovernorR · HeldAlaska GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 48/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OKGovernorR · HeldOklahoma GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 48/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll

Show more races (40 of 138)