Secretary of State · Ohio · 2026

Name: Secretary of State, Ohio — Vugol Me Attention & Vector
Creator: Vugol Me
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

General election · 3 on file, ballot not yet verified · Open seat (no incumbent)

Community poll

Model rating Leans Republican (Tilting) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated

News attention 53/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 3 days ago. How it works

Candidates on file — ballot not yet verified (3)

From FEC filings and public records. Filing with the FEC does not put someone on the ballot; we are checking each state’s certified candidate list and will mark who is on the November ballot.

Allison RussoSecretary of State — OH · FEC H2OH15210DemocraticFEC raisednot on file Robert SpragueSecretary of State — OHRepublicanFEC raisednot on file Tom PrussSecretary of State — OH · FEC H4OH09185LibertarianFEC raisednot on file

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no polls yet

No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

2026-05-05 — Primary election: U.S. Senate
2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Signals (experimental)

Attention 53 Vector R · Tilting

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0

53OUT OF 100Moderate attention

Attention percentile77th

7-day momentum14 / 100

Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: high

vector-1.1.0

Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean

AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored

Completeness4 of 7 inputs (national, prior, pres, pulse) · missing: incumbent, money, poll

Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only

Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-27 (3 days ago)

Vector component signals · estimated margin R +6.2Presidential lean of the seat (2024 R +11.2, national swing D +8.4)R +2.8Last result for this seat (2022 R +19.6, national swing D +8.5)R +11.1Attention shareD +0.7National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-30), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing × 0.8 for this office; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 e1b054638b19 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).

Band: R · Tilting (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.