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OK2026

Governor · Oklahoma · 2026

General election · 5 on the November ballot · Open seat (no incumbent)

VecR 57 · HeldTenR 97%Att61

TV graphic Vugol race poll

Result

Called

Mike Mazzei (R) won this race with 51.9% of the vote, 6.0 points ahead.

  • Mike MazzeiRepublicanWinner51.9%582,039 votes
  • Cyndi MunsonDemocratic45.9%514,776 votes
  • Robert E. Brooks Sr.Independent1.0%11,660 votes
  • Jerry GriffinIndependent0.7%7,441 votes
  • Orlando Lynn BushIndependent0.5%5,014 votes
Margin
67,263 votes (6.0 points)
Called
Called by Wikipedia editors, Nov 3, 11:57 PM ET (revision)
Last updated
Nov 14, 6:05 AM ET

Called it: hit Our locked call before polls closed was R; the winner is R. See every locked call

Unofficial until the state certifies the result.

Before the election

Polls, ratings and the Vugol Tensor below were published before votes were counted. They are not results.

CandidatesGovernor · Oklahoma
Cyndi Munson
D
DEM
Mike Mazzei
R
REP
No verified poll yet · Vugol Vector: R Held

Model rating Leans Republican (Held) on the Vugol Vector model, a snapshot of today, not a probability.

1 poll on file, none verified yet (pollster not verified or no public source), shown below, not averaged. Model inputs: 3 of 7, updated today. Page updated 2026-11-14. Sources · What is validated

ExperimentalNews attention 61/100, how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 8 days ago. How it works

On the Oklahoma ballot, Nov 3, 2026 Governor, 5 names on the official list. Election Day has passed; see the ballot as it was.Voting in Oklahoma? Check your registration, get a mail ballot, find your polling place.

On the November ballot (5)

From reported primary results, checked 2026-11-14. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.

Cyndi MunsonGovernor - OKDemocraticOn the ballotFEC raisednot on fileJerry GriffinGovernor - OKIndependentOn the ballotFEC raisednot on fileMike MazzeiGovernor - OKRepublicanOn the ballotFEC raisednot on fileOrlando Lynn BushGovernor - OKIndependentOn the ballotFEC raisednot on fileRobert Brooks Sr.Governor - OKIndependentOn the ballotFEC raisednot on file

Ballot source: https://results.okelections.gov/OKER/?elecDate=20261103

Latest verified field polling

Verified = published by the pollster that conducted it, with a public source we link to.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. The Vugol Vector call from our model is below, it is not a poll.

Polling average

no verified inputs yet

1 poll on file for this race, none verified yet (pollster not verified or no public source), visible below, not averaged.

25405590d60d30dtodayWorkbench Strategy (quarantined) · 2026-10-13 · Mike Mazzei (R) 49.0%Workbench Strategy (quarantined) · 2026-10-13 · Cyndi Munson (D) 45.0%
Mike Mazzei (R)Cyndi Munson (D)● verified poll · ○ quarantined poll · ◎ live average

Results

Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state’s official results.

general election · official results

Mike Mazzei won582,03951.9%
Cyndi Munson514,77645.9%
Robert E. Brooks Sr.11,6601.0%
Jerry Griffin7,4410.7%
Orlando Lynn Bush5,0140.5%

Republican primary runoff

Mike Mazzei won186,73450.3%
Gentner Drummond184,68149.7%

Democratic primary

Cyndi Munson won129,22574.9%
Constance Johnson38,41422.3%
Arya Azma4,8242.8%

Republican primary · official results

Gentner Drummond advanced105,83226.3%
Mike Mazzei advanced104,69126.0%
Chip Keating74,37918.5%
Jake A. Merrick58,34114.5%
Charles McCall47,51911.8%
Leisa Mitchell Haynes4,1211.0%
Jennifer Domenico3,7960.9%
Kenneth Sturgell2,9350.7%
Calup Anthony Taylor1,4850.4%

Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-11-14 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

  • 2026-06-16, Primary election: U.S. Senate
  • 2026-08-25, Runoff: U.S. Senate
  • 2026-11-03, General election: U.S. Senate

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Primary and hypothetical polls (16)

Kept on file, never averaged into this race. Polls listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each linked to that article revision and, where we know it, to the pollster's own site.

  • Republican primary runoff · CHS & Associates (partisan) · 2026-08-02–2026-08-04 · n=600 · Gentner Drummond 44%,Mike Mazzei (R) 44% · release
  • Republican primary runoff · Pulse Decision Science (partisan) · 2026-06-21–2026-06-23 · n=606 · Mike Mazzei (R) 44%,Gentner Drummond 38% · release
  • Republican primary runoff · Cygnal (partisan) · 2026-06-18–2026-06-19 · n=600 · Gentner Drummond 44%,Mike Mazzei (R) 42% · pollster's site · release
  • Republican primary · JMC Analytics (partisan) · 2026-06-02–2026-06-03 · n=550 · Mike Mazzei (R) 26%,Gentner Drummond 21%,Chip Keating 12%,Jake Merrick 12%,Charles McCall 8% · release
  • Republican primary · Pulse Decision Science (partisan) · 2026-05-26–2026-05-28 · n=608 · Gentner Drummond 24%,Mike Mazzei (R) 22%,Chip Keating 17%,Charles McCall 12% · release
  • Republican primary · NonDoc Media · 2026-05-21–2026-05-25 · n=457 · Gentner Drummond 22%,Mike Mazzei (R) 22%,Chip Keating 21%,Charles McCall 18%,Jake Merrick 7% · release
  • Republican primary · Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (partisan) · 2026-01-26–2026-01-30 · n=600 · Gentner Drummond 36%,Charles McCall 14%,Chip Keating 13%,Mike Mazzei (R) 13%,Jake Merrick 5% · release
  • Republican primary · yes. every kid. · 2025-10-29–2025-10-31 · n=513 · Charles McCall 22%,Gentner Drummond 22%,Chip Keating 7%,Mike Mazzei (R) 2%,Jake Merrick 2% · release
  • Republican primary · co/efficient (partisan) · 2025-10-25–2025-10-27 · n=855 · Charles McCall 31%,Gentner Drummond 20%,Chip Keating 5%,Jake Merrick 3%,Mike Mazzei (R) 1% · pollster's site · release
  • Republican primary · Stratus Intelligence (partisan) · 2025-10-15–2025-10-17 · n=806 · Charles McCall 32%,Gentner Drummond 30%,Chip Keating 7%,Jake Merrick 4%,Mike Mazzei (R) 1% · release
  • Republican primary · Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (partisan) · 2025-08-04–2025-08-10 · n=500 · Gentner Drummond 43%,Ryan Walters 8%,Charles McCall 8%,Chip Keating 4%,Jake Merrick 3%,Mike Mazzei (R) 2% · release
  • Republican primary · Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (partisan) · 2025-08-04–2025-08-10 · n=400 · Gentner Drummond 48%,Charles McCall 10%,Chip Keating 4%,Jake Merrick 4%,Mike Mazzei (R) 2% · release
  • Republican primary · Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (partisan) · 2025-05-05–2025-05-09 · n=500 · Gentner Drummond 39%,Ryan Walters 12%,Matt Pinnell 10%,Charles McCall 5%,Chip Keating 3%,Mike Mazzei (R) 1%,Jake Merrick 1% · release
  • Republican primary · Victory Insights (partisan) · 2025-02-23–2025-02-25 · n=506 · Gentner Drummond 37%,Charles McCall 6%,Chip Keating 3%,Mike Mazzei (R) 1% · release
  • Republican primary · Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (partisan) · 2025-02-10–2025-02-15 · n=500 · Gentner Drummond 50%,Chip Keating 7%,Charles McCall 7% · release
  • Republican primary · Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (partisan) · 2025-02-10–2025-02-15 · n=500 · Gentner Drummond 44%,Ryan Walters 14%,Chip Keating 6%,Charles McCall 5% · release

In the news

Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news

Lab

Vugol Vector & Vugol Attention

Vugol Attention 61 Vugol Vector R · Held

Vugol Me model signals, not polls. Verified polling is in the Polls section above.

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Vugol Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

attention-1.0.0
61OUT OF 100Moderate attention
Vugol Attention percentile93th
7-day momentum14 / 100
Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Vector

Proprietary ensemble model · a call, not a probability · model confidence: high

vector-1.1.0
Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean
AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored
Completeness3 of 7 inputs (national, prior, pres) · missing: incumbent, money, pulse, poll
Evidenceno audit release · fundamentals only
Freshnessoldest input 2026-11-06 (8 days ago)

The breakdown of this call (the model's multi-signal input matrix, input by input) is on Ultra Pro plans.

Vugol Tensor

How far this call can miss · a range, not a prediction · no verified poll here, so the range is wider and untested

tensor-1.0.0

Centre R+14.2. Four times in five the result lands between R+4.8 and R+23.6; nine in ten between R+2.1 and R+26.2. Chance the Democrat finishes ahead: 3%.

Polls have missed by about four points in a typical race and they miss together. How Tensor works →

Desk data: daily telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and the Vugol Vector breakdown · paid plans

Sources

Vugol Vector band: R · Held. Have a say in the Vugol race poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.

The four Vugol signals, side by side

They answer different questions and are kept apart. Full method: Methodology.

Vugol Vector
Our call for every race if today’s polls hold. A snapshot, not a win probability or a vote share.
Vugol Tensor
How sure we are: ranges and chamber-control odds around the Vector, built from past polling error. An experiment about uncertainty, not a better guess.
Vugol Attention
How much news and online noise a race gets, 0 to 100. It measures noise, not support: a high score says nothing about who is ahead.
Vugol Pulse
Our daily thumbs-up or thumbs-down question for readers. Anyone can answer, so it describes our readers, not the public. It is not a vote and never enters a poll average or any other signal.