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The 2026 Race Index & Ratings Board

Every Senate, House and Governor race, scored two ways: Attention — how loud a race is right now across news, Wikipedia and Bluesky — and Vector — which way it leans and how firmly. Neither is a poll or a forecast. How they work →

579 races tracked575 with a lean rating0 with a verified pollUpdated 2026-09-30 UTC
The ratings board

Every race, from safe Democratic to safe Republican

D Anchored174
  1. TX-37Attention 83
  2. IL-09Attention 70
  3. MD GovernorAttention 70
  4. NY-12Attention 68
  5. CT-04Attention 67
  6. IL-03Attention 65
  7. CT Attorney GeneralAttention 64
  8. RI GovernorAttention 63
  9. TN-09Attention 62
  10. MI-12Attention 62
+164 more
D Held69
  1. NM GovernorAttention 70
  2. MI-03Attention 68
  3. NJ SenateAttention 64
  4. IL GovernorAttention 63
  5. IL Secretary of StateAttention 59
  6. PA GovernorAttention 59
  7. FL-22Attention 58
  8. NY-04Attention 58
  9. IL Attorney GeneralAttention 58
  10. IL-14Attention 57
+59 more
D Tilting41
  1. NV-01Attention 75
  2. MN SenateAttention 74
  3. AZ Attorney GeneralAttention 70
  4. NY-03Attention 67
  5. TX-34Attention 67
  6. NY-19Attention 66
  7. AZ Secretary of StateAttention 62
  8. WI GovernorAttention 61
  9. FL-25Attention 61
  10. AZ GovernorAttention 60
+31 more
Toss-up56
  1. NV GovernorAttention 67
  2. GA GovernorAttention 66
  3. KS SenateAttention 66
  4. GA Lieutenant GovernorAttention 65
  5. IA-03Attention 63
  6. PA-08Attention 63
  7. FL-13Attention 62
  8. FL SenateAttention 59
  9. IA Attorney GeneralAttention 59
  10. TX SenateAttention 59
+46 more
R Tilting69
  1. MS SenateAttention 75
  2. FL-16Attention 65
  3. NE SenateAttention 61
  4. OH Attorney GeneralAttention 61
  5. FL GovernorAttention 60
  6. OH GovernorAttention 58
  7. SC SenateAttention 56
  8. SC GovernorAttention 56
  9. LA SenateAttention 56
  10. FL-27Attention 55
+59 more
R Held69
  1. MI-02Attention 63
  2. AR SenateAttention 61
  3. GA-14Attention 60
  4. OH-14Attention 58
  5. TX-10Attention 58
  6. TN SenateAttention 58
  7. CA-01Attention 56
  8. SD SenateAttention 56
  9. KY SenateAttention 55
  10. OK SenateAttention 54
+59 more
R Anchored97
  1. FL-19Attention 71
  2. MO-08Attention 62
  3. FL-26Attention 60
  4. WY SenateAttention 60
  5. NE-03Attention 60
  6. ND Secretary of StateAttention 58
  7. AL GovernorAttention 58
  8. FL-12Attention 58
  9. ND Attorney GeneralAttention 56
  10. IN-09Attention 56
+87 more

4 races not yet rated — see them

Each race sits in its column by the polling average where one exists, Vugol Vector otherwise; loudest first. Click a column head to list just those races below.

Loudest first

Contested races & battlegrounds

40 of 215
D · Anchored174D · Held69D · Tilting41Toss-up56R · Tilting69R · Held69R · Anchored97Unrated4✓ Verified poll on fileClear filters
TXU.S. HouseD · AnchoredTexas's 37th DistrictTX-37 · TexasModel ratingNews attention 83/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NVU.S. HouseD · TiltingNevada's 1st DistrictNV-01 · NevadaModel ratingNews attention 75/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MNU.S. SenateD · TiltingMinnesota SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 74/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AZStatewideD · TiltingArizona Attorney GeneralStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 70/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · AnchoredIllinois's 9th DistrictIL-09 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 70/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MDGovernorD · AnchoredMaryland GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 70/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 12th DistrictNY-12 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 68/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · TiltingNew York's 3rd DistrictNY-03 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 67/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CTU.S. HouseD · AnchoredConnecticut's 4th DistrictCT-04 · ConnecticutModel ratingNews attention 67/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TXU.S. HouseD · TiltingTexas's 34th DistrictTX-34 · TexasModel ratingNews attention 67/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · TiltingNew York's 19th DistrictNY-19 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 66/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · AnchoredIllinois's 3rd DistrictIL-03 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 65/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CTStatewideD · AnchoredConnecticut Attorney GeneralStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 64/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
RIGovernorD · AnchoredRhode Island GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 63/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TNU.S. HouseD · AnchoredTennessee's 9th DistrictTN-09 · TennesseeModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AZStatewideD · TiltingArizona Secretary of StateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMichigan's 12th DistrictMI-12 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 15th DistrictNY-15 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MDU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMaryland's 8th DistrictMD-08 · MarylandModel ratingNews attention 61/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
WIGovernorD · TiltingWisconsin GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 61/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · TiltingFlorida's 25th DistrictFL-25 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 61/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AZGovernorD · TiltingArizona GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMichigan's 13th DistrictMI-13 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · AnchoredFlorida's 10th DistrictFL-10 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 14th DistrictNY-14 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredCalifornia's 43rd DistrictCA-43 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseD · TiltingCalifornia's 41st DistrictCA-41 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
LAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredLouisiana's 2nd DistrictLA-02 · LouisianaModel ratingNews attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NCU.S. SenateD · TiltingNorth Carolina SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 10th DistrictNY-10 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAStatewideD · AnchoredCalifornia Attorney GeneralStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
LAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredLouisiana's 6th DistrictLA-06 · LouisianaModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMassachusetts's 5th DistrictMA-05 · MassachusettsModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CTU.S. HouseD · AnchoredConnecticut's 3rd DistrictCT-03 · ConnecticutModel ratingNews attention 57/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 7th DistrictNY-07 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 57/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NCU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNorth Carolina's 4th DistrictNC-04 · North CarolinaModel ratingNews attention 57/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ORU.S. HouseD · TiltingOregon's 5th DistrictOR-05 · OregonModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAGovernorD · AnchoredCalifornia GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 13th DistrictNY-13 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · TiltingFlorida's 20th DistrictFL-20 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll

Show more races (40 of 215)