U.S. House — NY-14 · New York · 2026
General election · 6 on the November ballot · Incumbent running
Model rating Leans Democratic (Anchored) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.
No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated
News attention 59/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 4 days ago. How it works
On the November ballot (2)
From reported primary results, checked 2026-09-30. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.
Ran in the primary (2)
Lost a primary or runoff for this seat — not on the November ballot.
Other filers (1)
Registered with the FEC or listed in public records, but not on the November ballot as far as the results show.
Ballot source: https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York&oldid=1377564779
Latest verified field polling
Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.
No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.
Polling average
No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.
Campaign money (FEC)
Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Through |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | $32,607,754 | $20,381,469 | $15,960,932 | 2026-06-30 |
| Diamant Hysenaj | $342,896 | $311,855 | $31,041 | 2026-06-30 |
| Felipe Garcia | $22,368 | $22,263 | $105 | 2026-06-30 |
| Martin William Dolan | $80,953 | $78,490 | $2,462 | 2026-06-30 |
| Tina Forte | $803,141 | $882,618 | $2,738 | 2026-06-30 |
Results
Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.
Democratic primary
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (incumbent) won | 31,202 | 86.9% |
| Felipe Garcia | 2,429 | 6.8% |
| Marty Dolan | 2,136 | 5.9% |
| Write-in | 147 | 0.4% |
Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-30 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0
Key dates
Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.
- 2026-06-23 — Primary election: U.S. House
- 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House
Source: FEC election dates (public domain).
In the news
- AOC gets cold shoulder from moderate Dems in tough races: ‘It’s about winning’
- Republicans say Democrats are extremists. These Democrats want to convince voters that's not true
- Republicans zero in on key player accused of helping Democrat fundraising giant hide foreign cash
- Young Democrats are embracing ‘democratic socialism.’ Should you be worried?
- AOC gives major hint about 2028 as Democrat civil war looms
- AOC's Ivy League warmup act leads democratic socialists in notorious anti-Israel chant
Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news
Signals (experimental)
Attention 59 Vector D · Anchored
Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)
Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly
Vugol Me Vector (experimental)
Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium
Daily precision telemetry
Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans
Sources
- Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
- Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
- Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
- Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 7d4d39508365 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).
Band: D · Anchored (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.