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LA2026

U.S. House — LA-06 · Louisiana · 2026

General election · 10 on the November ballot · Open seat (no incumbent)

Model rating Leans Democratic (Anchored) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 5 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated

News attention 58/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 4 days ago. How it works

On the November ballot (6)

From reported primary results, checked 2026-09-30. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.

Other filers (1)

Registered with the FEC or listed in public records, but not on the November ballot as far as the results show.

Ballot source: https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Louisiana&oldid=1377090557

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no polls yet

No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.

Campaign money (FEC)

Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on handThrough
Cleo Fields Democratic$833,358$434,369$436,4292026-07-18
Anjanita Monique Appeaning Republican$104,323$65,540$38,7832026-07-18
Blake Miguez Republican$6,612,410$4,579,818$2,032,5922026-07-18
Larry Davis III Republican$21,956$19,256$-1,1312026-07-18
Lindsay Garcia Democratic$65,473$29,125$36,3482026-07-18
Michael Edward Mebruer Republican$37,765$32,657$1,0102026-07-18
Rick Edmonds Republican$530,592$197,152$323,0402026-07-18

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

  • 2026-08-07 — Primary election: U.S. House
  • 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House
  • 2026-12-12 — General runoff: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Primary and hypothetical polls (1)

Kept on file, never averaged into this race. Polls listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each linked to the pollster's own release.

  • Hypothetical matchup · Greg Rigamer · 2026-08-12–2026-08-13 · n=500 · Chauna Banks (D) 19%, Rick Edmonds (R) 16%, Blake Miguez (R) 9%, Pat Forbes (D) 8%, Larry Davis (R) 6% · release

Signals (experimental)

Attention 58 Vector D · Anchored

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0
58OUT OF 100Moderate attention
Attention percentile93th
7-day momentum5 / 100
Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0
Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean
AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored
Completeness5 of 7 inputs (national, prior, incumbent, money, pulse) · missing: pres, poll
Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only
Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-26 (4 days ago)
Vector component signals · estimated margin D +19.0Fundraising velocity (FEC)R +8.0Last result for this seat (2024 D +27.3, national swing D +10.5)D +37.8Attention shareR +0.0IncumbencyD +6.0National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-30), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Band: D · Anchored (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.