Attorney General · California · 2026
General election · 2 on the certified November ballot · Incumbent running
Result
CalledRob Bonta (D) won this race.
- Rob BontaDemocraticIncumbentWinnerno count in the source
Also on the ballot, no count in the source: Michael Gates (R).
- Called
- Called by Wikipedia editors, Nov 4, 3:35 PM ET (revision)
- Last updated
- Nov 5, 1:33 AM ET
Unofficial until the state certifies the result.
Before the election
Polls, ratings and the Vugol Tensor below were published before votes were counted. They are not results.
Model rating Leans Democratic (Anchored) on the Vugol Vector model, a snapshot of today, not a probability.
No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated today. Page updated 2026-11-14. Sources · What is validated
ExperimentalNews attention 69/100, how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 8 days ago. How it works
On the November ballot (2)
Certified by the state on 2026-08-27, checked 2026-11-13.
Lost the primary (1)
Lost the 2026 primary for this seat, so not on the November ballot. Kept on the record, not deleted.
Official source: https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/statewide-elections/2026-general/cert-list-candidates.pdf
Latest verified field polling
Verified = published by the pollster that conducted it, with a public source we link to.
No verified poll has been published for this race. The Vugol Vector call from our model is below, it is not a poll.
Polling average
No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.
Key dates
Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.
- 2026-06-02, Primary election: U.S. House
- 2026-11-03, General election: U.S. House
Source: FEC election dates (public domain).
In the news
- Meta, Google and TikTok sue California to block law shielding children from ‘addictive’ algorithms
- Katie Zacharia did not pass the bar exam, senior administration official says
- This week: Senate takes final votes before elections
- Supreme Court reject’s Trump administration plea to set aside over 20K California mail-in ballots allegedly from noncitizens
- Justice Department threatens California with legal action over claim of noncitizens on voter rolls
- Federal election monitors swarm California to face off with Democrat watchers as voting war turns toxic
- Paramount completes its takeover of Warner Bros to become one Hollywood giant known as Skydance
- Education Secretary Linda McMahon on California’s schools, Gavin Newsom and the end of the Education Department
- California officials condemn Trump for saying Iran could ‘take out’ Los Angeles or San Diego
- Rob Bonta’s astonishing response when grilled on biggest voter fraud bust in California history
Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news
LabVugol Vector & Vugol Attention
Vugol Attention 69 Vugol Vector D · Anchored
Vugol Me model signals, not polls. Verified polling is in the Polls section above.
Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)
Vugol Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly
Vugol Vector
Proprietary ensemble model · a call, not a probability · model confidence: high
The breakdown of this call (the model's multi-signal input matrix, input by input) is on Ultra Pro plans.
Vugol Tensor
How far this call can miss · a range, not a prediction · no verified poll here, so the range is wider and untested
Centre D+23.9. Four times in five the result lands between D+33.3 and D+14.5; nine in ten between D+36.0 and D+11.9. Chance the Democrat finishes ahead: >99%.
Polls have missed by about four points in a typical race and they miss together. How Tensor works →
Desk data: daily telemetry
Per-source daily series, CSV export and the Vugol Vector breakdown · paid plans
Sources
- Roster, official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
- Vugol Attention inputs, Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
- Polls and results, individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
- Models attention-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 a042f01d5575 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).
Vugol Vector band: D · Anchored. Have a say in the Vugol race poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.
The four Vugol signals, side by side
They answer different questions and are kept apart. Full method: Methodology.
- Vugol Vector
- Our call for every race if today’s polls hold. A snapshot, not a win probability or a vote share.
- Vugol Tensor
- How sure we are: ranges and chamber-control odds around the Vector, built from past polling error. An experiment about uncertainty, not a better guess.
- Vugol Attention
- How much news and online noise a race gets, 0 to 100. It measures noise, not support: a high score says nothing about who is ahead.
- Vugol Pulse
- Our daily thumbs-up or thumbs-down question for readers. Anyone can answer, so it describes our readers, not the public. It is not a vote and never enters a poll average or any other signal.