Home / Races / Connecticut / U.S. House — CT-03
CT2026

U.S. House — CT-03 · Connecticut · 2026

General election · 4 on file, ballot not yet verified · Incumbent running

Model rating Leans Democratic (Anchored) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated

News attention 57/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated yesterday. How it works

Candidates on file — ballot not yet verified (4)

From FEC filings and public records. Filing with the FEC does not put someone on the ballot; we are checking each state’s certified candidate list and will mark who is on the November ballot.

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no polls yet

No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.

Campaign money (FEC)

Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on handThrough
Rosa L Delauro Democratic$1,152,007$1,028,036$349,4182026-06-30
Andrew James Rice Independent$29,133$19,151$9,9822026-06-30
Christopher John Lancia Republican$14,649$4,446$4,0282026-06-30
Damjan Denoble Democratic$11,468$4,245$552026-03-31

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

  • 2026-05-11 — Election: U.S. House — DEM
  • 2026-05-15 — Convention: U.S. House — REP
  • 2026-08-11 — Primary election: U.S. House
  • 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

In the news

Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news

Signals (experimental)

Attention 57 Vector D · Anchored

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0
57OUT OF 100Moderate attention
Attention percentile76th
7-day momentum31 / 100
Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0
Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean
AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored
Completeness4 of 7 inputs (national, prior, incumbent, money) · missing: pres, pulse, poll
Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only
Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-29 (yesterday)
Vector component signals · estimated margin D +19.4Fundraising velocity (FEC)D +8.0Last result for this seat (2024 D +17.8, national swing D +10.5)D +28.3IncumbencyD +6.0National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-30), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Band: D · Anchored (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.