U.S. Senate · Ohio · 2026
General election · 4 on the November ballot · Incumbent running
Model rating Leans neither way (Open) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.
25 polls on file from pollsters we have not verified yet — shown below, not averaged. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated
News attention 54/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated today. How it works
On the November ballot (4)
From reported primary results, checked 2026-09-29. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.
Ran in the primary (1)
Lost a primary or runoff for this seat — not on the November ballot.
Other filers (2)
Registered with the FEC or listed in public records, but not on the November ballot as far as the results show.
Latest verified field polling
Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.
No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.
Polling average
25 polls on file for this race, all from quarantined (U-tier) pollsters — visible below, not yet averaged.
Campaign money (FEC)
Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Through |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Husted | $14,360,028 | $4,940,716 | $9,419,311 | 2026-06-30 |
| Frederick J Ode | $5,001,939 | $4,976,073 | $25,866 | 2026-06-30 |
| Gregory Lee Levy | $80,348 | $56,132 | $25,971 | 2026-06-30 |
| Ronald E Kincaid Jr. | $46,619 | $50,695 | $17,487 | 2026-06-30 |
| Sherrod Brown | $38,566,234 | $22,336,493 | $16,229,741 | 2026-06-30 |
| Stephen I Faris | $2,082 | $2,058 | $156 | 2026-06-30 |
| William Redpath | $24,200 | $23,470 | $730 | 2026-06-30 |
Results
Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.
Democratic primary · official results
| Sherrod Brown won | 712,106 | 89.4% |
| Ron Kincaid | 84,405 | 10.6% |
Libertarian primary · official results
| Bill Redpath won | 4,996 | 100.0% |
Republican primary · official results
| Jon Husted (incumbent) won | 736,413 | 100.0% |
Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-29 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0
Key dates
Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.
- 2026-05-05 — Primary election: U.S. Senate
- 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. Senate
Source: FEC election dates (public domain).
Primary and hypothetical polls (2)
Kept on file, never averaged into this race. Polls listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each linked to the pollster's own release.
In the news
- Republicans see warning signs in Senate races as affordability eclipses Trump’s message on Iran
- GOP doubts about Georgia and North Carolina have Republicans shifting focus in battle for Senate
- This week: Senate takes final votes before elections
- Republicans fear they ‘haven’t done a damn thing’ to lower prices ahead of midterm reckoning
- In Ohio, a Humbling Question For Senator Jon Husted: Are You the Incumbent?
- Senate plots its final week before elections with potential data center electricity vote
- Mamdani allies hosting fundraiser for Dem Senate hopefuls James Talarico, Sherrod Brown
- Trump to travel to Ohio to stump for Sen. Jon Husted as the Republican faces competitive challenge
- Reporter's Notebook: Senate Republicans scrap early exit from Washington as midterm stakes soar
- Republicans dump cash into red states as they try to hold the line against Democrats in the midterms
Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news
Signals (experimental)
Attention 54 Vector · Open
Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)
Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly
Vugol Me Vector (experimental)
Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium
Daily precision telemetry
Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans
Sources
- Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
- Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
- Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
- Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 6fc66910b185 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).
Band: Toss-up (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.