Results by demographic group
Unofficial
Not yet certified. The 2026 figures are unofficial election-night totals from each state, and Mississippi’s come county by county as they are listed. Counts can still change. We replace this note when a state certifies.
Pick an area on the left and a view on top. Each row is a group; the cells show how the places where that group is concentrated voted. Covers Florida, Georgia, Mississippi and Texas, the states whose county results we hold.
Places, not people. Counties with more of a group voted differently from counties with less; this does not show how that group voted.
Florida, Georgia, Mississippi and Texas, U.S. Senate 2026. 562 counties; 483 with a 2026 result listed.
Partial coverage: Mississippi lists 3 of 82 counties. Those counties are in the 2024 columns but left out of the 2026 and swing figures. Nothing is filled in.
| Age | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ages 18 to 2920.4% (U.S. 20.3%) | 20.4%20.3% | R+17.3238/266 listed | D+7.3136/172 listed | D+29.2109/124 listed | -46.6 |
| Ages 30 to 4426.4% (U.S. 25.9%) | 26.4%25.9% | R+17.3270/332 listed | D+6.4140/153 listed | D+29.473/77 listed | -46.6 |
| Ages 45 to 6431.7% (U.S. 31.8%) | 31.7%31.8% | D+15.2159/172 listed | D+6.8155/191 listed | R+0.5169/199 listed | +15.6 |
| Ages 65 and over21.4% (U.S. 22.1%) | 21.4%22.1% | D+31.250/52 listed | D+4.4147/169 listed | R+16.5286/341 listed | +47.6 |
| Race and ethnicity | |||||
| White, not Hispanic45.3% (U.S. 57.4%) | 45.3%57.4% | D+36.077/96 listed | D+10.5154/179 listed | R+27.7252/287 listed | +63.7 |
| Black, not Hispanic17.0% (U.S. 11.9%) | 17.0%11.9% | R+7.9256/260 listed | D+4.592/100 listed | D+28.9135/202 listed | -36.8 |
| Hispanic or Latino29.3% (U.S. 19.3%) | 29.3%19.3% | R+1.4233/311 listed | R+2.7125/126 listed | D+25.9 | -27.3 |
| Asian, not Hispanic4.2% (U.S. 5.9%) | 4.2%5.9% | R+16.2393/467 listed | D+2.763/68 listed | D+32.0 | -48.2 |
| Education | |||||
| No high school diploma12.0% (U.S. 10.4%) | 12.0%10.4% | D+5.878/82 listed | D+3.7117/131 listed | D+13.1288/349 listed | -7.2 |
| High school to associate degree54.2% (U.S. 53.9%) | 54.2%53.9% | D+30.336/38 listed | D+6.486/90 listed | R+18.3361/434 listed | +48.6 |
| Bachelor's degree or higher33.7% (U.S. 35.7%) | 33.7%35.7% | R+12.2391/465 listed | D+13.450/53 listed | D+18.842/44 listed | -31.0 |
| Income | |||||
| Households under $50,00033.2% (U.S. 31.4%) | 33.2%31.4% | D+9.181/82 listed | D+16.361/62 listed | R+4.3341/418 listed | +13.4 |
| Households $50,000 to $99,99929.2% (U.S. 28.1%) | 29.2%28.1% | D+12.4157/205 listed | D+10.4104/117 listed | R+0.1222/240 listed | +12.5 |
| Households $100,000 or more37.6% (U.S. 40.5%) | 37.6%40.5% | R+6.5354/432 listed | D+14.9 | D+12.064/65 listed | -18.6 |
| Below the poverty line13.5% (U.S. 12.4%) | 13.5%12.4% | D+1.7117/118 listed | D+11.3104/106 listed | D+10.5262/338 listed | -8.9 |
| Place of birth | |||||
| Born outside the U.S.17.3% (U.S. 14.1%) | 17.3%14.1% | R+20.2361/440 listed | D+15.8 | D+22.6 | -42.8 |
| Housing | |||||
| Renter households34.8% (U.S. 34.8%) | 34.8%34.8% | R+22.0291/338 listed | D+9.9143/166 listed | D+32.149/58 listed | -54.1 |
| Urban to rural | |||||
| People per square mile158 per sq mi (U.S. 94.8 per sq mi) | 158 per sq mi94.8 per sq mi | R+22.5425/504 listed | D+9.1 | D+30.9 | -53.4 |
How to read
Counties are sorted by how much of a group lives there, then split into three bands that each hold about a third of the 2024 presidential votes. A cell is the combined result of the counties in that band, so bigger counties count for more. Lowest third is the places with the least of the group; highest third the places with the most. Margin is Republican minus Democratic votes as points of all votes (R+5.0 means Republicans ahead by 5 points). Swing is the 2026 margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same counties (“to D 9.5” means the margin moved 9.5 points toward Democrats); different offices differ, so read it as a pattern. High - low is the highest third minus the lowest third: positive (red) means the places with more of the group were more Republican. Here is the group’s share of the area’s people (or density), with the whole U.S. beneath it. Under “Group Share” each cell shows the lowest and highest county value in that band.
Sources and method
- What this is: This compares places, not people. Counties with more of a group voted differently from counties with less; this does not show how that group voted. It is a correlation between a place’s makeup and its result. A county holds many kinds of people, so a county that is more Republican and has more of a group says nothing about which of its residents voted which way. We use no exit poll and no AP VoteCast numbers.
- Coverage: Florida, Georgia, Mississippi and Texas. These are the states whose county results already exist on this site. Other states are not shown, and no state is filled in or estimated. Where a state has not listed a county or a race, the cell says so.
- Demographics: ACS 2020-2024 5-year estimates, U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (public domain). These are survey estimates with sampling error, which is larger for small counties and is not shown here. Files, read Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:46:08 GMT: B01001 (sha256 1637b18a9688) B03002 (sha256 ef1a93109053) B15003 (sha256 d0c8609e9580) B19001 (sha256 1af421b3b9d0) B17001 (sha256 707adda8aaff) B05002 (sha256 7c97161f6a29) B25003 (sha256 68e963e1ed60) B01003 (sha256 38d1a992bb05) county names (sha256 b87a1d1a4db9), land area (Census Gazetteer) (sha256 3c337402b5c6).
- Groups: shares are of the people the survey counts for that table: adults 18 and over for age, all residents for race and ethnicity and place of birth, adults 25 and over for education, households for income bands and renters, and people with poverty status known for poverty. Urban to rural is county population density (people per square mile of land), not the Census definition of an urban area, so a dense county can include rural neighborhoods. The survey variables behind every group are in the saved file
lib/election/demographics/acs-counties.json. - 2026 results: Florida U.S. Senate (sha256 b7ba42abcc13, read Sun, 08 Nov 2026 21:27:55 GMT) Georgia U.S. Senate (sha256 e3a56e46509c, read Sun, 08 Nov 2026 21:27:55 GMT) Mississippi U.S. Senate (sha256 48f177860aae, read Sat, 07 Nov 2026 06:58:05 GMT, 3 of 82 counties) Texas U.S. Senate (sha256 9c95edda76f5, read Sun, 08 Nov 2026 21:27:55 GMT) Florida Governor (sha256 1b79e1ee6246, read Sun, 08 Nov 2026 21:27:55 GMT) Georgia Governor (sha256 5efeca4f1986, read Sun, 08 Nov 2026 21:27:55 GMT) Texas Governor (sha256 9c95edda76f5, read Sun, 08 Nov 2026 21:27:55 GMT)
- 2024 President: each state’s official results by county: Florida (sha256 3a8ffc47c217) Georgia (sha256 a65c3ed0cc5e) Mississippi (sha256 70922dedde19) Texas (sha256 fa818d6a89dd) This baseline also decides each county’s weight and which third it falls in, so the thirds do not move with the unofficial 2026 count.
- Math: counties are sorted by a group’s share and split into three bands of about a third of the 2024 President votes each; a county is never split. A band’s margin adds Republican and Democratic votes over its counties, so it is weighted by votes. Swing compares the 2026 margin with the 2024 President margin over the same counties, which are different offices. Groups overlap (the same county can be high in age 65 and over and low in education), so rows are not independent.