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The 2026 Race Index & Ratings Board

Every Senate, House and Governor race, scored two ways: Attention — how loud a race is right now across news, Wikipedia and Bluesky — and Vector — which way it leans and how firmly. Neither is a poll or a forecast. How they work →

579 races tracked575 with a lean rating0 with a verified pollUpdated 2026-09-30 UTC
The ratings board

Senate races, from safe Democratic to safe Republican

D Anchored2
  1. MA SenateAttention 41
  2. IL Senate—
D Held8
  1. NJ SenateAttention 64
  2. OR SenateAttention 50
  3. CO SenateAttention 50
  4. DE SenateAttention 47
  5. NH SenateAttention 39
  6. RI SenateAttention 15
  7. NM Senate—
  8. VA Senate—
D Tilting5
  1. MN SenateAttention 74
  2. NC SenateAttention 58
  3. MI SenateAttention 55
  4. ME SenateAttention 44
  5. GA SenateAttention 15
Toss-up6
  1. KS SenateAttention 66
  2. FL SenateAttention 59
  3. TX SenateAttention 59
  4. OH SenateAttention 54
  5. IA SenateAttention 52
  6. AK Senate—
R Tilting5
  1. MS SenateAttention 75
  2. NE SenateAttention 61
  3. SC SenateAttention 56
  4. LA SenateAttention 56
  5. MT Senate—
R Held6
  1. AR SenateAttention 61
  2. TN SenateAttention 58
  3. SD SenateAttention 56
  4. KY SenateAttention 55
  5. OK SenateAttention 54
  6. AL SenateAttention 38
R Anchored3
  1. WY SenateAttention 60
  2. ID Senate—
  3. WV Senate—

Each race sits in its column by the polling average where one exists, Vugol Vector otherwise; loudest first. Click a column head to list just those races below.

Loudest first

Contested races & battlegrounds

5 of 5
D · Anchored2D · Held8D · Tilting5Toss-up6R · Tilting5R · Held6R · Anchored3Unrated0✓ Verified poll on fileClear filters
MSU.S. SenateR · TiltingMississippi SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 75/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NEU.S. SenateR · TiltingNebraska SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 61/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
SCU.S. SenateR · TiltingSouth Carolina SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
LAU.S. SenateR · TiltingLouisiana SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MTU.S. SenateR · TiltingMontana SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention PendingDetails → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll