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The 2026 Race Index & Ratings Board

Every Senate, House and Governor race, scored two ways: Attention — how loud a race is right now across news, Wikipedia and Bluesky — and Vector — which way it leans and how firmly. Neither is a poll or a forecast. How they work →

579 races tracked575 with a Vector direction0 with a verified pollUpdated 2026-09-30 UTC
Balance of power

U.S. Senate: who holds it now

45 Democratic2 independent53 RepublicanControl takes 51 (D) or 50 (R). The Vice President, a Republican, breaks a 50–50 tie. Both independents caucus with the Democrats and are counted with them.

35 seats on the 2026 ballot · not up: 32 D, 2 I, 31 R

Make your map

Starting colors are each race's Vugol Vector direction, or its verified polling average where one exists. Experimental, not a forecast; toss-ups start blank. Click a race to switch it: Democrat → Republican → undecided.

D 496 undecidedR 45On the experimental Vector starting map: Democrats need 2 more, Republicans 5 more.

Current seats as of 2026-09-30. Sources: U.S. Senate: party division · Ballotpedia: Senate elections, 2026

The ratings board

Senate races, from safe Democratic to safe Republican

Each race sits in its column by the polling average where one exists, Vugol Vector otherwise; loudest first. Click a column head to list just those races below.

Loudest first

Contested races & battlegrounds

16 of 16
MNU.S. SenateD · TiltingMinnesota SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 74/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
KSU.S. SenateToss-upKansas SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 66/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
WYU.S. SenateR · AnchoredWyoming SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. SenateToss-upFlorida SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TXU.S. SenateToss-upTexas SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NCU.S. SenateD · TiltingNorth Carolina SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. SenateD · TiltingMichigan SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OHU.S. SenateToss-upOhio SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 54/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
IAU.S. SenateToss-upIowa SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MEU.S. SenateD · TiltingMaine SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 44/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MAU.S. SenateD · AnchoredMassachusetts SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 41/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
GAU.S. SenateD · TiltingGeorgia SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 15/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AKU.S. SenateToss-upAlaska SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention PendingDetails → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
IDU.S. SenateR · AnchoredIdaho SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention PendingDetails → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. SenateD · AnchoredIllinois SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention PendingDetails → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
WVU.S. SenateR · AnchoredWest Virginia SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention PendingDetails → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll