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The 2026 Race Index & Ratings Board

Every Senate, House and Governor race, scored two ways: Attention — how loud a race is right now across news, Wikipedia and Bluesky — and Vector — which way it leans and how firmly. Neither is a poll or a forecast. How they work →

579 races tracked575 with a lean rating0 with a verified pollUpdated 2026-09-30 UTC
The ratings board

House races, from safe Democratic to safe Republican

D Anchored149
  1. TX-37Attention 83
  2. IL-09Attention 70
  3. NY-12Attention 68
  4. CT-04Attention 67
  5. IL-03Attention 65
  6. TN-09Attention 62
  7. MI-12Attention 62
  8. NY-15Attention 62
  9. MD-08Attention 61
  10. MI-13Attention 60
+139 more
D Held42
  1. MI-03Attention 68
  2. FL-22Attention 58
  3. NY-04Attention 58
  4. IL-14Attention 57
  5. FL-14Attention 55
  6. GA-02Attention 53
  7. NV-04Attention 52
  8. PA-12Attention 51
  9. CA-21Attention 51
  10. OH-01Attention 50
+32 more
D Tilting29
  1. NV-01Attention 75
  2. NY-03Attention 67
  3. TX-34Attention 67
  4. NY-19Attention 66
  5. FL-25Attention 61
  6. CA-41Attention 59
  7. OR-05Attention 56
  8. FL-20Attention 56
  9. NH-02Attention 56
  10. VA-07Attention 55
+19 more
Toss-up37
  1. IA-03Attention 63
  2. PA-08Attention 63
  3. FL-13Attention 62
  4. CA-22Attention 56
  5. VA-02Attention 55
  6. AZ-02Attention 52
  7. MO-02Attention 52
  8. IA-01Attention 51
  9. WI-01Attention 51
  10. CA-40Attention 50
+27 more
R Tilting51
  1. FL-16Attention 65
  2. FL-27Attention 55
  3. KS-02Attention 53
  4. FL-03Attention 52
  5. WA-05Attention 51
  6. OH-07Attention 50
  7. SC-02Attention 49
  8. NC-05Attention 49
  9. OK-05Attention 49
  10. WI-06Attention 48
+41 more
R Held57
  1. MI-02Attention 63
  2. GA-14Attention 60
  3. OH-14Attention 58
  4. TX-10Attention 58
  5. CA-01Attention 56
  6. NY-11Attention 54
  7. TX-21Attention 52
  8. KS-04Attention 51
  9. UT-01Attention 50
  10. NY-24Attention 49
+47 more
R Anchored77
  1. FL-19Attention 71
  2. MO-08Attention 62
  3. FL-26Attention 60
  4. NE-03Attention 60
  5. FL-12Attention 58
  6. IN-09Attention 56
  7. IL-15Attention 53
  8. FL-06Attention 52
  9. ND-ALAttention 51
  10. PA-15Attention 50
+67 more

Each race sits in its column by the polling average where one exists, Vugol Vector otherwise; loudest first. Click a column head to list just those races below.

Loudest first

Contested races & battlegrounds

40 of 79
D · Anchored149D · Held42D · Tilting29Toss-up37R · Tilting51R · Held57R · Anchored77Unrated0✓ Verified poll on fileClear filters
MIU.S. HouseD · HeldMichigan's 3rd DistrictMI-03 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 68/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
IAU.S. HouseToss-upIowa's 3rd DistrictIA-03 · IowaModel ratingNews attention 63/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAU.S. HouseToss-upPennsylvania's 8th DistrictPA-08 · PennsylvaniaModel ratingNews attention 63/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseToss-upFlorida's 13th DistrictFL-13 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · HeldFlorida's 22nd DistrictFL-22 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · HeldNew York's 4th DistrictNY-04 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · HeldIllinois's 14th DistrictIL-14 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 57/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseToss-upCalifornia's 22nd DistrictCA-22 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
VAU.S. HouseToss-upVirginia's 2nd DistrictVA-02 · VirginiaModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · HeldFlorida's 14th DistrictFL-14 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
GAU.S. HouseD · HeldGeorgia's 2nd DistrictGA-02 · GeorgiaModel ratingNews attention 53/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AZU.S. HouseToss-upArizona's 2nd DistrictAZ-02 · ArizonaModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MOU.S. HouseToss-upMissouri's 2nd DistrictMO-02 · MissouriModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NVU.S. HouseD · HeldNevada's 4th DistrictNV-04 · NevadaModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAU.S. HouseD · HeldPennsylvania's 12th DistrictPA-12 · PennsylvaniaModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseD · HeldCalifornia's 21st DistrictCA-21 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
IAU.S. HouseToss-upIowa's 1st DistrictIA-01 · IowaModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
WIU.S. HouseToss-upWisconsin's 1st DistrictWI-01 · WisconsinModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OHU.S. HouseD · HeldOhio's 1st DistrictOH-01 · OhioModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseToss-upCalifornia's 40th DistrictCA-40 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AZU.S. HouseD · HeldArizona's 4th DistrictAZ-04 · ArizonaModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · HeldIllinois's 13th DistrictIL-13 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AZU.S. HouseToss-upArizona's 8th DistrictAZ-08 · ArizonaModel ratingNews attention 48/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
VAU.S. HouseToss-upVirginia's 1st DistrictVA-01 · VirginiaModel ratingNews attention 48/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AZU.S. HouseToss-upArizona's 6th DistrictAZ-06 · ArizonaModel ratingNews attention 48/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MNU.S. HouseD · HeldMinnesota's 2nd DistrictMN-02 · MinnesotaModel ratingNews attention 46/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · HeldFlorida's 23rd DistrictFL-23 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 44/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · HeldIllinois's 6th DistrictIL-06 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 44/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseD · HeldCalifornia's 49th DistrictCA-49 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 42/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NCU.S. HouseToss-upNorth Carolina's 11th DistrictNC-11 · North CarolinaModel ratingNews attention 42/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseToss-upMichigan's 10th DistrictMI-10 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 42/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NJU.S. HouseToss-upNew Jersey's 7th DistrictNJ-07 · New JerseyModel ratingNews attention 42/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ORU.S. HouseD · HeldOregon's 6th DistrictOR-06 · OregonModel ratingNews attention 41/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OHU.S. HouseToss-upOhio's 15th DistrictOH-15 · OhioModel ratingNews attention 41/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
COU.S. HouseToss-upColorado's 8th DistrictCO-08 · ColoradoModel ratingNews attention 41/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAU.S. HouseD · HeldPennsylvania's 6th DistrictPA-06 · PennsylvaniaModel ratingNews attention 40/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TXU.S. HouseToss-upTexas's 15th DistrictTX-15 · TexasModel ratingNews attention 40/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NJU.S. HouseD · HeldNew Jersey's 3rd DistrictNJ-03 · New JerseyModel ratingNews attention 37/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
WAU.S. HouseD · HeldWashington's 6th DistrictWA-06 · WashingtonModel ratingNews attention 37/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseToss-upNew York's 17th DistrictNY-17 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 37/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll

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