U.S. House — AZ-06 · Arizona · 2026
General election · 3 on the November ballot · Incumbent running
Model rating Leans Democratic (Open) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.
2 polls on file from pollsters we have not verified yet — shown below, not averaged. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated
News attention 48/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 3 days ago. How it works
On the November ballot (3)
From reported primary results, checked 2026-09-30. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.
Other filers (3)
Registered with the FEC or listed in public records, but not on the November ballot as far as the results show.
Ballot source: https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Arizona&oldid=1376706387
Latest verified field polling
Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.
No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.
Polling average
2 polls on file for this race, all from quarantined (U-tier) pollsters — visible below, not yet averaged.
Campaign money (FEC)
Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Through |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Ciscomani | $6,172,867 | $2,274,265 | $4,135,163 | 2026-07-01 |
| Chris Donat | $21,062 | $21,062 | $0 | 2026-04-13 |
| Jereme Lance Peters | $10,500 | $10,500 | $0 | 2026-03-31 |
| Joanna Mendoza | $7,354,808 | $4,093,932 | $3,260,877 | 2026-07-01 |
| Mo Goldman | $0 | $0 | $0 | 2026-09-30 |
| Trevor Dickerson | $19,352 | $13,277 | $5,576 | 2025-09-30 |
Results
Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.
Democratic primary
| JoAnna Mendoza won | 78,310 | 100.0% |
Green primary
| Gary Swing (write-in) won | 29 | 100.0% |
Libertarian primary
| Jereme Peters won | 277 | 100.0% |
Republican primary
| Juan Ciscomani (incumbent) won | 76,481 | 100.0% |
Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-30 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0
Key dates
Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.
- 2026-07-21 — Primary election: U.S. House
- 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House
Source: FEC election dates (public domain).
In the news
Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news
Signals (experimental)
Attention 48 Vector D · Open
Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)
Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly
Vugol Me Vector (experimental)
Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium
Daily precision telemetry
Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans
Sources
- Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
- Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
- Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
- Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 20dd118aa243 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).
Band: Toss-up (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.