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The 2026 Race Index & Ratings Board

Every Senate, House and Governor race, scored two ways: Attention — how loud a race is right now across news, Wikipedia and Bluesky — and Vector — which way it leans and how firmly. Neither is a poll or a forecast. How they work →

579 races tracked575 with a lean rating0 with a verified pollUpdated 2026-09-30 UTC
The ratings board

House races, from safe Democratic to safe Republican

D Anchored149
  1. TX-37Attention 83
  2. IL-09Attention 70
  3. NY-12Attention 68
  4. CT-04Attention 67
  5. IL-03Attention 65
  6. TN-09Attention 62
  7. MI-12Attention 62
  8. NY-15Attention 62
  9. MD-08Attention 61
  10. MI-13Attention 60
+139 more
D Held42
  1. MI-03Attention 68
  2. FL-22Attention 58
  3. NY-04Attention 58
  4. IL-14Attention 57
  5. FL-14Attention 55
  6. GA-02Attention 53
  7. NV-04Attention 52
  8. PA-12Attention 51
  9. CA-21Attention 51
  10. OH-01Attention 50
+32 more
D Tilting29
  1. NV-01Attention 75
  2. NY-03Attention 67
  3. TX-34Attention 67
  4. NY-19Attention 66
  5. FL-25Attention 61
  6. CA-41Attention 59
  7. OR-05Attention 56
  8. FL-20Attention 56
  9. NH-02Attention 56
  10. VA-07Attention 55
+19 more
Toss-up37
  1. IA-03Attention 63
  2. PA-08Attention 63
  3. FL-13Attention 62
  4. CA-22Attention 56
  5. VA-02Attention 55
  6. AZ-02Attention 52
  7. MO-02Attention 52
  8. IA-01Attention 51
  9. WI-01Attention 51
  10. CA-40Attention 50
+27 more
R Tilting51
  1. FL-16Attention 65
  2. FL-27Attention 55
  3. KS-02Attention 53
  4. FL-03Attention 52
  5. WA-05Attention 51
  6. OH-07Attention 50
  7. SC-02Attention 49
  8. NC-05Attention 49
  9. OK-05Attention 49
  10. WI-06Attention 48
+41 more
R Held57
  1. MI-02Attention 63
  2. GA-14Attention 60
  3. OH-14Attention 58
  4. TX-10Attention 58
  5. CA-01Attention 56
  6. NY-11Attention 54
  7. TX-21Attention 52
  8. KS-04Attention 51
  9. UT-01Attention 50
  10. NY-24Attention 49
+47 more
R Anchored77
  1. FL-19Attention 71
  2. MO-08Attention 62
  3. FL-26Attention 60
  4. NE-03Attention 60
  5. FL-12Attention 58
  6. IN-09Attention 56
  7. IL-15Attention 53
  8. FL-06Attention 52
  9. ND-ALAttention 51
  10. PA-15Attention 50
+67 more

Each race sits in its column by the polling average where one exists, Vugol Vector otherwise; loudest first. Click a column head to list just those races below.

Loudest first

Contested races & battlegrounds

40 of 149
D · Anchored149D · Held42D · Tilting29Toss-up37R · Tilting51R · Held57R · Anchored77Unrated0✓ Verified poll on fileClear filters
TXU.S. HouseD · AnchoredTexas's 37th DistrictTX-37 · TexasModel ratingNews attention 83/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · AnchoredIllinois's 9th DistrictIL-09 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 70/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 12th DistrictNY-12 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 68/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CTU.S. HouseD · AnchoredConnecticut's 4th DistrictCT-04 · ConnecticutModel ratingNews attention 67/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · AnchoredIllinois's 3rd DistrictIL-03 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 65/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TNU.S. HouseD · AnchoredTennessee's 9th DistrictTN-09 · TennesseeModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMichigan's 12th DistrictMI-12 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 15th DistrictNY-15 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MDU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMaryland's 8th DistrictMD-08 · MarylandModel ratingNews attention 61/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMichigan's 13th DistrictMI-13 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · AnchoredFlorida's 10th DistrictFL-10 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 14th DistrictNY-14 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredCalifornia's 43rd DistrictCA-43 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
LAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredLouisiana's 2nd DistrictLA-02 · LouisianaModel ratingNews attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 10th DistrictNY-10 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
LAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredLouisiana's 6th DistrictLA-06 · LouisianaModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMassachusetts's 5th DistrictMA-05 · MassachusettsModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CTU.S. HouseD · AnchoredConnecticut's 3rd DistrictCT-03 · ConnecticutModel ratingNews attention 57/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 7th DistrictNY-07 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 57/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NCU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNorth Carolina's 4th DistrictNC-04 · North CarolinaModel ratingNews attention 57/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 13th DistrictNY-13 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMassachusetts's 7th DistrictMA-07 · MassachusettsModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NJU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew Jersey's 12th DistrictNJ-12 · New JerseyModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
WAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredWashington's 9th DistrictWA-09 · WashingtonModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredCalifornia's 32nd DistrictCA-32 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredCalifornia's 7th DistrictCA-07 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MDU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMaryland's 5th DistrictMD-05 · MarylandModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 16th DistrictNY-16 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 54/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMassachusetts's 1st DistrictMA-01 · MassachusettsModel ratingNews attention 53/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NJU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew Jersey's 1st DistrictNJ-01 · New JerseyModel ratingNews attention 53/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
WAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredWashington's 1st DistrictWA-01 · WashingtonModel ratingNews attention 53/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredCalifornia's 51st DistrictCA-51 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 53/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ORU.S. HouseD · AnchoredOregon's 3rd DistrictOR-03 · OregonModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TXU.S. HouseD · AnchoredTexas's 33rd DistrictTX-33 · TexasModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MDU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMaryland's 7th DistrictMD-07 · MarylandModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MOU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMissouri's 1st DistrictMO-01 · MissouriModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MSU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMississippi's 2nd DistrictMS-02 · MississippiModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NJU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew Jersey's 11th DistrictNJ-11 · New JerseyModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MEU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMaine's 1st DistrictME-01 · MaineModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NJU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew Jersey's 10th DistrictNJ-10 · New JerseyModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll

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