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The 2026 Race Index & Ratings Board
Every Senate, House and Governor race, scored two ways: Attention — how loud a race is right now across news, Wikipedia and Bluesky — and Vector — which way it leans and how firmly. Neither is a poll or a forecast. How they work →
579 races tracked575 with a Vector direction0 with a verified pollUpdated 2026-09-30 UTC
U.S. House: who holds it now
214 Democratic1 independent2 vacant218 RepublicanControl takes 218. A majority of all 435 seats.
435 seats on the 2026 ballot
Make your map
Starting colors are each race's Vugol Vector direction, or its verified polling average where one exists. Experimental, not a forecast; toss-ups start blank. Click a race to switch it: Democrat → Republican → undecided.
D 21837 undecidedR 180On the experimental Vector starting map: Democrats control.
Current seats as of 2026-09-30. Sources: Office of the Clerk: party breakdown · Office of the Clerk: vacancies
The ratings board
House races, from safe Democratic to safe Republican
Each race sits in its column by the polling average where one exists, Vugol Vector otherwise; loudest first. Click a column head to list just those races below.
Loudest first
40 of 114Contested races & battlegrounds
FLU.S. HouseR · AnchoredFlorida's 19th DistrictFL-19 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 71/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
IAU.S. HouseToss-upIowa's 3rd DistrictIA-03 · IowaModel ratingNews attention 63/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAU.S. HouseToss-upPennsylvania's 8th DistrictPA-08 · PennsylvaniaModel ratingNews attention 63/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseToss-upFlorida's 13th DistrictFL-13 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MOU.S. HouseR · AnchoredMissouri's 8th DistrictMO-08 · MissouriModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseR · AnchoredFlorida's 26th DistrictFL-26 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NEU.S. HouseR · AnchoredNebraska's 3rd DistrictNE-03 · NebraskaModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseR · AnchoredFlorida's 12th DistrictFL-12 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseToss-upCalifornia's 22nd DistrictCA-22 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
INU.S. HouseR · AnchoredIndiana's 9th DistrictIN-09 · IndianaModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
VAU.S. HouseToss-upVirginia's 2nd DistrictVA-02 · VirginiaModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseR · AnchoredIllinois's 15th DistrictIL-15 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 53/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AZU.S. HouseToss-upArizona's 2nd DistrictAZ-02 · ArizonaModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseR · AnchoredFlorida's 6th DistrictFL-06 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MOU.S. HouseToss-upMissouri's 2nd DistrictMO-02 · MissouriModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NDU.S. HouseR · AnchoredNorth Dakota At-Large House seatND-AL · North DakotaModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
IAU.S. HouseToss-upIowa's 1st DistrictIA-01 · IowaModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
WIU.S. HouseToss-upWisconsin's 1st DistrictWI-01 · WisconsinModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseToss-upCalifornia's 40th DistrictCA-40 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAU.S. HouseR · AnchoredPennsylvania's 15th DistrictPA-15 · PennsylvaniaModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAU.S. HouseR · AnchoredPennsylvania's 13th DistrictPA-13 · PennsylvaniaModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
KYU.S. HouseR · AnchoredKentucky's 1st DistrictKY-01 · KentuckyModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AZU.S. HouseToss-upArizona's 8th DistrictAZ-08 · ArizonaModel ratingNews attention 48/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
VAU.S. HouseToss-upVirginia's 1st DistrictVA-01 · VirginiaModel ratingNews attention 48/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AZU.S. HouseToss-upArizona's 6th DistrictAZ-06 · ArizonaModel ratingNews attention 48/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseR · AnchoredMichigan's 9th DistrictMI-09 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 48/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
INU.S. HouseR · AnchoredIndiana's 3rd DistrictIN-03 · IndianaModel ratingNews attention 46/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
KSU.S. HouseR · AnchoredKansas's 1st DistrictKS-01 · KansasModel ratingNews attention 44/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OHU.S. HouseR · AnchoredOhio's 2nd DistrictOH-02 · OhioModel ratingNews attention 44/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MSU.S. HouseR · AnchoredMississippi's 4th DistrictMS-04 · MississippiModel ratingNews attention 42/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NCU.S. HouseToss-upNorth Carolina's 11th DistrictNC-11 · North CarolinaModel ratingNews attention 42/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseToss-upMichigan's 10th DistrictMI-10 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 42/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NJU.S. HouseToss-upNew Jersey's 7th DistrictNJ-07 · New JerseyModel ratingNews attention 42/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OHU.S. HouseToss-upOhio's 15th DistrictOH-15 · OhioModel ratingNews attention 41/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ALU.S. HouseR · AnchoredAlabama's 3rd DistrictAL-03 · AlabamaModel ratingNews attention 41/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
SCU.S. HouseR · AnchoredSouth Carolina's 3rd DistrictSC-03 · South CarolinaModel ratingNews attention 41/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
COU.S. HouseToss-upColorado's 8th DistrictCO-08 · ColoradoModel ratingNews attention 41/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OKU.S. HouseR · AnchoredOklahoma's 4th DistrictOK-04 · OklahomaModel ratingNews attention 41/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TXU.S. HouseToss-upTexas's 15th DistrictTX-15 · TexasModel ratingNews attention 40/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TXU.S. HouseR · AnchoredTexas's 14th DistrictTX-14 · TexasModel ratingNews attention 39/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll