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The 2026 Race Index & Ratings Board

Every Senate, House and Governor race, scored two ways: Attention — how loud a race is right now across news, Wikipedia and Bluesky — and Vector — which way it leans and how firmly. Neither is a poll or a forecast. How they work →

579 races tracked575 with a Vector direction0 with a verified pollUpdated 2026-09-30 UTC
Balance of power

U.S. House: who holds it now

214 Democratic1 independent2 vacant218 RepublicanControl takes 218. A majority of all 435 seats.

435 seats on the 2026 ballot

Make your map

Starting colors are each race's Vugol Vector direction, or its verified polling average where one exists. Experimental, not a forecast; toss-ups start blank. Click a race to switch it: Democrat → Republican → undecided.

D 21837 undecidedR 180On the experimental Vector starting map: Democrats control.

Current seats as of 2026-09-30. Sources: Office of the Clerk: party breakdown · Office of the Clerk: vacancies

The ratings board

House races, from safe Democratic to safe Republican

D Anchored149
  1. TX-37Attention 83
  2. IL-09Attention 70
  3. NY-12Attention 68
  4. CT-04Attention 67
  5. IL-03Attention 65
  6. TN-09Attention 62
  7. MI-12Attention 62
  8. NY-15Attention 62
  9. MD-08Attention 61
  10. MI-13Attention 60
+139 more
D Held42
  1. MI-03Attention 68
  2. FL-22Attention 58
  3. NY-04Attention 58
  4. IL-14Attention 57
  5. FL-14Attention 55
  6. GA-02Attention 53
  7. NV-04Attention 52
  8. PA-12Attention 51
  9. CA-21Attention 51
  10. OH-01Attention 50
+32 more
D Tilting29
  1. NV-01Attention 75
  2. NY-03Attention 67
  3. TX-34Attention 67
  4. NY-19Attention 66
  5. FL-25Attention 61
  6. CA-41Attention 59
  7. OR-05Attention 56
  8. FL-20Attention 56
  9. NH-02Attention 56
  10. VA-07Attention 55
+19 more
Toss-up37
  1. IA-03Attention 63
  2. PA-08Attention 63
  3. FL-13Attention 62
  4. CA-22Attention 56
  5. VA-02Attention 55
  6. AZ-02Attention 52
  7. MO-02Attention 52
  8. IA-01Attention 51
  9. WI-01Attention 51
  10. CA-40Attention 50
+27 more
R Tilting51
  1. FL-16Attention 65
  2. FL-27Attention 55
  3. KS-02Attention 53
  4. FL-03Attention 52
  5. WA-05Attention 51
  6. OH-07Attention 50
  7. SC-02Attention 49
  8. NC-05Attention 49
  9. OK-05Attention 49
  10. WI-06Attention 48
+41 more
R Held57
  1. MI-02Attention 63
  2. GA-14Attention 60
  3. OH-14Attention 58
  4. TX-10Attention 58
  5. CA-01Attention 56
  6. NY-11Attention 54
  7. TX-21Attention 52
  8. KS-04Attention 51
  9. UT-01Attention 50
  10. NY-24Attention 49
+47 more
R Anchored77
  1. FL-19Attention 71
  2. MO-08Attention 62
  3. FL-26Attention 60
  4. NE-03Attention 60
  5. FL-12Attention 58
  6. IN-09Attention 56
  7. IL-15Attention 53
  8. FL-06Attention 52
  9. ND-ALAttention 51
  10. PA-15Attention 50
+67 more

Each race sits in its column by the polling average where one exists, Vugol Vector otherwise; loudest first. Click a column head to list just those races below.

Loudest first

Contested races & battlegrounds

40 of 228
D · Anchored149D · Held42D · Tilting29Toss-up37R · Tilting51R · Held57R · Anchored77Unrated0✓ Verified poll on fileClear filters
TXU.S. HouseD · AnchoredTexas's 37th DistrictTX-37 · TexasModel ratingNews attention 83/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · AnchoredIllinois's 9th DistrictIL-09 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 70/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 12th DistrictNY-12 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 68/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseD · HeldMichigan's 3rd DistrictMI-03 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 68/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CTU.S. HouseD · AnchoredConnecticut's 4th DistrictCT-04 · ConnecticutModel ratingNews attention 67/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · AnchoredIllinois's 3rd DistrictIL-03 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 65/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
IAU.S. HouseToss-upIowa's 3rd DistrictIA-03 · IowaModel ratingNews attention 63/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAU.S. HouseToss-upPennsylvania's 8th DistrictPA-08 · PennsylvaniaModel ratingNews attention 63/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseToss-upFlorida's 13th DistrictFL-13 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TNU.S. HouseD · AnchoredTennessee's 9th DistrictTN-09 · TennesseeModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMichigan's 12th DistrictMI-12 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 15th DistrictNY-15 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MDU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMaryland's 8th DistrictMD-08 · MarylandModel ratingNews attention 61/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMichigan's 13th DistrictMI-13 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · AnchoredFlorida's 10th DistrictFL-10 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 14th DistrictNY-14 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredCalifornia's 43rd DistrictCA-43 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
LAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredLouisiana's 2nd DistrictLA-02 · LouisianaModel ratingNews attention 59/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 10th DistrictNY-10 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · HeldFlorida's 22nd DistrictFL-22 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
LAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredLouisiana's 6th DistrictLA-06 · LouisianaModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · HeldNew York's 4th DistrictNY-04 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMassachusetts's 5th DistrictMA-05 · MassachusettsModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · HeldIllinois's 14th DistrictIL-14 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 57/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CTU.S. HouseD · AnchoredConnecticut's 3rd DistrictCT-03 · ConnecticutModel ratingNews attention 57/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 7th DistrictNY-07 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 57/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NCU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNorth Carolina's 4th DistrictNC-04 · North CarolinaModel ratingNews attention 57/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseToss-upCalifornia's 22nd DistrictCA-22 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 13th DistrictNY-13 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMassachusetts's 7th DistrictMA-07 · MassachusettsModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
VAU.S. HouseToss-upVirginia's 2nd DistrictVA-02 · VirginiaModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NJU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew Jersey's 12th DistrictNJ-12 · New JerseyModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
WAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredWashington's 9th DistrictWA-09 · WashingtonModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredCalifornia's 32nd DistrictCA-32 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · HeldFlorida's 14th DistrictFL-14 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredCalifornia's 7th DistrictCA-07 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MDU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMaryland's 5th DistrictMD-05 · MarylandModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · AnchoredNew York's 16th DistrictNY-16 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 54/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MAU.S. HouseD · AnchoredMassachusetts's 1st DistrictMA-01 · MassachusettsModel ratingNews attention 53/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
GAU.S. HouseD · HeldGeorgia's 2nd DistrictGA-02 · GeorgiaModel ratingNews attention 53/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll

Show more races (40 of 228)