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The 2026 Race Index & Ratings Board
Every Senate, House and Governor race, scored two ways: Attention — how loud a race is right now across news, Wikipedia and Bluesky — and Vector — which way it leans and how firmly. Neither is a poll or a forecast. How they work →
579 races tracked575 with a Vector direction0 with a verified pollUpdated 2026-09-30 UTC
U.S. House: who holds it now
214 Democratic1 independent2 vacant218 RepublicanControl takes 218. A majority of all 435 seats.
435 seats on the 2026 ballot
Make your map
Starting colors are each race's Vugol Vector direction, or its verified polling average where one exists. Experimental, not a forecast; toss-ups start blank. Click a race to switch it: Democrat → Republican → undecided.
D 21837 undecidedR 180On the experimental Vector starting map: Democrats control.
Current seats as of 2026-09-30. Sources: Office of the Clerk: party breakdown · Office of the Clerk: vacancies
The ratings board
House races, from safe Democratic to safe Republican
Each race sits in its column by the polling average where one exists, Vugol Vector otherwise; loudest first. Click a column head to list just those races below.
Loudest first
40 of 176Contested races & battlegrounds
FLU.S. HouseR · AnchoredFlorida's 19th DistrictFL-19 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 71/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseD · HeldMichigan's 3rd DistrictMI-03 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 68/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseR · HeldMichigan's 2nd DistrictMI-02 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 63/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MOU.S. HouseR · AnchoredMissouri's 8th DistrictMO-08 · MissouriModel ratingNews attention 62/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseR · AnchoredFlorida's 26th DistrictFL-26 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NEU.S. HouseR · AnchoredNebraska's 3rd DistrictNE-03 · NebraskaModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
GAU.S. HouseR · HeldGeorgia's 14th DistrictGA-14 · GeorgiaModel ratingNews attention 60/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseR · AnchoredFlorida's 12th DistrictFL-12 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · HeldFlorida's 22nd DistrictFL-22 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OHU.S. HouseR · HeldOhio's 14th DistrictOH-14 · OhioModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseD · HeldNew York's 4th DistrictNY-04 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TXU.S. HouseR · HeldTexas's 10th DistrictTX-10 · TexasModel ratingNews attention 58/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · HeldIllinois's 14th DistrictIL-14 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 57/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseR · HeldCalifornia's 1st DistrictCA-01 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
INU.S. HouseR · AnchoredIndiana's 9th DistrictIN-09 · IndianaModel ratingNews attention 56/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseD · HeldFlorida's 14th DistrictFL-14 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 55/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseR · HeldNew York's 11th DistrictNY-11 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 54/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
GAU.S. HouseD · HeldGeorgia's 2nd DistrictGA-02 · GeorgiaModel ratingNews attention 53/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseR · AnchoredIllinois's 15th DistrictIL-15 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 53/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseR · AnchoredFlorida's 6th DistrictFL-06 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NVU.S. HouseD · HeldNevada's 4th DistrictNV-04 · NevadaModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TXU.S. HouseR · HeldTexas's 21st DistrictTX-21 · TexasModel ratingNews attention 52/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NDU.S. HouseR · AnchoredNorth Dakota At-Large House seatND-AL · North DakotaModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
KSU.S. HouseR · HeldKansas's 4th DistrictKS-04 · KansasModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAU.S. HouseD · HeldPennsylvania's 12th DistrictPA-12 · PennsylvaniaModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
CAU.S. HouseD · HeldCalifornia's 21st DistrictCA-21 · CaliforniaModel ratingNews attention 51/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
UTU.S. HouseR · HeldUtah's 1st DistrictUT-01 · UtahModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
OHU.S. HouseD · HeldOhio's 1st DistrictOH-01 · OhioModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAU.S. HouseR · AnchoredPennsylvania's 15th DistrictPA-15 · PennsylvaniaModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AZU.S. HouseD · HeldArizona's 4th DistrictAZ-04 · ArizonaModel ratingNews attention 50/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
NYU.S. HouseR · HeldNew York's 24th DistrictNY-24 · New YorkModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
FLU.S. HouseR · HeldFlorida's 28th DistrictFL-28 · FloridaModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAU.S. HouseR · AnchoredPennsylvania's 13th DistrictPA-13 · PennsylvaniaModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
KYU.S. HouseR · AnchoredKentucky's 1st DistrictKY-01 · KentuckyModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
AZU.S. HouseR · HeldArizona's 9th DistrictAZ-09 · ArizonaModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
ILU.S. HouseD · HeldIllinois's 13th DistrictIL-13 · IllinoisModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
PAU.S. HouseR · HeldPennsylvania's 11th DistrictPA-11 · PennsylvaniaModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MIU.S. HouseR · AnchoredMichigan's 9th DistrictMI-09 · MichiganModel ratingNews attention 48/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
MTU.S. HouseR · HeldMontana's 2nd DistrictMT-02 · MontanaModel ratingNews attention 47/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
TXU.S. HouseR · HeldTexas's 3rd DistrictTX-03 · TexasModel ratingNews attention 46/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll