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Daily digest: if the election were held today

Every morning: who would control the Senate, House and governorships, what moved since yesterday, new verified polls and your state. Free.

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Candidates, verified polls and race ratings, each number with its source. Published aggregates are reproducible from a versioned model and a stored input snapshot; community responses never enter them. No sponsorships, no paid ratings, no advertising.

Vugol Attention, the Vugol Vector and the Vugol Tensor are Vugol Me signals, not polls. Vugol Pulse is our own daily question and stays out of every average.

Candidates, verified polls and race ratings, each number with its source. Published aggregates are reproducible from a versioned model and a stored input snapshot; community responses never enter them. No sponsorships, no paid ratings, no advertising.Vugol Attention, the Vugol Vector and the Vugol Tensor are Vugol Me signals, not polls. Vugol Pulse is our own daily question and stays out of every average.
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Data

Poll database and downloads

Every poll in our feed, one row per candidate, with the pollster, dates, sample, margin of error, question wording and source. Filter, then download exactly what you see, or take the whole dataset. Free to use with credit; see the data and licensing page.

1,216+ polls (verified), newest first

Download CSVJSON

Field endPollsterRaceSampleTop results (%)Status
2026-02-18InsiderAdvantagenational:approval:donald-trump (approval)800 likely voters · ±3.5Approve 49.6 · Disapprove 46Verified
2026-02-18Change Researchnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)1,741 registered voters · ±2.3Unfavorable 51 · Favorable 39Verified
2026-02-18Change Researchnational:favorability:donald-trump (favorability)1,741 registered voters · ±2.3Unfavorable 55 · Favorable 38Verified
2026-02-18Change Researchnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,741 registered voters · ±2.3Disapprove 55 · Approve 43Verified
2026-02-17Ipsosnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)2,589 adults · ±1.9Disapprove 60 · Approve 39Verified
2026-02-17Ipsosnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)2,087 registered voters · ±2.1Disapprove 58 · Approve 41Verified
2026-02-17Ipsosnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)2,087 registered voters · ±2.1Democratic 47 · Republican 45Verified
2026-02-17Ipsosnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)2,589 adults · ±1.9Democratic 43 · Republican 39Verified
2026-02-16Ipsosnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)1,117 adults · ±2.9Democratic 36 · Republican 32Verified
2026-02-16Morning Consultnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)2,200 registered voters · ±2.1Unfavorable 46 · Favorable 40Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMaine Governor (primary-D)462 likely voters · ±4.6Nirav Shah 25 · Shenna Bellows 19 · Troy Jackson 16Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMaine's 2nd District521 likely voters · ±4.3Paul Lepage 47 · Matt Dunlap 46Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMaine Senate (hyp)1,105 likely voters · ±2.9Janet Trafton Mills 41 · Susan M. Collins 40Verified
2026-02-16YouGovnational:favorability:donald-trump (favorability)1,682 adults · ±2.4Unfavorable 56 · Favorable 40Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMaine Senate (primary-R)417 likely voters · ±4.8Susan M. Collins 67 · Dan Smeriglio 6 · Carmen Vincent Calabrese 1Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMassachusetts Governor620 likely voters · ±3.9Maura Healey 56 · Michael Minogue 27Verified
2026-02-16YouGovnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)1,509 registered voters · ±2.5Democratic 47 · Republican 40Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMaine Senate (hyp)1,105 likely voters · ±2.9Graham Platner 49 · Susan M. Collins 38Verified
2026-02-16YouGovnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)1,682 adults · ±2.4Democratic 39 · Republican 33Verified
2026-02-16Morning Consultnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)2,200 registered voters · ±2.1Disapprove 55 · Approve 43Verified
2026-02-16Ipsosnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)846 registered voters · ±3.4Democratic 41 · Republican 37Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMassachusetts Senate (hyp)620 likely voters · ±3.9Seth Moulton 59 · John Deaton 23Verified
2026-02-16Ipsosnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,117 adults · ±2.9Disapprove 60 · Approve 38Verified
2026-02-16YouGovnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)1,678 adults · ±2.4Unfavorable 51 · Favorable 37Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMassachusetts Governor (hyp)620 likely voters · ±3.9Maura Healey 58 · Brian Shortsleeve 28Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMassachusetts Governor (hyp)620 likely voters · ±3.9Maura Healey 55 · Mike Kennealy 28Verified
2026-02-16Ipsosnational:favorability:donald-trump (favorability)1,117 adults · ±2.9Unfavorable 58 · Favorable 38Verified
2026-02-16YouGovnational:favorability:donald-trump (favorability)1,512 registered voters · ±2.5Unfavorable 55 · Favorable 44Verified
2026-02-16YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,682 adults · ±2.4Disapprove 56 · Approve 39Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMaine Senate (primary-D)462 likely voters · ±4.6Graham Platner 64 · Janet Trafton Mills 26 · David Costello 1Verified
2026-02-16Morning Consultnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)2,200 registered voters · ±2.1Democratic 45 · Republican 43Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireRhode Island Governor (primary-D)364 likely voters · ±5.1Helena Foulkes 34 · Dan McKee 18 · Gregory Stevens 4Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMassachusetts Senate (primary-D)352 likely voters · ±5.2Edward Markey 35 · Seth Moulton 23 · Alexander Rikleen 7Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMaine's 2nd District (hyp)521 likely voters · ±4.3Paul Lepage 48 · Jordan Wood 44Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMassachusetts Senate620 likely voters · ±3.9Edward Markey 56 · John Deaton 27Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireConnecticut Governor (primary-D)174 likely voters · ±7.4Ned Lamont 57 · Josh Elliott 13Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMaine's 2nd District (hyp)520 likely voters · ±4.3Paul Lepage 48 · Joseph Baldacci 47Verified
2026-02-16Morning Consultnational:favorability:donald-trump (favorability)2,200 registered voters · ±2.1Unfavorable 54 · Favorable 42Verified
2026-02-16YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,512 registered voters · ±2.5Disapprove 55 · Approve 43Verified
2026-02-16YouGovnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)1,508 registered voters · ±2.5Unfavorable 53 · Favorable 41Verified
2026-02-16Ipsosnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)1,117 adults · ±2.9Unfavorable 53 · Favorable 36Verified
2026-02-16University of New HampshireMaine Governor (primary-R)404 likely voters · ±4.9Bobby Charles 28 · Garrett Mason 12 · David Jones 7Verified
2026-02-15Morning Consultnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)12,505 registered voters · ±0.9Democratic 45 · Republican 42Verified
2026-02-14Emerson CollegeCalifornia Governor (primary)1,000 likely voters · ±3.1Steve Hilton 17 · Eric Swalwell 14 · Chad Bianco 14Verified
2026-02-13Morning Consultnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)2,002 registered voters · ±2.2Disapprove 55 · Approve 42Verified
2026-02-12Rasmussen ReportsGeorgia Governor (primary-R)1,022 likely voters · ±3.1Rick Jackson 22 · Brad Raffensperger 18 · Burt Jones 16Verified
2026-02-12McLaughlin & AssociatesTexas Senate (runoff-R)800 likely voters · ±3.5Ken Paxton 44 · Wesley Hunt 42Verified
2026-02-12Rasmussen ReportsGeorgia Senate (primary-R)1,022 likely voters · ±3.1Michael A Collins Jr. 34 · Buddy Carter 19 · Derek Dooley 11Verified
2026-02-12YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,704 adults · ±2.4Disapprove 58 · Approve 38Verified
2026-02-12McLaughlin & AssociatesTexas Senate (runoff-R)800 likely voters · ±3.5Ken Paxton 50 · John Cornyn 38Verified
NewerPage 21 of 25+Older

The table shows a window of the newest polls. For the complete history, use the full downloads below.

Full downloads

  • All verified polls, CSV every poll in our averages, one row per candidate
  • All polls, CSV adds polls from unverified pollsters, flagged in the verified column
  • All verified polls, JSON
  • Race poll averages, CSV leader, margin and number of verified polls for each race
  • Race poll averages, JSON

Licence: CC BY 4.0: credit "Vugol.Me" and link to https://vugol.me. Files refresh every 15 minutes. Limits: 30 requests a minute per IP on the filtered API, 6 a minute on the full files. Need more, or a feed with support? Contact us.

Use it in code

# curl
curl -L "https://vugol.me/api/public/polls?state=GA&verified=1&format=csv" -o ga-polls.csv

# Python
import pandas as pd
polls = pd.read_csv("https://vugol.me/api/public/polls/all?format=csv&verified=1")
polls[polls.race_key == "US-NC"].groupby("candidate_name").value_pct.mean()

# R
polls <- read.csv("https://vugol.me/api/public/polls/all?format=csv&verified=1")

Parameters for /api/public/polls: office, state, pollster, contestKey, verified=1, from and to (YYYY-MM-DD), page, limit (up to 500), format (json or csv).

Data dictionary

Polls (one row per candidate per poll)

ColumnMeaning
study_idOur id for the poll; the same on every candidate row of one poll.
race_keyRace the poll is about: US-NC (Senate), US-GA-GOV (governor), US-NY-17 (House).
contest_keyFull contest: the race key, plus a suffix for primaries (US-GA:primary-R) and hypothetical match-ups (US-GA:hyp). Only the plain race key is averaged.
race_urlThe race page on Vugol.Me.
pollster_nameWho ran the poll, as the pollster is named on our pollster list.
pollster_tierV = verified pollster (identity, methodologist, methodology, sponsor on file), U = not yet verified.
verifiedtrue when the poll counts in our averages: verified pollster and a public source. Everything else is listed but never averaged.
sponsor_nameWho paid for the poll, when disclosed.
partisan_sponsortrue when the sponsor is a party, campaign or partisan group.
field_startFirst day of interviews (YYYY-MM-DD).
field_endLast day of interviews (YYYY-MM-DD); polls are listed newest first by this.
populationWho was sampled: likely_voters, registered_voters, voters or adults.
sample_sizeNumber of respondents.
moe_pctMargin of error in points at 95% confidence, worst case, computed from the sample size (98 divided by the square root of the sample).
question_wordingThe question as asked.
candidate_labelThe answer as printed by the pollster.
candidate_name

Race averages

ColumnMeaning
race_keyRace: US-NC, US-GA-GOV, US-NY-17.
leaderWho leads the verified-poll average: D, R or tie.
margin_r_minus_dRepublican share minus Democratic share of the average, in points. Negative means the Democrat leads.
bandAnchored, Held, Tilting or Open: how big the lead is (the Vector vocabulary).
verified_poll_countVerified polls in the average.
race_urlThe race page, with the polls behind the number.

Only polls from verified pollsters with a public source are averaged. Reader polls on this site (Vugol Pulse, race polls) are never in these files. See the methodology.

Candidate name when the answer matches a profile on Vugol.Me.
candidate_partyD, R, I, or another party as written, when known.
candidate_canonical_keyStable key for the candidate across polls.
vugol_person_idProfile id: https://vugol.me/candidates/<id>.
value_pctShare of respondents choosing this answer, in percent.
other_pctPoll-level "other" share as printed (blank if not printed).
undecided_pctPoll-level "undecided" share as printed (blank if not printed).
source_urlPublic source of the poll (the pollster release or report).
methodology_urlThe pollster methodology statement.