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Daily digest: if the election were held today

Every morning: who would control the Senate, House and governorships, what moved since yesterday, new verified polls and your state. Free.

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Candidates, verified polls and race ratings, each number with its source. Published aggregates are reproducible from a versioned model and a stored input snapshot; community responses never enter them. No sponsorships, no paid ratings, no advertising.

Vugol Attention, the Vugol Vector and the Vugol Tensor are Vugol Me signals, not polls. Vugol Pulse is our own daily question and stays out of every average.

Candidates, verified polls and race ratings, each number with its source. Published aggregates are reproducible from a versioned model and a stored input snapshot; community responses never enter them. No sponsorships, no paid ratings, no advertising.Vugol Attention, the Vugol Vector and the Vugol Tensor are Vugol Me signals, not polls. Vugol Pulse is our own daily question and stays out of every average.
Support: hello@vugol.me
Data

Poll database and downloads

Every poll in our feed, one row per candidate, with the pollster, dates, sample, margin of error, question wording and source. Filter, then download exactly what you see, or take the whole dataset. Free to use with credit; see the data and licensing page.

1,662+ polls (verified), newest first

Download CSVJSON

Field endPollsterRaceSampleTop results (%)Status
2025-10-14Emerson Collegenational:favorability:donald-trump (favorability)1,000 registered voters · ±3.1Favorable 47.2 · Unfavorable 47Verified
2025-10-14Data for ProgressHawaii's 1st District (primary-D)366 likely voters · ±5.1Edward Case 40 · della Au Belatti 16 · Jarrett Keohokalole 12Verified
2025-10-14Data for ProgressHawaii's 1st District (primary-D)366 likely voters · ±5.1Edward Case 43 · Generic Democrat 36Verified
2025-10-14Emerson Collegenational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)1,000 registered voters · ±3.1Favorable 43.2 · Unfavorable 43.2Verified
2025-10-14Emerson Collegenational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,000 registered voters · ±3.1Disapprove 48.3 · Approve 45.3Verified
2025-10-13YouGovnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)1,622 adults · ±2.4Unfavorable 47 · Favorable 40Verified
2025-10-13co/efficientNew Hampshire Senate (hyp)1,034 likely voters · ±3Chris Pappas 49 · Scott P. Brown 39Verified
2025-10-13Change ResearchNew Mexico Governor (primary-D)1,000 likely voters · ±3.1Deb Haaland 54 · Sam Bregman 22Verified
2025-10-13YouGovnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)1,467 registered voters · ±2.6Unfavorable 50 · Favorable 43Verified
2025-10-13YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,622 adults · ±2.4Disapprove 55 · Approve 40Verified
2025-10-13co/efficientNew Hampshire Senate (hyp)1,034 likely voters · ±3Generic Democrat 47 · Generic Republican 44Verified
2025-10-13YouGovnational:favorability:donald-trump (favorability)1,622 adults · ±2.4Unfavorable 53 · Favorable 42Verified
2025-10-13YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,467 registered voters · ±2.6Disapprove 54 · Approve 44Verified
2025-10-13YouGovnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)1,622 adults · ±2.4Democratic 39 · Republican 34Verified
2025-10-13co/efficientNew Hampshire Senate1,034 likely voters · ±3Chris Pappas 45 · John E Sununu 42Verified
2025-10-13YouGovnational:favorability:donald-trump (favorability)1,467 registered voters · ±2.6Unfavorable 54 · Favorable 44Verified
2025-10-13co/efficientNew Hampshire Governor (hyp)1,034 likely voters · ±3Kelly Ayotte 43 · Generic Democrat 40Verified
2025-10-13YouGovnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)1,467 registered voters · ±2.6Democratic 43 · Republican 40Verified
2025-10-12Morning Consultnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)19,675 registered voters · ±0.7Democratic 44 · Republican 43Verified
2025-10-12Morning Consultnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)2,202 registered voters · ±2.1Disapprove 53 · Approve 45Verified
2025-10-12Morning Consultnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)2,202 registered voters · ±2.1Unfavorable 45 · Favorable 42Verified
2025-10-12Morning Consultnational:favorability:donald-trump (favorability)2,202 registered voters · ±2.1Unfavorable 52 · Favorable 45Verified
2025-10-10co/efficientKentucky Senate (primary-R)911 likely voters · ±3.2Daniel Cameron 39 · Garland Andy Barr 22 · Nate Morris 8Verified
2025-10-07Ipsosnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,154 adults · ±2.9Disapprove 58 · Approve 40Verified
2025-10-07Morning Consultnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)45,000 adults · ±0.5Disapprove 50 · Approve 43Verified
2025-10-06YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,648 adults · ±2.4Disapprove 56 · Approve 39Verified
2025-10-06YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,490 registered voters · ±2.5Disapprove 55 · Approve 43Verified
2025-10-06YouGovnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)1,490 registered voters · ±2.5Democratic 44 · Republican 39Verified
2025-10-06YouGovnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)1,648 adults · ±2.4Democratic 39 · Republican 33Verified
2025-10-05Morning Consultnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)2,200 registered voters · ±2.1Disapprove 52 · Approve 46Verified
2025-10-05Morning Consultnational:favorability:donald-trump (favorability)2,200 registered voters · ±2.1Unfavorable 52 · Favorable 45Verified
2025-10-05Morning Consultnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)19,675 registered voters · ±0.7Democratic 44 · Republican 43Verified
2025-10-05Morning Consultnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)2,200 registered voters · ±2.1Democratic 46 · Republican 43Verified
2025-10-05Morning Consultnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)2,200 registered voters · ±2.1Unfavorable 45 · Favorable 43Verified
2025-10-03YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)2,441 adults · ±2Disapprove 58 · Approve 42Verified
2025-09-30InsiderAdvantagenational:approval:donald-trump (approval)800 likely voters · ±3.5Approve 52 · Disapprove 46Verified
2025-09-30InsiderAdvantagenational:favorability:donald-trump (favorability)800 likely voters · ±3.5Unfavorable 50 · Favorable 47Verified
2025-09-29YouGovnational:approval:supreme-court (approval)1,518 registered voters · ±2.5Disapprove 47 · Approve 40Verified
2025-09-29YouGovnational:favorability:donald-trump (favorability)1,656 adults · ±2.4Unfavorable 54 · Favorable 41Verified
2025-09-29YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,518 registered voters · ±2.5Disapprove 54 · Approve 43Verified
2025-09-29YouGovnational:approval:supreme-court (approval)1,656 adults · ±2.4Disapprove 45 · Approve 36Verified
2025-09-29YouGovnational:favorability:donald-trump (favorability)1,518 registered voters · ±2.5Unfavorable 55 · Favorable 44Verified
2025-09-29YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,656 adults · ±2.4Disapprove 54 · Approve 40Verified
2025-09-29YouGovnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)1,126 registered voters · ±2.9Democratic 44 · Republican 40Verified
2025-09-29Quinnipiac UniversityPennsylvania Governor (hyp)1,579 registered voters · ±2.5Josh Shapiro 56 · Doug Mastriano 39Verified
2025-09-29YouGovnational:favorability:donald-trump (favorability)1,126 registered voters · ±2.9Unfavorable 55 · Favorable 44Verified
2025-09-29YouGovnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)1,518 registered voters · ±2.5Democratic 44 · Republican 41Verified
2025-09-29Quinnipiac UniversityPennsylvania Governor1,579 registered voters · ±2.5Josh Shapiro 55 · Stacy Garrity 39Verified
2025-09-29YouGovnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)1,656 adults · ±2.4Democratic 41 · Republican 35Verified
2025-09-29YouGovnational:approval:congress (approval)1,518 registered voters · ±2.5Disapprove 57 · Approve 21Verified
NewerPage 30 of 34+Older

The table shows a window of the newest polls. For the complete history, use the full downloads below.

Full downloads

  • All verified polls, CSV every poll in our averages, one row per candidate
  • All polls, CSV adds polls from unverified pollsters, flagged in the verified column
  • All verified polls, JSON
  • Race poll averages, CSV leader, margin and number of verified polls for each race
  • Race poll averages, JSON

Licence: CC BY 4.0: credit "Vugol.Me" and link to https://vugol.me. Files refresh every 15 minutes. Limits: 30 requests a minute per IP on the filtered API, 6 a minute on the full files. Need more, or a feed with support? Contact us.

Use it in code

# curl
curl -L "https://vugol.me/api/public/polls?state=GA&verified=1&format=csv" -o ga-polls.csv

# Python
import pandas as pd
polls = pd.read_csv("https://vugol.me/api/public/polls/all?format=csv&verified=1")
polls[polls.race_key == "US-NC"].groupby("candidate_name").value_pct.mean()

# R
polls <- read.csv("https://vugol.me/api/public/polls/all?format=csv&verified=1")

Parameters for /api/public/polls: office, state, pollster, contestKey, verified=1, from and to (YYYY-MM-DD), page, limit (up to 500), format (json or csv).

Data dictionary

Polls (one row per candidate per poll)

ColumnMeaning
study_idOur id for the poll; the same on every candidate row of one poll.
race_keyRace the poll is about: US-NC (Senate), US-GA-GOV (governor), US-NY-17 (House).
contest_keyFull contest: the race key, plus a suffix for primaries (US-GA:primary-R) and hypothetical match-ups (US-GA:hyp). Only the plain race key is averaged.
race_urlThe race page on Vugol.Me.
pollster_nameWho ran the poll, as the pollster is named on our pollster list.
pollster_tierV = verified pollster (identity, methodologist, methodology, sponsor on file), U = not yet verified.
verifiedtrue when the poll counts in our averages: verified pollster and a public source. Everything else is listed but never averaged.
sponsor_nameWho paid for the poll, when disclosed.
partisan_sponsortrue when the sponsor is a party, campaign or partisan group.
field_startFirst day of interviews (YYYY-MM-DD).
field_endLast day of interviews (YYYY-MM-DD); polls are listed newest first by this.
populationWho was sampled: likely_voters, registered_voters, voters or adults.
sample_sizeNumber of respondents.
moe_pctMargin of error in points at 95% confidence, worst case, computed from the sample size (98 divided by the square root of the sample).
question_wordingThe question as asked.
candidate_labelThe answer as printed by the pollster.
candidate_name

Race averages

ColumnMeaning
race_keyRace: US-NC, US-GA-GOV, US-NY-17.
leaderWho leads the verified-poll average: D, R or tie.
margin_r_minus_dRepublican share minus Democratic share of the average, in points. Negative means the Democrat leads.
bandAnchored, Held, Tilting or Open: how big the lead is (the Vector vocabulary).
verified_poll_countVerified polls in the average.
race_urlThe race page, with the polls behind the number.

Only polls from verified pollsters with a public source are averaged. Reader polls on this site (Vugol Pulse, race polls) are never in these files. See the methodology.

Candidate name when the answer matches a profile on Vugol.Me.
candidate_partyD, R, I, or another party as written, when known.
candidate_canonical_keyStable key for the candidate across polls.
vugol_person_idProfile id: https://vugol.me/candidates/<id>.
value_pctShare of respondents choosing this answer, in percent.
other_pctPoll-level "other" share as printed (blank if not printed).
undecided_pctPoll-level "undecided" share as printed (blank if not printed).
source_urlPublic source of the poll (the pollster release or report).
methodology_urlThe pollster methodology statement.