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KS2026

Governor · Kansas · 2026

General election · 2 on file, ballot not yet verified · Open seat (no incumbent)

Model rating Leans Democratic (Open) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

4 polls on file from pollsters we have not verified yet — shown below, not averaged. Model inputs: 3 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated

News attention 46/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated today. How it works

Candidates on file — ballot not yet verified (2)

From FEC filings and public records. Filing with the FEC does not put someone on the ballot; we are checking each state’s certified candidate list and will mark who is on the November ballot.

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no verified inputs yet

4 polls on file for this race, all from quarantined (U-tier) pollsters — visible below, not yet averaged.

25436090d60d30dtoday
Ty Masterson (R)Cindy Holscher (D)● verified poll · ○ quarantined poll · ◎ live average

Results

Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.

Democratic primary

Cindy Holscher KC Ohaebosim won108,47848.6%
Ethan Corson Renee Duxler86,62338.8%
Curt Skoog Jennifer Bacani McKenny28,02412.6%

Republican primary

Ty Masterson Jeff Klemp won147,21343.2%
Philip Sarnecki Joy Eakins76,29222.4%
Vicki Schmidt Joe Newland46,69313.7%
Scott Schwab Ken Rahjes37,31810.9%
Charlotte O'Hara Michelle Dombrosky14,4934.3%
Stacy Rogers Michael Smith11,7893.5%
Nick Reinecker Katy Reinecker7,1222.1%

Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-29 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

  • 2026-04-25 — Election: U.S. House
  • 2026-08-04 — Primary election: U.S. Senate
  • 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Primary and hypothetical polls (2)

Kept on file, never averaged into this race. Polls listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each linked to the pollster's own release.

  • Democratic primary · Change Research (partisan) · 2026-06-11–2026-06-15 · n=1,022 · Cindy Holscher (D) 37%, Ethan Corson 10%, Curt Skoog 7% · release
  • Democratic primary · Public Policy Polling (partisan) · 2026-01-08–2026-01-09 · n=699 · Cindy Holscher (D) 33%, Ethan Corson 9% · release

In the news

Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news

Signals (experimental)

Attention 46 Vector D · Open

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0
46OUT OF 100Moderate attention
Attention percentile72th
7-day momentum0 / 100
Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: high

vector-1.1.0
Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean
AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored
Completeness3 of 7 inputs (national, prior, pres) · missing: incumbent, money, pulse, poll
Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only
Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-30 (today)
Vector component signals · estimated margin D +2.2Presidential lean of the seat (2024 R +16.1, national swing D +8.4)R +7.7Last result for this seat (2022 D +2.2, national swing D +8.5)D +10.7National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-30), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing × 0.8 for this office; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Band: Toss-up (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.