Home / Races / Georgia / U.S. House — GA-11

GA2026

U.S. House — GA-11 · Georgia · 2026

Name: U.S. House — GA-11, Georgia — Vugol Me Attention & Vector
Creator: Vugol Me
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

General election · 2 on the November ballot · Open seat (no incumbent)

Community poll

Model rating Leans Republican (Anchored) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

1 poll on file from pollsters we have not verified yet — shown below, not averaged. Model inputs: 3 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated

News attention 28/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 4 days ago. How it works

On the November ballot (2)

From reported primary results, checked 2026-09-30. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.

Christopher Matthew HardenU.S. House — GA-11 · FEC H6GA11116DemocraticOn the ballotFEC raised$76K John CowanU.S. House — GA-11 · FEC H0GA14048RepublicanOn the ballotFEC raised$2.3M

Ran in the primary (5)

Lost a primary or runoff for this seat — not on the November ballot.

Barry Craig WolfertU.S. House — GA-11 · FEC H6GA11124DemocraticLost primaryFEC raised$48K Chris MoraU.S. House — GA-11 · FEC H6GA11132RepublicanLost primaryFEC raised$30K Rob AdkersonU.S. House — GA-11 · FEC H6GA11181RepublicanLost primaryFEC raised$373K Tricia PridemoreU.S. House — GA-11 · FEC H6GA11207RepublicanLost primaryFEC raised$618K Uloma Ekpete KamaU.S. House — GA-11 · FEC H6GA03170RepublicanLost primaryFEC raisednot on file

Other filers (3)

Registered with the FEC or listed in public records, but not on the November ballot as far as the results show.

Carlquist LisaU.S. House — GA-11 · FEC H6GA11215RepublicanNot on the November ballotFEC raised$223K William BrownU.S. House — GA-11 · FEC H6GA11223RepublicanNot on the November ballotFEC raised$37K William Flynn Kelly IIIU.S. House — GA-11 · FEC H6GA14284RepublicanNot on the November ballotFEC raised$36K

Ballot source: https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Georgia&oldid=1377567794

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no verified inputs yet

1 poll on file for this race, all from quarantined (U-tier) pollsters — visible below, not yet averaged.

Chris Harden (D)John Cowan (R)● verified poll · ○ quarantined poll · ◎ live average

Campaign money (FEC)

Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Through
Barry Craig Wolfert Democratic	$48,125	$48,125	$0	2026-07-15
Carlquist Lisa Republican	$223,044	$223,044	$0	2026-04-29
Chris Mora Republican	$30,362	$24,209	$6,153	2026-06-30
Christopher Matthew Harden Democratic	$76,330	$63,995	$2,237	2026-06-30
John Cowan Republican	$2,347,796	$2,330,167	$17,630	2026-06-30
Rob Adkerson Republican	$373,406	$373,406	$0	2026-07-28
Tricia Pridemore Republican	$618,362	$618,362	$0	2026-06-30
Uloma Ekpete Kama Republican	$0	$0	$0	2026-09-30
William Brown Republican	$37,480	$37,480	$0	2026-06-30
William Flynn Kelly III Republican	$35,801	$35,801	$0	2026-04-06

Results

Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.

Republican primary runoff

John Cowan won	44,799	65.0%
Rob Adkerson	24,140	35.0%

Democratic primary

Chris Harden won	39,204	74.8%
Barry Wolfert	13,230	25.2%

Republican primary

John Cowan advanced	34,150	42.6%
Rob Adkerson advanced	17,408	21.7%
Tricia Pridemore	15,200	19.0%
John Hobbs	5,086	6.3%
Christopher Mora	4,121	5.1%
Lisa Carlquist	3,161	3.9%
Uloma Kama	1,039	1.3%

Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-30 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

2026-05-19 — Primary election: U.S. House
2026-06-16 — Runoff: U.S. House
2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House
2026-12-01 — General runoff: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Signals (experimental)

Attention 28 Vector R · Anchored

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0

28OUT OF 100Low attention

Attention percentile30th

7-day momentum11 / 100

Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0

Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean

AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored

Completeness3 of 7 inputs (national, prior, money) · missing: pres, incumbent, pulse, poll

Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only

Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-26 (4 days ago)

Vector component signals · estimated margin R +20.5Fundraising velocity (FEC)R +8.0Last result for this seat (2024 R +34.6, national swing D +10.5)R +24.1National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-30), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 354484ddd280 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).

Band: R · Anchored (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.