Home / Races / Colorado / U.S. House — CO-02
CO2026

U.S. House — CO-02 · Colorado · 2026

General election · 2 on the November ballot · Incumbent running

Model rating Leans Democratic (Anchored) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated

News attention — — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. First run pending. How it works

On the November ballot (1)

From reported primary results, checked 2026-09-30. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.

Ballot source: https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Colorado&oldid=1377023098

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no polls yet

No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.

Campaign money (FEC)

Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on handThrough
Joseph Neguse Democratic$2,742,281$1,640,260$3,092,9182026-06-30

Results

Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.

Democratic primary

Joe Neguse (incumbent) won136,146100.0%

Republican primary

Kelley Dennison won21,58457.9%
Christina Blunt15,66642.1%

Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-30 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

  • 2026-06-30 — Primary election: U.S. House
  • 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Signals (experimental)

Attention — Vector D · Anchored

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0

Signals for this race are being collected. The first Attention score lands after the nightly run reaches it; nothing is estimated in the meantime.

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0
Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean
AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored
Completeness4 of 7 inputs (national, prior, incumbent, money) · missing: pres, pulse, poll
Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only
Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-30 (today)
Vector component signals · estimated margin D +32.6Fundraising velocity (FEC)D +8.0Last result for this seat (2024 D +40.5, national swing D +10.5)D +51.0IncumbencyD +6.0National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-30), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Band: D · Anchored (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.