Portrait of Thomas Cotton
Official public-domain portrait

Winner, unofficial result · U.S. Senate, AR

Thomas Cotton

RepublicanIncumbentFEC S4AR00103VM-J88-AD7S
54.3%Won by 11.9 points
Over
Hallie Shoffner (Democratic), 42.4%
Votes
480,898 (104,980 ahead)
Term begins
January 3, 2027

Unofficial result, not yet certified. 100% reporting. Source: State results feed · read 2026-11-12

Called it. Before the polls closed, Vugol.Me called this race for the Republican (R +14.0, from the Vugol Vector model) and the Republican won. Every call, frozen before polls closed

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Overview

Not yet on file: a biography. Are you this person? Update your profile

Born
May 13, 1977 (age 49)
Education
Not on file
Occupation
Not on file
In Congress
1 House term, 2 Senate terms, since January 3, 2013

Facts above: congress-legislators (public domain, retrieved 2026-11-05).

The race

U.S. Senate, AR. Won with 54.3%, 11.9 points ahead over Hallie Shoffner.

  1. Tom Cotton Republican · winner54.3%
  2. Tom Cotton Republican · winner54.3%
  3. Hallie Shoffner Democratic42.4%
  4. Hallie Shoffner Democratic42.4%
  5. Jeff Wadlin Libertarian3.3%
  6. Jeff Wadlin L3.3%

Source: State results feed · retrieved 2026-11-12 · unofficial until certified

Polls and models against the result

Frozen call
Republican (R +14.0, from the Vugol Vector model)
Result
R +11.9
Difference
2.1 points

Source: Vugol.Me calls ledger, frozen before polls closed and never edited after. Margins are Republican minus Democrat.

Money

$14,517,576total raised (2026 cycle)
$15,784,601total spent (2026 cycle)
$5,129,928cash on hand (2026 cycle)

Source: Federal Election Commission · retrieved 2026-10-14 · as reported to the FEC; filings can be amended

Top donors and industries

Not yet on file here. The itemized filings are on the FEC candidate page and the industry totals on OpenSecrets.

Record

Committee assignments

  • Joint Economic Committee
  • Senate Committee on Armed Services
    4 subcommittees
    • Airland
    • Cybersecurity
    • Emerging Threats and Capabilities
    • Strategic Forces
  • Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources
    2 subcommittees
    • Energy
    • Public Lands, Forests, and Mining
  • Senate Select Committee on IntelligenceChairman

Source: congress-legislators (current committees) · retrieved 2026-11-05 · current Congress; the new committees are set after January 3, 2027

Bills and votes

Sponsored and cosponsored bills and every recorded vote are published by Congress. We link to them rather than copy them:

Bill and vote counts are not yet on file here.

Issues and positions

Not yet on file: issue positions (we publish only what a source states). Are you this person? Update your profile

Contact and links

Website
tomcotton.com official
Contact form
cotton.senate.gov
Office phone
202-224-2353
Washington office
326 Russell Senate Office Building Washington DC 20510

Sources: congress-legislators (official, public domain, retrieved 2026-11-05); Wikidata (CC0) for linked accounts; campaign-provided items are labeled.

Timeline

  1. 2026Called the winner of this race. Called by Wikipedia editors 10:47 PM ET
  2. 2020U.S. Senate, AR · General · won · 793,871 votes (66.5%) Vugol.Me record

Offices and dates: Wikidata (CC0). Elections: Vugol.Me candidacy record.

In the news

Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · News about this race

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