Governor · Wyoming · 2026
General election · 3 on the certified November ballot · Open seat (no incumbent)
Model rating Leans Republican (Anchored) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.
No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 3 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated
News attention 32/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 4 days ago. How it works
On the November ballot (3)
Certified by the state, checked 2026-09-30.
Official source: https://sos.wyo.gov/Elections/Docs/2026/2026_WY_General_Election_Candidates.csv
Latest verified field polling
Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.
No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.
Polling average
No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.
Results
Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.
Democratic primary
| Kenneth Casner won | 10,706 | 100.0% |
Republican primary
| Eric Barlow won | 58,820 | 45.1% |
| Megan Degenfelder | 38,739 | 29.7% |
| Brent Bien | 30,843 | 23.6% |
| Curt Blake | 2,161 | 1.7% |
Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-30 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0
Key dates
Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.
- 2026-08-18 — Primary election: U.S. House
- 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. Senate
Source: FEC election dates (public domain).
Primary and hypothetical polls (1)
Kept on file, never averaged into this race. Polls listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each linked to the pollster's own release.
- Republican primary · Pulse Decision Science (partisan) · 2026-07-18–2026-07-20 · n=400 · Eric Barlow (R) 42%, Megan Degenfelder 19%, Brent Bien 14% · release
Signals (experimental)
Attention 32 Vector R · Anchored
Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)
Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly
Vugol Me Vector (experimental)
Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: high
Daily precision telemetry
Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans
Sources
- Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
- Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
- Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
- Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 0c5e91a3a68e · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).
Band: R · Anchored (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.