U.S. House — VI-AL · VI · 2026
General election · 4 on file, ballot not yet verified · Incumbent running
Model rating Leans Democratic (Tilting) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.
No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 3 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated
News attention — — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. First run pending. How it works
Candidates on file — ballot not yet verified (4)
From FEC filings and public records. Filing with the FEC does not put someone on the ballot; we are checking each state’s certified candidate list and will mark who is on the November ballot.
Latest verified field polling
Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.
No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.
Polling average
No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.
Campaign money (FEC)
Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Through |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stacey Plaskett | $712,670 | $712,705 | $11,212 | 2026-06-30 |
| Delia Laverne Smith | $30,320 | $12,317 | $18,003 | 2026-06-30 |
| Janelle Karen Sarauw | $38,113 | $36,385 | $1,728 | 2026-07-15 |
| Nicole Teri Ann Helenese | $39,900 | $25,539 | $14,360 | 2026-07-12 |
Key dates
Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.
- 2026-08-01 — Primary election: U.S. House
- 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House
- 2026-11-17 — General runoff: U.S. House
Source: FEC election dates (public domain).
Signals (experimental)
Attention — Vector D · Tilting
Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)
Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly
Signals for this race are being collected. The first Attention score lands after the nightly run reaches it; nothing is estimated in the meantime.
Vugol Me Vector (experimental)
Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: low
Daily precision telemetry
Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans
Sources
- Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
- Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
- Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
- Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).
Band: D · Tilting (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.