Home / Races / Texas / Lieutenant Governor · See all Texas races
TX2026

Lieutenant Governor · Texas · 2026

General election · 4 on the certified November ballot · Incumbent running

VecR 13 · OpenTenR 67%Att61

Result

CalledFlip: R to D

Vikki Goodwin (D) won this race with 51.7% of the vote, 6.1 points ahead, defeating incumbent Dan Patrick.

  • Vikki GoodwinDemocraticWinner51.7%5,083,581 votes
  • Dan PatrickRepublicanIncumbent45.6%4,484,652 votes
  • Anthony CristoLibertarian1.7%170,444 votes
  • Kevin McCormickGreen0.9%88,033 votes
Margin
598,929 votes (6.1 points)
Reporting
100% of the count in
Called
Called by Wikipedia editors, Nov 4, 8:45 PM ET (revision)
Seat
Changed party: held by Dan Patrick (R)
Last updated
Nov 5, 1:39 AM ET

Unofficial until the state certifies the result.

Before the election

Polls, ratings and the Vugol Tensor below were published before votes were counted. They are not results.

Certified ballotLieutenant Governor · Texas
Vikki Goodwin
D
DEM
Dan Patrick
RIncumbent
REP
No verified poll yet · Vugol Vector: R Open

Model rating Leans Republican (Open) on the Vugol Vector model, a snapshot of today, not a probability.

No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 5 of 7, updated today. Page updated 2026-11-14. Sources · What is validated

ExperimentalNews attention 61/100, how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 2 days ago. How it works

On the Texas ballot, Nov 3, 2026 Election Day has passed; see the ballot as it was.Voting in Texas? Check your registration, get a mail ballot, find your polling place.

On the November ballot (4)

Certified by the state on 2026-08-28, checked 2026-11-13.

Lost the primary (5)

Lost the 2026 primary for this seat, so not on the November ballot. Kept on the record, not deleted.

Not on the certified ballot (2)

Filed or ran for this seat, but not on the state’s certified list for November.

Official source: https://www.sos.texas.gov/elections/forms/2026-ballot-cert.pdf

Latest verified field polling

Verified = published by the pollster that conducted it, with a public source we link to.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. The Vugol Vector call from our model is below, it is not a poll.

Polling average

no polls yet

No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.

Results

Vote counts from the state’s own results feed, read every minute while votes are counted. Counts change until the state certifies.

general election · state results feed, unofficial

Vikki Goodwin won5,083,58151.7%
Dan Patrick (incumbent)4,484,65245.6%
Anthony Cristo170,4441.7%
Kevin McCormick88,0330.9%

Vikki Goodwin leads by 598,929 votes. 100% of reporting units counted.

Source: the state's official results feed, retrieved 2026-11-05 · parser state-feed-1.0.0

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

  • 2026-03-03, Primary election: U.S. House
  • 2026-04-11, Convention: U.S. House, LIB
  • 2026-05-26, Runoff: U.S. Senate
  • 2026-11-03, General election: U.S. Senate

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

In the news

Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news

Lab

Vugol Vector & Vugol Attention

Vugol Attention 61 Vugol Vector R · Open

Vugol Me model signals, not polls. Verified polling is in the Polls section above.

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Vugol Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

attention-1.0.0
61OUT OF 100Moderate attention
Vugol Attention percentile95th
7-day momentum10 / 100
Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Vector

Proprietary ensemble model · a call, not a probability · model confidence: high

vector-1.1.0
Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean
AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored
Completeness5 of 7 inputs (national, prior, pres, incumbent, pulse) · missing: money, poll
Evidenceno audit release · fundamentals only
Freshnessoldest input 2026-11-12 (2 days ago)

The breakdown of this call (the model's multi-signal input matrix, input by input) is on Ultra Pro plans.

Vugol Tensor

How far this call can miss · a range, not a prediction · no verified poll here, so the range is wider and untested

tensor-1.0.0

Centre R+3.3. Four times in five the result lands between D+6.1 and R+12.7; nine in ten between D+8.8 and R+15.4. Chance the Democrat finishes ahead: 33%.

Polls have missed by about four points in a typical race and they miss together. How Tensor works →

Desk data: daily telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and the Vugol Vector breakdown · paid plans

Sources

Vugol Vector band: Toss-up. Have a say in the Vugol race poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.

The four Vugol signals, side by side

They answer different questions and are kept apart. Full method: Methodology.

Vugol Vector
Our call for every race if today’s polls hold. A snapshot, not a win probability or a vote share.
Vugol Tensor
How sure we are: ranges and chamber-control odds around the Vector, built from past polling error. An experiment about uncertainty, not a better guess.
Vugol Attention
How much news and online noise a race gets, 0 to 100. It measures noise, not support: a high score says nothing about who is ahead.
Vugol Pulse
Our daily thumbs-up or thumbs-down question for readers. Anyone can answer, so it describes our readers, not the public. It is not a vote and never enters a poll average or any other signal.