Home / Races / Texas / U.S. House — TX-35

TX2026

U.S. House — TX-35 · Texas · 2026

Name: U.S. House — TX-35, Texas — Vugol Me Attention & Vector
Creator: Vugol Me
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

General election · 2 on the certified November ballot · Open seat (no incumbent)

Community poll

Model rating Leans Democratic (Anchored) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

1 poll on file from pollsters we have not verified yet — shown below, not averaged. Model inputs: 3 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated

News attention 41/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 4 days ago. How it works

On the November ballot (2)

Certified by the state on 2026-08-28, checked 2026-09-30.

Carlos de la Cruz Jr.U.S. House — TX-35 · FEC H6TX35087RepublicanOn the ballotFEC raised$1.0M Johnny GarciaU.S. House — TX-35 · FEC H6TX35095DemocraticOn the ballotFEC raised$932K

Not on the certified ballot (10)

Filed or ran for this seat, but not on the state’s certified list for November.

Official source: https://www.sos.texas.gov/elections/forms/2026-ballot-cert.pdf

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no verified inputs yet

1 poll on file for this race, all from quarantined (U-tier) pollsters — visible below, not yet averaged.

Carlos De La Cruz (R)Johnny Garcia (D)● verified poll · ○ quarantined poll · ◎ live average

Campaign money (FEC)

Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Through
Carlos de la Cruz Jr. Republican	$1,048,751	$776,362	$272,389	2026-06-30
Jay Commander Furman Republican	$462,556	$466,883	$596	2026-06-30
John Lira Democratic	$144,967	$144,967	$0	2026-06-30
John Lujan Republican	$758,586	$729,524	$29,062	2026-06-30
Johnny Garcia Democratic	$931,699	$608,591	$323,108	2026-06-30
Joshua Cortez Republican	$265,463	$265,463	$0	2026-06-30
Maureen Galindo Democratic	$40,362	$28,626	$15,844	2026-06-30
Randal Haskel Adams Republican	$24,493	$24,493	$0	2026-07-08
Ryan P Krause Republican	$237,646	$237,646	$0	2026-06-30
Steven William Wright Republican	$25,375	$43,024	$0	2026-04-15
Vanessa F. Hicks-Callaway Republican	$6,394	$5,114	$-4,206	2026-04-15
Whitney Masterson-Moyes Democratic	$62,724	$61,368	$1,356	2026-06-30

Results

Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.

Democratic primary runoff

Johnny Garcia won	13,017	63.8%
Maureen Galindo	7,374	36.2%

Republican primary runoff

Carlos De La Cruz won	18,927	57.6%
John Lujan	13,925	42.4%

Democratic primary

Maureen Galindo advanced	16,009	29.2%
Johnny Garcia advanced	14,836	27.0%
Whitney Masterson-Moyes	12,825	23.4%
John Lira	11,186	20.4%

Republican primary

John Lujan advanced	15,530	33.0%
Carlos De La Cruz advanced	12,637	26.8%
Jay Furman	6,182	13.1%
Ryan Krause	3,986	8.5%
Josh Cortez	2,052	4.4%
Steven Wright	1,889	4.0%
Randy Adams	1,754	3.7%
Vanessa Hicks-Callaway	1,676	3.6%
Mark Eberwine	752	1.6%
Rod Lindsch	365	0.8%
Larry La Rose	306	0.6%

Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-29 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

2026-03-03 — Primary election: U.S. House
2026-04-11 — Convention: U.S. House — LIB
2026-05-26 — Runoff: U.S. House
2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Signals (experimental)

Attention 41 Vector D · Anchored

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0

41OUT OF 100Moderate attention

Attention percentile38th

7-day momentum39 / 100

Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0

Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean

AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored

Completeness3 of 7 inputs (national, prior, money) · missing: pres, incumbent, pulse, poll

Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only

Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-26 (4 days ago)

Vector component signals · estimated margin D +34.1Fundraising velocity (FEC)R +5.0Last result for this seat (2024 D +34.7, national swing D +10.5)D +45.2National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-30), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 e1cd74d7af41 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).

Band: D · Anchored (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.