U.S. House — SC-07 · South Carolina · 2026

Name: U.S. House — SC-07, South Carolina — Vugol Me Attention & Vector
Creator: Vugol Me
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

General election · 2 on the November ballot · Incumbent running

Community poll

Model rating Leans Republican (Held) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

1 poll on file from pollsters we have not verified yet — shown below, not averaged. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated

News attention 45/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 4 days ago. How it works

On the November ballot (2)

From reported primary results, checked 2026-09-30. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.

Russell FryU.S. House — SC-07 · FEC H2SC07280Republican IncumbentOn the ballotFEC raised$1.7M John Gregory VincentU.S. House — SC-07 · FEC H6SC07034DemocraticOn the ballotFEC raised$297K

Ballot source: https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_South_Carolina&oldid=1377417137

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no verified inputs yet

1 poll on file for this race, all from quarantined (U-tier) pollsters — visible below, not yet averaged.

Russell Fry (R)John Vincent (D)● verified poll · ○ quarantined poll · ◎ live average

Campaign money (FEC)

Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Through
Russell Fry Republican	$1,720,803	$1,243,169	$1,038,817	2026-06-30
John Gregory Vincent Democratic	$297,264	$234,885	$62,378	2026-06-30

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

2026-04-11 — Convention: U.S. House — LIB
2026-06-09 — Primary election: U.S. House
2026-06-23 — Runoff: U.S. House
2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Signals (experimental)

Attention 45 Vector R · Held

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0

45OUT OF 100Moderate attention

Attention percentile63th

7-day momentum25 / 100

Source breadth33% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0

Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean

AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored

Completeness4 of 7 inputs (national, prior, incumbent, money) · missing: pres, pulse, poll

Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only

Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-26 (4 days ago)

Vector component signals · estimated margin R +14.2Fundraising velocity (FEC)R +8.0Last result for this seat (2024 R +30.0, national swing D +10.5)R +19.5IncumbencyR +6.0National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-30), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 f4abcf4884b7 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).

Band: R · Held (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.