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OK2026

State Treasurer · Oklahoma · 2026

Name: State Treasurer, Oklahoma — Vugol Vector & Vugol Attention
Creator: Vugol Me
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

General election · 2 on file, ballot not yet verified · Open seat (no incumbent)

VecR 100 · AnchoredTenR >99%Att35

Vugol race poll

R · AnchoredVugol Vector model

Model rating Leans Republican (Anchored) on the Vugol Vector model — a snapshot of today, not a probability.

No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 2 of 7, updated yesterday. Sources · What is validated

ExperimentalNews attention 35/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 2 days ago. How it works

Voting in Oklahoma? Check your registration, get a mail ballot, find your polling place.

Candidates on file — ballot not yet verified (2)

From FEC filings and public records. Filing with the FEC does not put someone on the ballot; we are checking each state’s certified candidate list and will mark who is on the November ballot.

Cindy ByrdState Treasurer — OKRepublicanFEC raisednot on file Kiefer PerryState Treasurer — OKLibertarianFEC raisednot on file

Latest verified field polling

Verified = published by the pollster that conducted it, with a public source we link to.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. The Vugol Vector call from our model is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no polls yet

No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

2026-06-16 — Primary election: U.S. Senate
2026-08-25 — Runoff: U.S. Senate
2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. Senate

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Lab

Vugol Vector & Vugol Attention

Vugol Attention 35 Vugol Vector R · Anchored

Vugol Me model signals, not polls. Verified polling is in the Polls section above.

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Vugol Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

attention-1.0.0

35OUT OF 100Low attention

Vugol Attention percentile37th

7-day momentum22 / 100

Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Vector

Proprietary ensemble model · a call, not a probability · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0

Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean

AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored

Completeness2 of 7 inputs (national, pres) · missing: prior, incumbent, money, pulse, poll

Evidenceno audit release · fundamentals only

Freshnessoldest input 2026-10-18 (2 days ago)

The breakdown of this call (the model's multi-signal input matrix, input by input) is on Team plans.

Vugol Tensor

How far this call can miss · a range, not a prediction · no verified poll here, so the range is wider and untested

tensor-1.0.0

Centre R+26.3. Four times in five the result lands between R+16.9 and R+35.7; nine in ten between R+14.2 and R+38.3. Chance the Democrat finishes ahead: <1%.

Polls have missed by about four points in a typical race and they miss together. How Tensor works →

Desk data: daily telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and the Vugol Vector breakdown · paid plans

Sources

Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
Vugol Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
Models attention-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 04e6046d7f93 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).

Vugol Vector band: R · Anchored. Have a say in the Vugol race poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.

The four Vugol signals, side by side

They answer different questions and are kept apart. Full method: Methodology.

Vugol Vector: Our call for every race as if the vote were held today. A snapshot, not a win probability or a vote share.
Vugol Tensor: How sure we are: ranges and chamber-control odds around the Vector, built from past polling error. An experiment about uncertainty, not a better guess.
Vugol Attention: How much news and online noise a race gets, 0 to 100. It measures noise, not support: a high score says nothing about who is ahead.
Vugol Pulse: Our daily thumbs-up or thumbs-down question for readers. Anyone can answer, so it describes our readers, not the public. It is not a vote and never enters a poll average or any other signal.

Sources

Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).

Vugol Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).

Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.

Models attention-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 04e6046d7f93 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).

Vugol Vector band: R · Anchored. Have a say in the Vugol race poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.

The four Vugol signals, side by side

They answer different questions and are kept apart. Full method: Methodology.

Vugol Vector

Our call for every race as if the vote were held today. A snapshot, not a win probability or a vote share.

Vugol Tensor

How sure we are: ranges and chamber-control odds around the Vector, built from past polling error. An experiment about uncertainty, not a better guess.

Vugol Attention

How much news and online noise a race gets, 0 to 100. It measures noise, not support: a high score says nothing about who is ahead.

Vugol Pulse

Our daily thumbs-up or thumbs-down question for readers. Anyone can answer, so it describes our readers, not the public. It is not a vote and never enters a poll average or any other signal.