Home / Races / Missouri / U.S. House — MO-05

MO2026

U.S. House — MO-05 · Missouri · 2026

Name: U.S. House — MO-05, Missouri — Vugol Me Attention & Vector
Creator: Vugol Me
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

General election · 2 on the November ballot · Incumbent running

Community poll

Model rating Leans Democratic (Anchored) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated yesterday. Sources · What is validated

News attention 15/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 11 days ago. How it works

On the November ballot (2)

From reported primary results, checked 2026-09-29. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.

Emanuel Cleaver IIU.S. House — MO-05 · FEC H4MO05234Democratic IncumbentOn the ballotFEC raised$1.3M Richard BrattinU.S. House — MO-05 · FEC H2MO04199RepublicanOn the ballotFEC raised$332K

Ran in the primary (3)

Lost a primary or runoff for this seat — not on the November ballot.

Bradley M PattyU.S. House — MO-05 · FEC H6MO05304RepublicanLost primaryFEC raised$8K Brett HueffmeierU.S. House — MO-05 · FEC H6MO05270RepublicanLost primaryFEC raised$325K Taylor BurksU.S. House — MO-05 · FEC H6MO05312RepublicanLost primaryFEC raised$1.2M

Other filers (1)

Registered with the FEC or listed in public records, but not on the November ballot as far as the results show.

Sean SmithU.S. House — MO-05 · FEC H4MO05366RepublicanNot on the November ballotFEC raised$234K

Ballot source: https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Missouri&oldid=1377270142

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no polls yet

No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.

Campaign money (FEC)

Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Through
Emanuel Cleaver II Democratic	$1,336,738	$1,083,483	$1,142,882	2026-07-15
Bradley M Patty Republican	$7,774	$6,052	$1,721	2026-07-15
Brett Hueffmeier Republican	$324,718	$324,226	$492	2026-07-15
Richard Brattin Republican	$331,764	$109,254	$222,510	2026-07-15
Sean Smith Republican	$234,435	$228,771	$7,659	2026-06-30
Taylor Burks Republican	$1,154,910	$436,279	$718,631	2026-07-15

Results

Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.

Democratic primary

Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) won	55,237	100.0%

Libertarian primary

Randall "Randy" Langkraehr won	903	100.0%

Republican primary

Rick Brattin won	34,885	45.0%
Taylor Burks	20,455	26.4%
Brad Patty	8,055	10.4%
Brett Hueffmeier	7,686	9.9%
Micah Beebe	4,880	6.3%
Berton A. Knox	1,610	2.1%

Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-29 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

2026-08-04 — Primary election: U.S. House
2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

In the news

Supreme Court again blocks Missouri's new House map that favored GOPCBS News · Sep 25
Supreme Court again rejects Missouri effort to use GOP-friendly mapRoll Call · Sep 25
Supreme Court rejects Republicans’ Missouri redistricting push for third timeNBC News · Sep 25
Trump-backed Missouri congressional map returns to the Supreme Court againABC News · Sep 23

Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news

Signals (experimental)

Attention 15 Vector D · Anchored

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0

15OUT OF 100Low attention

Attention percentile0th

7-day momentum50 / 100

Source breadth0% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0

Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean

AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored

Completeness4 of 7 inputs (national, prior, incumbent, money) · missing: pres, pulse, poll

Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only

Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-19 (11 days ago)

Vector component signals · estimated margin D +21.6Fundraising velocity (FEC)R +2.5Last result for this seat (2024 D +24.6, national swing D +10.5)D +35.1IncumbencyD +6.0National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-29), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 b429ec36ae7b · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).

Band: D · Anchored (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.