Home / Races / Maryland / U.S. House — MD-06
MD2026

U.S. House — MD-06 · Maryland · 2026

General election · 3 on the certified November ballot · Incumbent running

Model rating Leans Democratic (Tilting) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 5 of 7, updated yesterday. Sources · What is validated

News attention 59/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 4 days ago. How it works

On the November ballot (2)

Certified by the state, checked 2026-09-29.

Not on the certified ballot (7)

Filed or ran for this seat, but not on the state’s certified list for November.

Official source: https://elections.maryland.gov/elections/2026/general_candidates/2026_GG_statewide_candidatelist.csv

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no polls yet

No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.

Campaign money (FEC)

Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on handThrough
April McClain Delaney Democratic$12,308,220$12,013,488$307,6112026-06-30
Alexis Goldstein Democratic$51,864$29,400$2,1282026-06-30
Christopher Michael Burnett Republican$102,142$94,187$1,0842026-06-30
David Trone Democratic$26,207,404$24,745,121$1,466,1242026-06-30
Ethan P Wechtaluk Democratic$15,247$15,118$1292026-06-30
George Gluck Democratic$102,176$102,052$2242026-06-10
Mariela Roca Republican$26,926$26,400$5262026-06-30
Neil Conrad Parrott Republican$10,036$14,068$4702026-06-30
Robin Ficker Republican$403,934$403,533$4012026-06-30

Results

Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.

Democratic primary

April McClain Delaney (incumbent) won27,81944.0%
David Trone23,38337.0%
Alexis Goldstein6,2019.8%
Ethan Wechtaluk3,4695.5%
George Gluck9331.5%
Kiambo "Bo" White6701.1%
A. Mark Wilks5560.9%
Daniel Krakower (withdrawn)1870.3%

Republican primary

Robin Ficker won16,28441.8%
Chris Burnett14,56237.4%
Mariela Roca8,11520.8%

Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-29 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

  • 2026-06-23 — Primary election: U.S. House
  • 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Primary and hypothetical polls (9)

Kept on file, never averaged into this race. Polls listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each linked to the pollster's own release.

  • Democratic primary · Global Strategy Group (partisan) · 2026-06-08–2026-06-11 · n=500 · David Trone (D) 43%, April McClain Delaney (D) 40% · release
  • Democratic primary · Hart Research (partisan) · 2026-06-02–2026-06-04 · n=500 · April McClain Delaney (D) 52%, David Trone (D) 37% · release
  • Democratic primary · Impact Research (partisan) · 2026-05-26–2026-05-28 · n=500 · David Trone (D) 45%, April McClain Delaney (D) 43% · release
  • Democratic primary · Hart Research (partisan) · 2026-05-16–2026-05-18 · n=500 · April McClain Delaney (D) 49%, David Trone (D) 34% · release
  • Democratic primary · Impact Research (partisan) · 2026-05-11–2026-05-14 · n=500 · David Trone (D) 43%, April McClain Delaney (D) 41% · release
  • Democratic primary · Hart Research (partisan) · 2026-04-11–2026-04-14 · n=564 · April McClain Delaney (D) 49%, David Trone (D) 38% · release
  • Democratic primary · The Public Sentiment Institute · 2026-04-08–2026-04-11 · n=154 · David Trone (D) 51%, April McClain Delaney (D) 30% · release
  • Democratic primary · Hart Research (partisan) · 2026-03-16–2026-03-21 · n=500 · April McClain Delaney (D) 49%, David Trone (D) 37% · release
  • Democratic primary · Hart Research (partisan) · 2025-12-09–2025-12-16 · n=600 · April McClain Delaney (D) 50%, David Trone (D) 33% · release

Signals (experimental)

Attention 59 Vector D · Tilting

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0
59OUT OF 100Moderate attention
Attention percentile98th
7-day momentum1 / 100
Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0
Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean
AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored
Completeness5 of 7 inputs (national, prior, incumbent, money, pulse) · missing: pres, poll
Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only
Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-26 (4 days ago)
Vector component signals · estimated margin D +11.1Fundraising velocity (FEC)D +8.0Last result for this seat (2024 D +6.3, national swing D +10.5)D +16.8Attention shareD +1.8IncumbencyD +6.0National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-29), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Band: D · Tilting (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.