U.S. House — FL-18 · Florida · 2026

Name: U.S. House — FL-18, Florida — Vugol Me Attention & Vector
Creator: Vugol Me
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

General election · 3 on file, ballot not yet verified · Incumbent running

Community poll

Model rating Leans Republican (Held) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated

News attention 32/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated yesterday. How it works

Candidates on file — ballot not yet verified (3)

From FEC filings and public records. Filing with the FEC does not put someone on the ballot; we are checking each state’s certified candidate list and will mark who is on the November ballot.

Scott FranklinU.S. House — FL-18 · FEC H0FL15104Republican IncumbentFEC raised$850K Curtis GibsonU.S. House — FL-18 · FEC H6FL18212DemocraticFEC raised$12K Deva SimmonsU.S. House — FL-18 · FEC H6FL18204No Party AffiliationFEC raised$22K

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no polls yet

No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.

Campaign money (FEC)

Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.

Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Through
Scott Franklin Republican	$850,000	$371,131	$960,764	2026-07-29
Curtis Gibson Democratic	$12,208	$10,756	$1,452	2026-06-30
Deva Simmons No Party Affiliation	$21,932	$16,168	$5,764	2026-06-30

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

2026-08-18 — Primary election: U.S. House
2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Signals (experimental)

Attention 32 Vector R · Held

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0

32OUT OF 100Low attention

Attention percentile23th

7-day momentum34 / 100

Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0

Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean

AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored

Completeness4 of 7 inputs (national, prior, incumbent, money) · missing: pres, pulse, poll

Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only

Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-29 (yesterday)

Vector component signals · estimated margin R +14.6Fundraising velocity (FEC)R +8.0Last result for this seat (2024 R +30.6, national swing D +10.5)R +20.1IncumbencyR +6.0National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-30), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 557250754da3 · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).

Band: R · Held (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.