U.S. House — CA-42 · California · 2026
General election · 2 on the certified November ballot · Incumbent running
Model rating Leans Democratic (Anchored) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.
No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated
News attention 31/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated yesterday. How it works
On the November ballot (2)
Certified by the state on 2026-08-27, checked 2026-09-30.
Not on the certified ballot (2)
Filed or ran for this seat, but not on the state’s certified list for November.
Official source: https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/statewide-elections/2026-general/cert-list-candidates.pdf
Latest verified field polling
Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.
No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.
Polling average
No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.
Campaign money (FEC)
Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Through |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Garcia | $2,615,120 | $1,646,081 | $1,381,467 | 2026-06-30 |
| Brian J Burley | $231,371 | $231,639 | $5,509 | 2026-06-30 |
| Larisa Vermeulen | $0 | $10,959 | $-10,959 | 2026-03-31 |
| Noah Blom | $162,638 | $162,638 | $0 | 2026-09-02 |
Key dates
Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.
- 2026-06-02 — Primary election: U.S. House
- 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House
Source: FEC election dates (public domain).
In the news
- Read full episode transcripts of "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" from 2026
- House Dems plan oversight of Trump administration; impeachment an option
Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news
Signals (experimental)
Attention 31 Vector D · Anchored
Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)
Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly
Vugol Me Vector (experimental)
Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium
Daily precision telemetry
Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans
Sources
- Roster — official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
- Attention inputs — Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
- Polls and results — individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
- Models pulse-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 f3faa242ba0d · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).
Band: D · Anchored (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.