Governor · Arkansas · 2026
General election · 3 on the November ballot · Incumbent running
Result
CalledSarah Huckabee Sanders (R) won this race with 53.8% of the vote, 15.2 points ahead.
- Sarah Huckabee SandersRepublicanWinner53.8%477,842 votes
- Fred LoveDemocratic38.6%342,628 votes
- Colt ShelbyLibertarian7.5%67,003 votes
- Margin
- 135,214 votes (15.2 points)
- Called
- First seen here, Nov 4, 12:06 AM ET
- Last updated
- Nov 14, 9:03 AM ET
- Source
- Wikipedia · official results page
Called it: hit Our locked call before polls closed was R; the winner is R. See every locked call
Unofficial until the state certifies the result.
Before the election
Polls, ratings and the Vugol Tensor below were published before votes were counted. They are not results.
Model rating Leans Republican (Held) on the Vugol Vector model, a snapshot of today, not a probability.
2 polls on file, none verified yet (pollster not verified or no public source), shown below, not averaged. Model inputs: 5 of 7, updated yesterday. Page updated 2026-11-15. Sources · What is validated
ExperimentalNews attention 59/100, how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated 15 days ago. How it works
On the November ballot (3)
From reported primary results, checked 2026-11-14. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.
Latest verified field polling
Verified = published by the pollster that conducted it, with a public source we link to.
No verified poll has been published for this race. The Vugol Vector call from our model is below, it is not a poll.
Polling average
2 polls on file for this race, none verified yet (pollster not verified or no public source), visible below, not averaged.
Results
Vote counts from the state’s own results feed, read every minute while votes are counted. Counts change until the state certifies.
general election · state results feed, unofficial
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders won | 477,842 | 53.8% |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders won | 477,304 | 53.9% |
| Fred Love | 342,628 | 38.6% |
| Fredrick Love | 341,842 | 38.6% |
| Colt Shelby | 67,003 | 7.5% |
| Colt Shelby | 66,913 | 7.5% |
Sarah Huckabee Sanders leads by 135,214 votes. 100% of reporting units counted.
Democratic primary · official results
| Fredrick Love won | 104,725 | 81.0% |
| Supha Xayprasith-Mays | 24,520 | 19.0% |
Source: the state's official results feed, retrieved 2026-11-14 · parser state-feed-1.0.0+all-reporting/unassailable-1.0.0
Key dates
Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.
- 2026-03-03, Primary election: U.S. Senate
- 2026-03-31, Runoff: U.S. House
- 2026-11-03, General election: U.S. House
Source: FEC election dates (public domain).
In the news
- Arkansas Gov. Sanders offers GOP a playbook after party’s midterm rout
- Conservative backlash after campaign ad shows lazy welfare recipient as White
- Trump closing in on new press secretary as administration officials push for pick who could break the mold
- Campaign ad in Arkansa sparks conservative backlash for portraying lazy Medicaid recipient as white
- Trump signals surprising approach to choosing his successor as GOP's 2028 field grows
- Israel amb torches Mamdani Oct 7 post: 'Like turning September 11 into a day of mourning for al-Qaeda'
- Lawmaker’s stunned face and other viral moments cap rough week for political class
- 'Insulting': Ex-Trump official's 'dishonest' campaign ad triggers conservative revolt
Headlines from outlets across the political spectrum, linked to the publisher. Vugol.me doesn’t write or endorse them. How we choose them · All election news
LabVugol Vector & Vugol Attention
Vugol Attention 59 Vugol Vector R · Held
Vugol Me model signals, not polls. Verified polling is in the Polls section above.
Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)
Vugol Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly
Vugol Vector
Proprietary ensemble model · a call, not a probability · model confidence: high
The breakdown of this call (the model's multi-signal input matrix, input by input) is on Ultra Pro plans.
Vugol Tensor
How far this call can miss · a range, not a prediction · no verified poll here, so the range is wider and untested
Centre R+15.4. Four times in five the result lands between R+6.0 and R+24.9; nine in ten between R+3.4 and R+27.5. Chance the Democrat finishes ahead: 2%.
Polls have missed by about four points in a typical race and they miss together. How Tensor works →
Desk data: daily telemetry
Per-source daily series, CSV export and the Vugol Vector breakdown · paid plans
Sources
- Roster, official filings; fundraising from FEC datapoints where on file (https://api.open.fec.gov/).
- Vugol Attention inputs, Wikipedia pageviews (https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) and GDELT news volume and tone (https://www.gdeltproject.org/).
- Polls and results, individual polls and primary results listed on the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), each poll linked to the pollster's release; money and election dates from the FEC (public domain). How rows are checked.
- Models attention-1.0.0 · vector-1.1.0 · attention inputs SHA-256 2b37248b43ea · methodology · license CC BY 4.0 (data license).
Vugol Vector band: R · Held. Have a say in the Vugol race poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.
The four Vugol signals, side by side
They answer different questions and are kept apart. Full method: Methodology.
- Vugol Vector
- Our call for every race if today’s polls hold. A snapshot, not a win probability or a vote share.
- Vugol Tensor
- How sure we are: ranges and chamber-control odds around the Vector, built from past polling error. An experiment about uncertainty, not a better guess.
- Vugol Attention
- How much news and online noise a race gets, 0 to 100. It measures noise, not support: a high score says nothing about who is ahead.
- Vugol Pulse
- Our daily thumbs-up or thumbs-down question for readers. Anyone can answer, so it describes our readers, not the public. It is not a vote and never enters a poll average or any other signal.