Home / Races / Alabama / U.S. House — AL-05
AL2026

U.S. House — AL-05 · Alabama · 2026

General election · 2 on the November ballot · Incumbent running

Model rating Leans Republican (Anchored) on our experimental model — not a poll or a forecast.

No polls on file for this race. Model inputs: 4 of 7, updated today. Sources · What is validated

News attention 36/100 — how much coverage the race gets, not who is winning. Updated yesterday. How it works

On the November ballot (2)

From reported primary results, checked 2026-09-30. Each state certifies its own ballot; see the source below.

Ran in the primary (2)

Lost a primary or runoff for this seat — not on the November ballot.

Ballot source: https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Alabama&oldid=1375991514

Latest verified field polling

Only checksummed releases from verified (Tier V) pollsters appear here.

none yet

No verified poll has been published for this race. Vector, our experimental model rating, is below — it is not a poll.

Polling average

no polls yet

No polls on file for this race yet. See latest polls across every race.

Campaign money (FEC)

Candidate committee totals for the cycle from the Federal Election Commission (public domain), as of each committee's latest report.

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on handThrough
Dale Whitney Strong Republican$1,477,819$682,462$1,424,3342026-06-30
Andrew Rankin Guyton Sneed Democratic$646,512$476,792$169,7202026-06-30
Candice Duvieilh Democratic$38,333$35,668$2,6652026-06-29
Jeremy Devito Democratic$32,286$22,415$4,1392026-03-31

Results

Vote counts as reported by the state; transcribed from the Wikipedia election article (CC BY-SA 4.0), which cites the state's official results.

Democratic primary runoff

Andrew Sneed won16,68878.4%
Candace Dollar Duvieilh4,60721.6%

Democratic primary

Andrew Sneed advanced19,30142.0%
Candace Dollar Duvieilh advanced16,38835.7%
Jeremy Devito10,26522.3%

Source: Wikipedia article revision (CC BY-SA 4.0), retrieved 2026-09-30 · parser wiki-race-1.0.0

Key dates

Official federal election dates for this state from the FEC. Registration deadlines and early voting: see the state election office.

  • 2026-05-19 — Primary election: U.S. House (District 5)
  • 2026-06-16 — Primary runoff: U.S. House (District 5)
  • 2026-06-16 — Runoff: U.S. House
  • 2026-11-03 — General election: U.S. House

Source: FEC election dates (public domain).

Signals (experimental)

Attention 36 Vector R · Anchored

Vugol Me Attention (attention intensity)

Attention intensity index 0–100 · not a poll · normalized nightly

pulse-1.0.0
36OUT OF 100Low attention
Attention percentile28th
7-day momentum39 / 100
Source breadth50% of tracked

Vugol Me Vector (experimental)

Directional rating without probability · experimental · model confidence: medium

vector-1.1.0
Democratic leanOpen centerRepublican lean
AnchoredHeldTiltingOpenTiltingHeldAnchored
Completeness4 of 7 inputs (national, prior, incumbent, money) · missing: pres, pulse, poll
Evidenceno verified poll · fundamentals only
Freshnessoldest input 2026-09-29 (yesterday)
Vector component signals · estimated margin R +54.4Fundraising velocity (FEC)R +4.1Last result for this seat (2024 R +100.0, national swing D +10.5)R +89.5IncumbencyR +6.0National environment: our generic-ballot average is D +7.9 (27 pollsters, as of 2026-09-30), against the 2024 national House vote of R +2.6. The seat's last result and presidential lean move by that swing; polls, incumbency and money do not. How.

Daily precision telemetry

Per-source daily series, CSV export and Vector inputs · paid plans

Sources

Band: R · Anchored (experimental). Have a say in the community poll; it is open to signed-in voters and never feeds these numbers.