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Daily digest: if the election were held today

Every morning: who would control the Senate, House and governorships, what moved since yesterday, new verified polls and your state. Free.

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Legal, methodology & about
MethodologyVugol TensorIf it comes trueFeedbackEditorial processCorrectionsData licensePollstersCandidatesVerified PollsEarly voteEconomy since 2024If held todayApproval trackerGeneric ballotIssue pollsVugol PulseRace PollsPricingData & APIFree embedsBroadcast kitNewsroom: stories and graphicsDaily digestInstall the appAboutCareersInvestorsPress & media kitPrivacy policyTerms of useContact

Candidates, verified polls and race ratings, each number with its source. Published aggregates are reproducible from a versioned model and a stored input snapshot; community responses never enter them. No sponsorships, no paid ratings, no advertising.

Vugol Attention, the Vugol Vector and the Vugol Tensor are Vugol Me signals, not polls. Vugol Pulse is our own daily question and stays out of every average.

Candidates, verified polls and race ratings, each number with its source. Published aggregates are reproducible from a versioned model and a stored input snapshot; community responses never enter them. No sponsorships, no paid ratings, no advertising.Vugol Attention, the Vugol Vector and the Vugol Tensor are Vugol Me signals, not polls. Vugol Pulse is our own daily question and stays out of every average.
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Data

Poll database and downloads

Every poll in our feed, one row per candidate, with the pollster, dates, sample, margin of error, question wording and source. Filter, then download exactly what you see, or take the whole dataset. Free to use with credit; see the data and licensing page.

2,209 polls (verified), newest first

Download CSVJSON

Field endPollsterRaceSampleTop results (%)Status
2025-02-17Emerson Collegeissue:foreign-policy:expanding-u-s-territory-annexing-canada (foreign-policy)1,000 registered voters · ±3.1Oppose 55 · In favor 26 · Unsure/Other 19Verified
2025-02-17Emerson Collegeissue:foreign-policy:expanding-u-s-territory-annexing-the-gaza-strip (foreign-policy)1,000 registered voters · ±3.1Oppose 58 · Unsure/Other 24 · In favor 18Verified
2025-02-17CNN/SSRSnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,206 adults · ±2.8Disapprove 52 · Approve 47Verified
2025-02-17Emerson Collegeissue:economy:ending-production-of-the-u-s-penny (economy)1,000 registered voters · ±3.1In favor 46 · Oppose 29 · Unsure/Other 25Verified
2025-02-16SurveyUSAnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)2,000 adults · ±2.2Approve 51 · Disapprove 45Verified
2025-02-16SurveyUSAnational:approval:supreme-court (approval)2,000 adults · ±2.2Approve 46 · Disapprove 40Verified
2025-02-16SurveyUSAnational:approval:elon-musk (approval)2,000 adults · ±2.2Disapprove 49 · Approve 42 · Unsure/Other 9Verified
2025-02-16Morning Consultnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)2,217 registered voters · ±2.1Unfavorable 43 · Favorable 42Verified
2025-02-16Morning Consultnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)2,217 registered voters · ±2.1Approve 50 · Disapprove 47Verified
2025-02-11YouGovissue:foreign-policy:ending-humanitarian-aid-to-foreign-countries (foreign-policy)1,422 registered voters · ±2.6Oppose 54 · In favor 36 · Unsure/Other 9Verified
2025-02-11YouGovissue:government:abolishing-the-occupational-safety-and-health-administration (government)1,420 registered voters · ±2.6Oppose 70 · In favor 18 · Unsure/Other 12Verified
2025-02-11YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,595 adults · ±2.5Disapprove 48 · Approve 46Verified
2025-02-11YouGovissue:government:abolishing-the-department-of-education (government)1,430 registered voters · ±2.6Oppose 58 · In favor 33 · Unsure/Other 9Verified
2025-02-11YouGovnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)1,430 registered voters · ±2.6Unfavorable 50 · Favorable 44Verified
2025-02-11YouGovissue:immigration:deporting-u-s-citizens-convicted-of-crimes-to-foreign-prison (immigration)1,420 registered voters · ±2.6Oppose 55 · In favor 36 · Unsure/Other 9Verified
2025-02-11Emerson CollegeCalifornia Governor (primary)469 registered voters · ±4.5Kamala Harris 57 · Katie Porter 9 · Eleni Kounalakis 4Verified
2025-02-11YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,000 adults · ±3.1Approve 45 · Disapprove 41Verified
2025-02-11YouGovissue:social-issues:banning-trans-athletes-from-womens-sports (social-issues)1,418 registered voters · ±2.6In favor 65 · Oppose 27 · Unsure/Other 8Verified
2025-02-11YouGovnational:approval:supreme-court (approval)1,595 adults · ±2.5Disapprove 45 · Approve 38Verified
2025-02-11YouGovnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)1,595 adults · ±2.5Unfavorable 47 · Favorable 41Verified
2025-02-11YouGovnational:approval:tulsi-gabbard (approval)1,595 registered voters · ±2.5Unsure/Other 36 · Disapprove 33 · Approve 31Verified
2025-02-11YouGovnational:approval:congress (approval)1,430 registered voters · ±2.6Disapprove 55 · Approve 23Verified
2025-02-11YouGovnational:approval:supreme-court (approval)1,430 registered voters · ±2.6Disapprove 49 · Approve 41Verified
2025-02-11YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,430 registered voters · ±2.6Disapprove 49 · Approve 47Verified
2025-02-09Morning Consultnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)2,230 registered voters · ±2.1Unfavorable 43 · Favorable 43Verified
2025-02-09Morning Consultnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)19,675 registered voters · ±0.7Republican 45 · Democratic 43Verified
2025-02-09Morning Consultnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)2,230 registered voters · ±2.1Approve 50 · Disapprove 48Verified
2025-02-07YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)2,175 adults · ±2.1Approve 53 · Disapprove 47Verified
2025-02-05Marquette University Law Schoolnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)1,063 adults · ±3Unfavorable 45 · Favorable 39Verified
2025-02-05Marquette University Law Schoolnational:approval:supreme-court (approval)1,063 adults · ±3Approve 51 · Disapprove 49Verified
2025-02-05Marquette Universitynational:approval:trumps-cabinet (approval)1,063 adults · ±3Disapprove 52 · Approve 47Verified
2025-02-05Marquette University Law Schoolnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,063 adults · ±3Disapprove 52 · Approve 48Verified
2025-02-04YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,423 registered voters · ±2.6Approve 48 · Disapprove 47Verified
2025-02-04YouGovnational:approval:supreme-court (approval)1,604 adults · ±2.4Disapprove 41 · Approve 40Verified
2025-02-04YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,604 adults · ±2.4Approve 46 · Disapprove 44Verified
2025-02-04YouGovnational:approval:congress (approval)1,423 registered voters · ±2.6Disapprove 50 · Approve 24Verified
2025-02-04YouGovnational:approval:supreme-court (approval)1,423 registered voters · ±2.6Disapprove 45 · Approve 43Verified
2025-02-04YouGovissue:social-issues:renaming-the-gulf-of-mexico-to-the-gulf-of-america (social-issues)1,414 registered voters · ±2.6Oppose 54 · In favor 31 · Unsure/Other 14Verified
2025-02-04YouGovnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)1,423 registered voters · ±2.6Unfavorable 50 · Favorable 44Verified
2025-02-04YouGovissue:economy:25-tariffs-on-mexico-and-canada (economy)1,414 registered voters · ±2.6Oppose 52 · In favor 35 · Unsure/Other 13Verified
2025-02-04YouGovnational:approval:tulsi-gabbard (approval)1,604 registered voters · ±2.4Unsure/Other 42 · Disapprove 30 · Approve 28Verified
2025-02-04YouGovnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)1,604 adults · ±2.4Unfavorable 47 · Favorable 40Verified
2025-02-04YouGovnational:approval:congress (approval)1,604 adults · ±2.4Disapprove 45 · Approve 23Verified
2025-02-03Morning Consultnational:favorability:jd-vance (favorability)2,303 registered voters · ±2Unfavorable 43 · Favorable 42Verified
2025-02-03Morning Consultnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)2,303 registered voters · ±2Approve 49 · Disapprove 47Verified
2025-02-02Morning Consultnational:generic-ballot (generic-ballot)19,675 registered voters · ±0.7Republican 44 · Democratic 43Verified
2025-01-28Emerson Collegenational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,000 registered voters · ±3.1Approve 48.5 · Disapprove 41.2Verified
2025-01-28YouGovnational:approval:donald-trump (approval)1,376 registered voters · ±2.6Approve 50 · Disapprove 46Verified
2025-01-28YouGovnational:approval:elon-musk (approval)1,373 registered voters · ±2.6Disapprove 50 · Approve 45 · Unsure/Other 4Verified
2025-01-28YouGovnational:approval:supreme-court (approval)1,577 adults · ±2.5Disapprove 42 · Approve 39Verified
NewerPage 43 of 45Older

The table shows a window of the newest polls. For the complete history, use the full downloads below.

Full downloads

  • All verified polls, CSV every poll in our averages, one row per candidate
  • All polls, CSV adds polls from unverified pollsters, flagged in the verified column
  • All verified polls, JSON
  • Race poll averages, CSV leader, margin and number of verified polls for each race
  • Race poll averages, JSON

Licence: CC BY 4.0: credit "Vugol.Me" and link to https://vugol.me. Files refresh every 15 minutes. Limits: 30 requests a minute per IP on the filtered API, 6 a minute on the full files. Need more, or a feed with support? Contact us.

Use it in code

# curl
curl -L "https://vugol.me/api/public/polls?state=GA&verified=1&format=csv" -o ga-polls.csv

# Python
import pandas as pd
polls = pd.read_csv("https://vugol.me/api/public/polls/all?format=csv&verified=1")
polls[polls.race_key == "US-NC"].groupby("candidate_name").value_pct.mean()

# R
polls <- read.csv("https://vugol.me/api/public/polls/all?format=csv&verified=1")

Parameters for /api/public/polls: office, state, pollster, contestKey, verified=1, from and to (YYYY-MM-DD), page, limit (up to 500), format (json or csv).

Data dictionary

Polls (one row per candidate per poll)

ColumnMeaning
study_idOur id for the poll; the same on every candidate row of one poll.
race_keyRace the poll is about: US-NC (Senate), US-GA-GOV (governor), US-NY-17 (House).
contest_keyFull contest: the race key, plus a suffix for primaries (US-GA:primary-R) and hypothetical match-ups (US-GA:hyp). Only the plain race key is averaged.
race_urlThe race page on Vugol.Me.
pollster_nameWho ran the poll, as the pollster is named on our pollster list.
pollster_tierV = verified pollster (identity, methodologist, methodology, sponsor on file), U = not yet verified.
verifiedtrue when the poll counts in our averages: verified pollster and a public source. Everything else is listed but never averaged.
sponsor_nameWho paid for the poll, when disclosed.
partisan_sponsortrue when the sponsor is a party, campaign or partisan group.
field_startFirst day of interviews (YYYY-MM-DD).
field_endLast day of interviews (YYYY-MM-DD); polls are listed newest first by this.
populationWho was sampled: likely_voters, registered_voters, voters or adults.
sample_sizeNumber of respondents.
moe_pctMargin of error in points at 95% confidence, worst case, computed from the sample size (98 divided by the square root of the sample).
question_wordingThe question as asked.
candidate_labelThe answer as printed by the pollster.
candidate_name

Race averages

ColumnMeaning
race_keyRace: US-NC, US-GA-GOV, US-NY-17.
leaderWho leads the verified-poll average: D, R or tie.
margin_r_minus_dRepublican share minus Democratic share of the average, in points. Negative means the Democrat leads.
bandAnchored, Held, Tilting or Open: how big the lead is (the Vector vocabulary).
verified_poll_countVerified polls in the average.
race_urlThe race page, with the polls behind the number.

Only polls from verified pollsters with a public source are averaged. Reader polls on this site (Vugol Pulse, race polls) are never in these files. See the methodology.

Candidate name when the answer matches a profile on Vugol.Me.
candidate_partyD, R, I, or another party as written, when known.
candidate_canonical_keyStable key for the candidate across polls.
vugol_person_idProfile id: https://vugol.me/candidates/<id>.
value_pctShare of respondents choosing this answer, in percent.
other_pctPoll-level "other" share as printed (blank if not printed).
undecided_pctPoll-level "undecided" share as printed (blank if not printed).
source_urlPublic source of the poll (the pollster release or report).
methodology_urlThe pollster methodology statement.