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The 2026 Race Index & Ratings Board

Every Senate, House and Governor race, scored two ways: Attention — how loud a race is right now across news, Wikipedia and Bluesky — and Vector — which way it leans and how firmly. Neither is a poll or a forecast. How they work →

579 races tracked575 with a lean rating0 with a verified pollUpdated 2026-09-30 UTC
The ratings board

Every race in Arkansas, from safe Democratic to safe Republican

D Anchored0

    None

    D Held0

      None

      D Tilting0

        None

        Toss-up0

          None

          R Tilting1
          1. AR-02Attention 45
          R Held2
          1. AR SenateAttention 61
          2. AR-03—
          R Anchored5
          1. AR GovernorAttention 47
          2. AR-04Attention 35
          3. AR-01—
          4. AR Attorney General—
          5. AR Secretary of State—

          Each race sits in its column by the polling average where one exists, Vugol Vector otherwise; loudest first. Click a column head to list just those races below.

          Loudest first

          Contested races & battlegrounds

          8 of 8
          D · Anchored174D · Held69D · Tilting41Toss-up56R · Tilting69R · Held69R · Anchored97Unrated4✓ Verified poll on fileClear filters
          ARU.S. SenateR · HeldArkansas SenateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 61/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
          ARGovernorR · AnchoredArkansas GovernorStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention 47/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
          ARU.S. HouseR · TiltingArkansas's 2nd DistrictAR-02 · ArkansasModel ratingNews attention 45/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
          ARU.S. HouseR · AnchoredArkansas's 4th DistrictAR-04 · ArkansasModel ratingNews attention 35/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
          ARU.S. HouseR · AnchoredArkansas's 1st DistrictAR-01 · ArkansasModel ratingNews attention PendingDetails → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
          ARU.S. HouseR · HeldArkansas's 3rd DistrictAR-03 · ArkansasModel ratingNews attention PendingDetails → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
          ARStatewideR · AnchoredArkansas Attorney GeneralStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention PendingDetails → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
          ARStatewideR · AnchoredArkansas Secretary of StateStatewide raceModel ratingNews attention PendingDetails → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll