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The 2026 Race Index & Ratings Board

Every Senate, House and Governor race, scored two ways: Attention — how loud a race is right now across news, Wikipedia and Bluesky — and Vector — which way it leans and how firmly. Neither is a poll or a forecast. How they work →

579 races tracked575 with a lean rating0 with a verified pollUpdated 2026-09-30 UTC
The ratings board

Every race in North Carolina, from safe Democratic to safe Republican

D Anchored3
  1. NC-04Attention 57
  2. NC-12Attention 44
  3. NC-02—
D Held0

    None

    D Tilting2
    1. NC SenateAttention 58
    2. NC-01Attention 54
    Toss-up1
    1. NC-11Attention 42
    R Tilting7
    1. NC-05Attention 49
    2. NC-08Attention 34
    3. NC-13Attention 32
    4. NC-10Attention 28
    5. NC-07—
    6. NC-09—
    7. NC-14—
    R Held0

      None

      R Anchored2
      1. NC-03—
      2. NC-06—

      Each race sits in its column by the polling average where one exists, Vugol Vector otherwise; loudest first. Click a column head to list just those races below.

      Loudest first

      Contested races & battlegrounds

      7 of 7
      D · Anchored174D · Held69D · Tilting41Toss-up56R · Tilting69R · Held69R · Anchored97Unrated4✓ Verified poll on fileClear filters
      NCU.S. HouseR · TiltingNorth Carolina's 5th DistrictNC-05 · North CarolinaModel ratingNews attention 49/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
      NCU.S. HouseR · TiltingNorth Carolina's 8th DistrictNC-08 · North CarolinaModel ratingNews attention 34/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
      NCU.S. HouseR · TiltingNorth Carolina's 13th DistrictNC-13 · North CarolinaModel ratingNews attention 32/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
      NCU.S. HouseR · TiltingNorth Carolina's 10th DistrictNC-10 · North CarolinaModel ratingNews attention 28/100Details → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
      NCU.S. HouseR · TiltingNorth Carolina's 7th DistrictNC-07 · North CarolinaModel ratingNews attention PendingDetails → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
      NCU.S. HouseR · TiltingNorth Carolina's 9th DistrictNC-09 · North CarolinaModel ratingNews attention PendingDetails → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll
      NCU.S. HouseR · TiltingNorth Carolina's 14th DistrictNC-14 · North CarolinaModel ratingNews attention PendingDetails → · updated 2026-09-30 Reader poll